Thomas Dewey and Adlai Stevenson are best remembered as two-time losers for their respective parties. Your challenge, should you choose to accept it, is to have Dewey and Stevenson run against each other in a presidential election. Under the circumstances, who would win and why?
 
POD: A Taft-Stassen combination stops Dewey and becomes the GOP ticket in 1948. It loses to Truman which strengthens the "Taft can't win" sentiment in the GOP. It is pointed out that if the GOP had nominated Dewey it would almost certainly have carried New York (which is true!) which Taft-Stassen couldn't do despite Henry Wallace getting half a million votes in the state. After easily winning re-election as governor of New York in 1950, Dewey becomes front-runner for the GOP nomination in 1952. With Dewey, a moderate and internationalist, as the favorite and no need to "Stop Taft" Ike sees no reason to run. Truman retires on schedule, Stevenson gets the Democratic nomination, and there's a Dewey vs. Stevenson race that Dewey almost certainly wins. True, Dewey's not a national hero like Ike and doesn't win by such a huge margin, but Communism , Corruption, and Korea are just too great a burden for any Democratic presidential candidate in 1952 against any reasonably strong GOP candidate.
 
As an alternative, Dewey could actually win in 1948 (it just takes changing a very few votes in CA, IL, and OH) while Stevenson wins the governorship of IL (where he ran well ahead of Truman, so a narrow Truman loss in the state wouldn't harm him much https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=121510) and is the Democratic candidate against President Dewey when the latter runs for re-election in 1952. Who will win depends on a lot of things, such as whether Dewey will avoid the Korean War.
 
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As an alternative, Dewey could actually win in 1948 (it just takes changing a very few votes in CA, IL, and OH) while Stevenson wins the governorship of IL (where he ran well ahead of Truman, so a narrow Truman loss in the state wouldn't harm him much https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=121510) and is the Democratic candidate against President Dewey when the latter runs for re-election in 1952. Who will win depends on a lot of things, such as whether Dewey will avoid the Korean War.

This IMO is much more realistic. If Dewey can't even win the nomination in 1948, he's probably done with presidential politics and he'd likely endorse Eisenhower in 1952. But if he simply runs a strong campaign in 1948 (attack Truman on his unpopular record and defend his own candidacy) he'd almost certainly win. (Though Congress would still flip back to the Dems). In 1952 President Dewey would be running for re-election and Stevenson would be a likely challenger.

If Dewey avoids the war or sees it to a swift conclusion (taking China's threats of intervention seriously would help with that), he probably wins in 1952. But if the war happens as it did in OTL and/or the economy takes a hit during the election year then Dewey loses to Stevenson.
 
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