So the question is rather simple. Is it possible to swap fates of Poland and Prussia? An by swap I mean scenario, in which Prussia rises to power earlier, Poland is it's vassal for a long period of time. But Prussians fuck it up and turn in weak noble democracy, where Poland manages to win it's independence from Prussia, and becomes a centralised, absolutist state with a long tradition of militarism and manages to partition it's former overlord and to become one of main powers in Europe.