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Bismarck said the next great European war would be set off by some damn foolish thing in the Balkans. Let's switch it up.
With a POD of 1688 (200 years), have it so that the Balkans (or most of it) are a unified empire that boasts a strong army and booming industry. Meanwhile Germany is a bunch of feuding powers with some other foreign empire holding significant amounts of it.
Bonus points if the Balkan empire was recently unified and the foreign empire in Germany is in decline.