If GHW Bush had not been available (my usual POD is to have Clayton Williams run a better campaign for governor of Texas and win in 1990 and run again in 1994), Elizabeth Dole would have been a possible GOP presidential nominee, but she has never struck me as a very strong candidate (her only electoral victory was in North Carolina in 2002, a good year for Republicans) and I doubt that she would beat Gore. (Remember that one thing that helped GW Bush win Florida in 2000 was his relationship, political as well as family, with Jeb Bush...)