With a POD after 1945, what would have to change that would cause a Soviet amphibious invasion of Britain to be a possibility?
Is it more likely than Sealion?
Is it more likely than Sealion?
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Given the etymology of the term, a new, stronger phrase to alien space bats needs to be created to express the degrees of impossibility of this happening.
If hostilities are at all likely to break out, the UK is blockading the Skagerrak and the area around Murmansk, and the Far East fleet is too far away to be accounted for. The Black Sea fleet isn't getting past both the Bosporus and Gibraltar. Even if the Soviets completely invade and occupy France, they won't have the infrastructure or experience to ever match a rapidly expanding RN.
Nukes aren't a substitute for transport capacity.
the amount of transport capacity needed scales with the level of resistance that needs to be overcome. nukes tend to reduce that by a lot.
It does not; it scales to the requirements needed to land and supply the force in question. Even if you face no opposition, the requirements to transport, land, and resupply an invasion force are utterly massive and could never be achieved by the Soviets.
...what? words have meanings,friend. If you face no opposition,you need one unarmed soldier,who could probably swim across the channel himself. hyperbole,of course,because its impossible to completly eliminate opposition,but the core concept of "weak opposition-small invasionforce-small transport requirement" is basic logic.