AHC: Only Carolinas, Georgia, and Florida Secede

Challenge: With a POD after the end of the 7 Years' War, instead of the 13 colonies, have only North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida secede from Great Britain.
 
Challenge: With a POD after the end of the 7 Years' War, instead of the 13 colonies, have only North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida secede from Great Britain.

A coordinated revolt by these provinces (BTW, there's both an East Florida and a West Florida post 1763) independent of and separate from those to the north is extremely unlikely. During the 1760s and '70s the people in NC, SC, GA, Ef & WF were generally very loyal to the crown. There was no unique unifying issue or cause that could unite the region in revolt that would not fan the flames of revolution in the other colonies. I cannot fathom a situation where the region rebels while the people to the north simply say "let them revolt and die by the hangman's noose; we serve the King! God save the King!" It's also hard to imagine how they muster all the resources needed for a successful rebellion without assistance from folks in the other 11 provinces (or at least from key places) of British America.
 
Highly unlikely. NC, SC, GA and FL were very pro-Loyalist. Less than Canada, but much more than New England, the Mid-Atlantic and Virginia. The reverse is much more likely, with Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland, New York, New Jersey and Virginia becoming independent as some USA-analogue, while the South remains British. Of course, this might mean Quebec ends up joining the USA without the large amounts of loyalist immigrants from the South
 
Of course, this might mean Quebec ends up joining the USA without the large amounts of loyalist immigrants from the South

The proper name would still be Canada. Though nowadays Canada is primarily English, that's the name that was used by its 95%+ French speaking population back then.

But without the settlement of the loyalists in Canada, the territory would remain overwhelmingly French much longer, but it would still be a British territory. The conquered population there would still remain wary of the 13 colonies, their traditional enemy, and early Franco-Canadian nationalism (exemplified in OTL by the Patriots rebellion) would have a better shot at achieving independence, but there's no way they'd use it to join the USA. Assuming the scenario led to a Franco-Canadawank, the best result you could see would be an independent Francophone Canada on today's Quebec and Ontario and competing (unsuccessfully) with the US for it's traditional claims to the Ohio valley (Which was part of Canada before 1763 and after 1774). In all cases, unless the POD is prior to Acadian deportations, modern Nova-Scotia, PEI and New Brunswick would remain British.

Such an independent Canada would face the same problem as colonial New-France; a pretty damn large territory held together by a comparatively insufficient population. This, when faced with the territorial ambitions of the smaller but still powerful USA to the south, would mean that the US would have an easier time militarily to bully it's northern neighbor, and given the clearer language divide, might be a little more inclined to do so. So I'd assume the USA would not only claim the Ohio valley but eventually successfully challenge French Canada over control of much of the prairies and all of BC.

Alternatively, in the much more likely scenario that Britain holds underpopulated Canada just fine despite it's inability to dilute it's Frenchness early, while it still controls the South, you get pretty much the opposite. The smaller USA that stretches only from New England to Maryland ends up unable to challenge the Act of Quebec and never gains Ohio. Louisiana remains a French colony much longer, and Britain seeks to acquire it instead of the US. The westwards expansion is no longer possible and the US might never rise to world power status. British Canada becomes a large country, and eventually through other sources of immigration, becomes a bilingual country (though perhaps English never gains overall preeminence). In the post-colonial era, you might end up with a beefy Canada which stretches all the way to Mexico (which still holds its historical northern borders), a smallish independent south, and a small but rich USA largely contained to the seaboard, well known as a trading hub.
 
Maybe a British victory at Lexington and Concord, leading to large amounts of Patriot fighters heading south. The British manage to hold New England for a while while the South becomes independent. The chances of the British keeping the North for much longer are very slim, but they might end up being a Canada-like autonomous dominion within the Empire instead of fully independent like America
 

birdboy2000

Banned
Britain trying to abolish slavery could spark such a revolt, although Virginia would likely join, but I don't know how to make such a rebellion succeed. The south was outmatched enough without also fighting the British Empire.
 
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