AHC: Prevent the Warlord Era in China

cpip

Gone Fishin'
The challenge:

With a POD no earlier than March 10, 1912 (when Yuan Shikai assumed the Presidency), manage to stop China from dissolving into warlordism.

Bonus points are awarded if there manages to be peaceable transitions of power throughout the 1910s and 1920s, and China is more able to deter Japanese aggression by the 30s.
 
A devastating, late CP victory in Europe bankrupts the European imperialists and prevents them from continuing to be able to exercise control over China. Japanese imperialism fills the void, and the Chinese government is forced to accept the Twenty-One Demands. The post-Yuan Chinese state is held together and essentially coopted by Japan. Resistance by the Chinese people to this development is fierce, and the Japanese Army is forced to intervene. So instead of a Warlord Era you get a war of national resistance against the Japanese, with various Chinese nationalists on one side and the Japanese Empire, along with their Chinese puppets, on the other.
 
Song Jiaoren isn't assassinated, and Yuan Shikai (as well as other regional commanders) lose the window of opportunity to create their own fiefs.
 
Dowager Cixi kicks the bucket earlier and the hundred days reforms succed

You can also have him joining the central powers in the late war and invading french indochina and re-stabilishing the pupept kingdom of Annan, and maybe taking hong kong also (ofc only if the central powers wins the war)
 
Kill of Yuan Shikai...

With a POD no earlier than March 10, 1912 (when Yuan Shikai assumed the Presidency)

Dang it. So you need Yuan to be... "saner", so no proclamation of Empire and other stuff, have him being, well... a President. Very hard mind you, Shikai may be a rather intelligent fellow and stuff, but he was short-sighted, ambitious and opportunistic, always choosing the quickest way to promote himself. Should he be less of one those three stuff, he could be remembered as a consolidator of the Republic and all that jazz. Of course he was old and his health was a mess, so he still dies in the 10s, his succession is going to be a mess regardless, maybe he arranges a new order in deathbed.
 
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