AHC: smallest/latest POD resulting in € vote instead of Brexit vote?

If this is too current politics, move or close as you might see fit, mods.

What's the smallest and/or latest POD that could realistically result in the UK holding a referendum on adopting the €, instead of the referendum that was held about leaving the EU?
 
Are you asking for a referendum to take place in the United Kingdom in 2016 to ascertain if the UK should change the currency to the Euro?
 
Are you asking for a referendum to take place in the United Kingdom in 2016 to ascertain if the UK should change the currency to the Euro?
Yes. Preferably with a Yes or at least tight result. I.e. not one that would obviously fail.

How far back would a PoD need to be? Would the fake accounting by Greece being discovered and thus Greece begin kept from joining the € be a good PoD?
 
. . . What's the smallest and/or latest POD . . .
One of my big themes is that with a slowly declining middle class, people are going to kick and thrash like a wounded animal. And they’re going to scapegoat. ‘Course they are.

The one-two punch of Maufacturing + Unions is just an awfully good jobs engine. And with its decline, it’s going to take a while to find several something elses which are going to produce the same large number of middle-income jobs.

For the U.S., this would probably need to start being addressed in the early post-Reagan years (say 1989 - 94). So, I’m guessing for the UK it would need to be the early post-Thatcher years (say 1991 - 96).
 
In June 2007 the then leader of the Liberal Democrats Menzies Campbell met with the newly promoted Labour Prime Minister Gordon Brown. During the meeting Brown offer two cabinet positions to the Liberal Democrats. Campbell thought it over and refused, citing that it would be unworkable.

I think that this could be considered a good POD. What if Campbell took up Brown's offer?

Having a closer working relationship with the labour party, and sharing a number of leftish points of view, could pave the way for the Liberal Democrats joining Labour in coalition in 2010 instead of the Conservatives.

Fast forward five years; the UK economy is growing again after the worldwide Great Recession, and the two parties manage to win just enough seats to form another coalition. In our TL the Liberals wanted an referendum on having Proportional Representation. Perhaps a more European minded LD leader might consider forcing a referendum joing the Euro.
 
Euro entry was on no-one's agenda from Blair winning his third term onwards. There's absolutely zero chance of one being held this decade without massive divergences to the point of it being a totally different timeline. There's no chance of one being held after a Remain vote in the 2016 referendum.

A Euro entry referendum would most likely have been badly defeated. Even at the high point of support in the late nineties and early 2000s, you're talking about entry support only struggling to get a third of the electorate. After the Eurocrisis it became an ultimate fringe issue.
 
. . . Fast forward five years; the UK economy is growing again after the worldwide Great Recession, . . .
As a Yank, I rather feel I should apologize. :teary: My country the U.S. does bear more than its fair share of responsibility for this one.

Of course, the UK was one of our examples for huge mega-banks being part of the future main path.
 
UK is more likely to have joined the Euro in the early 2000s Gordon brown was the big stumbling block with his five tests. If Gordon Brown is not around we could now be using the Euro
 
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