With a POD after 1923, and without changing the current borders of the Republic of Turkey, have Turkey today be a Great Power (both economically and geopolitically) on par with Japan or France.
Its getting there. I don't think you could get it any sooner though. It just have too far to recover and develop to make that possible. A POD of no WW1 leaving the Ottoman Empire intact could probably get you there.With a POD after 1923, and without changing the current borders of the Republic of Turkey, have Turkey today be a Great Power (both economically and geopolitically) on par with Japan or France.
Well, as I said, it has to be the same area as OTL Turkey, and the POD is post-1923.If they stayed out of WW1
Well, as I said, it has to be the same area as OTL Turkey, and the POD is post-1923.
The amount of industrial output Turkey needs to be in possession of to be a great power is simply too much for its population base... It would have to be years ahead of anyone in terms of technology to do this in any way. There is almost no way that in the long run that Turkey could outcompete the much larger population of the U.S, Russian Empire (once industrialized), etc... It like UK, France, Netherlands, Spain, Austria, etc have only one chance at being a world power in terms of how the U.S is and that is to dominate other areas and increase their producing power above their normal capacity. So I say ASB....
Perhaps a different kind of superpower? Maybe if Turkey remains Islamic and attempts to play a unifying role within the Ummah. Still it has a real competitor in the form of Saudi Arabia and Iran, likely they (Turkey) will lose this war of influence. With or without oil, Saudi Arabia over the years has had incredible Ulema compared to other nations.