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Considering the ways a Trent War might be fought, I've sometimes wondered if a war might trigger an early alternate version of or events similar to the Red River Rebellion or intersect with the latter part of the Sioux Wars, with groups like the Sioux and their allies and the Métis used as proxies.
Your challenge is to think of a plausible way for this to happen. In particular, what could provoke an earlier Métis rebellion in Assiniboia?
Second, how do you think such sideshows to the main war would play out? Would groups either side of the border have a hope for greater autonomy or even independence during or following the conflict?