In 1931 we then might see the rising of "Länder"-goverments including the NSDAP. Maybe as early as spring 1931 in Danzig ... together with the Nationalists and the catholic Center ... being the first "blueprint" of what will/might take place in Hessian later that year (given the "Boxheim-documents" affair is likely butterflied away (no infight between Werner Best and Wilhelm Schäferm the duy who "betrayed" the party in delivering the documents to the SPD minister of the interior).
All this supported - in a way - by Brüning, whos is looking for rightish allies to please the Old Fieldmarschall.
Already in 1930 Brüning tried to cut a deal with Hitler, as well as in autumn 1931. Its content (roughly) :
the NSDAP gots kind of a "free hand" in fighting off the "reds" (SPD and KPD) as well as some critisism of the actual goverment, giving Brüning the opportunity to press the financial schemes he had in mind for his plan to end reparations (and to revert the ToV generally piece by piece). Also they should not intervene in foreign politics. It should have been kind of an "informal" coalition of Brüning with Hitler, giving Brüning the foreign policy and Hitler (mainly) the domestic policy ... for keeping leftists at bay.
Gregor Strasser was much more prepared to cut this deal than Hitler and most likely would do so ITTL. However, even if he wants to "reaim" more heavily against Brüning ... how should the latter stop him ?
Comes in late 1931 also the question of the Reichspresidentship. Btw : Hindenburg, who once also met Strasser was quite favorable about the latter, at least much more than of Hitler. Strasser knews, that he hasn't anyone at hands with Hitlers charisma, who might have a chance in a race against Hindenburg. So he deals with Brüning also on that. Though even with the NSDAP backing Brüning, wiht the SPD now becoming more and more alienated to Brüning, there is no way for a constitutional change to elongate Hindenburgs term, as it was the first try of Brüning.
I could see a deal along these lines :
- NSDAP/Strasser support Hindenburg in a run for reelection (getting Hindenburg to comply would be much easier than OTL : not to have to rely on the hated "reds" (SPD), beind supported by all these "beautifull young men in marching columns".)
- Strasser and the NSDAP will be incorporated in the Recihs-goverment (Vice-chancellory for Strasser, one or two ministries, of internal affairs and one other minor perhaps)
- there have to be Reichstags-elections after Hindenburgs reelection (also in showing the always untimey Hugenberg the ropes. The conservativs/Junkers faction stayed with DNVP out of habit and more "in spite" of Hugenberg than in favor of him)
Of course the SPD won't comply anymore to Brüning, what makes a Center-party-NSDAP go-together even more propable.
Hindenburg gets reelected on the second ballot against whoever goes for the SPD (Otto Braun ? Would still be the best bet, but OTL he was very reluctant and therefore supported the SPD-support of Hindenburg) and ofc Thälmann.
Shortly afterwards a "goverment-crisis" is produced with rearrangement of the goverment along the above mentioned line AND Reichstag is to be reelected also. ... maybe on the same date as the prussian Landtags-election is due ? 24.04.1032 ?
Little side-note :
The "official" reason, why Brüning was thrown out of office by Hindenburg was an emergency-law to deal with the so-called "Ost-Hilfe". A scheme under which the east-elbian junkers were heavily subsidiesed by the goverment. Brüning wnated to cut these what caused OTL a "run" on Hindenburg by his Jnkers-friends to throw out Brüning.
Unfortunatly for Hindenburg : ITTL the more leftish NSDAP supports Brüning in this emergency-law against the Junkers. Might cause some grievience with Hindenburg, but atm not much he can do against, as Brüning now has some strong support in the goverment.
Another side note :
ITTL the NSDAP ofc supported Brüning in prolongating the Berlin treaty of friendship with the SU of 1926. Esp. in the ratification of it, happening ITTL about (at least ?) year earlier than OTL.
Comes the BIG election day 24.04.1932 :
Results will be IMO almost the same as OTL, perhaps even a bit better for the NSDAP, as they are "rid" of the extreme antisemitics (they were elected not for but in-spite of the antisemitism OTL) and being more "social" than OTL (nibbling on SPD right-wingers).
Perhaps even Center-party will perform a bit better, as the "corrective" force on the still in its appearance "revolutionary" though more in-line with "conservative revolution" NSDAP.
Instead of "Preußenschlag" there will be a regular NSDAP-Center goverment of Prussia and a regular NSDAP-Center goverment of the Reich, both with sufficient parlaimentary majority, both lead by the NSDAP. The DNVP might be include to give it more the appearance of a "broad peoples front" now governing the Reich, though it would be an otherwise negligable appendix only.
Gregor Strasser is the new Chancellor of May 1932 with Brüning as foreign secretary.
End (preliminary) of part one.