AHC: The Alliance for Progress works (prosperous cold war Latin America)

[CthulhuFhtagn]

With a PoD anytime after August of 1961, make JFK's Alliance for Progress meet its goals in at least half of the countries in Latin America:

1. an annual increase of 2.5% in per capita income
2. the establishment of democratic governments
3. the elimination of adult illiteracy by 1970
4. price stability, to avoid inflation or deflation
5. more equitable income distribution
6. land reform

Kennedy doesn't get assassinated, Congress pledges more than $20 billion in aid for Latin America, the Missile Crisis goes differently and/or doesn't occur...use your imaginations, anything but a massive war is allowed.

 

[oreocruncher]

No CIA overthrow of democratically-elected socialist governments...

 

[CthulhuFhtagn]

No CIA overthrow of democratically-elected socialist governments...

Since those CIA overthrows were in the 50s, the 70s, and the 80s, they don't really apply to a program that was born in the 60s and died in the 60s.

The whole point of the Alliance for Progress would have been to eliminate the need for those kind of overthrows 10-20 years later. Kennedy wanted to prevent the rise of radical governments in Latin America by actually helping the people living there*. In theory, if the plan worked, I guess you'd probably see more governments in Latin America following the example of Mexico with the PRI (claim to be revolutionary, don't actually do anything revolutionary).

*"Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable."

 

[M. Adolphe Thiers]

The plan was too ambitious. The project failed for that reason, because it's nigh impossible to pressure that many nations to pass land and economic reforms when there's internal opposition, especially among the elites. I think the Alliance for Progress might have worked if they started off with a few pilot nations, and then after results were obtained, expand to other Latin America states with success models to point to.