AHC: No Russian intervention in 1848

Guys, there is another way for Constantine to become Tsar by default: Nicholas Pavlovich dies during the Coalition campaign against Napoleon. With him dead, Constantine has no choice but to accept the Russian crown.
 
Why? Imre Tokoly allied himself with Turkey in order to win independence from Vienna.
Which I find ironic as well :)

Guys, there is another way for Constantine to become Tsar by default: Nicholas Pavlovich dies during the Coalition campaign against Napoleon. With him dead, Constantine has no choice but to accept the Russian crown.
Emperor Constantine has pointed out that eve then, Russia would intervene. Do you have a different opinion?
 
Within the Decembrists, you have Nikita Muraviev who was in favor of a constitutional monarchy, and you have Pavel Pestel who wanted to establish a republican government. It may sound weird, but Pestel might have been inspired by the republican government in the United States.
 
What about Russia ( absolutist or constitutional, doesn't matter ) intervening in the 1848 revolution on the Hungarian side?

results: independent Hungary - Russian ally?
Russia annexes the Danuian principalities having thus placed solid "fence" between its rivals in Europe and the desired Balkans-Bosphorus?
Earlier North-dominated unification of Germany?
United Germany neutral in rather friendly way cause RUs did them ( Prussian wing ) a favor weakening and letting the Habsburgs to be crushed / compromised ...
Russian victory in ( earlier - stimulated by Hungarian revolt assistence by Russia ) "Crimmean war".
Earlier annexation / liberation of all Balkans from Ottomans ( OE )?
Earlier and more disastorous and consequential collapse of OE?
 
Hm, maybe if Ferdind remains on throne - by for example Batthyány convinces Franz Karl, that the empire need stability and have to digest the recent changes and any further actions - reactionary or revolutionary - could be disastrous?
 
What about Russia ( absolutist or constitutional, doesn't matter ) intervening in the 1848 revolution on the Hungarian side?
results: independent Hungary - Russian ally?
Russia annexes the Danuian principalities having thus placed solid "fence" between its rivals in Europe and the desired Balkans-Bosphorus?
Earlier North-dominated unification of Germany?
United Germany neutral in rather friendly way cause RUs did them ( Prussian wing ) a favor weakening and letting the Habsburgs to be crushed / compromised ...
Russian victory in ( earlier - stimulated by Hungarian revolt assistence by Russia ) "Crimmean war".
Earlier annexation / liberation of all Balkans from Ottomans ( OE )?
Earlier and more disastorous and consequential collapse of OE?
Well, Austria was already Russia's ally through the Holy Alliance. The expected Austrian help in the Crimean War, which wasn't planned...
Hm, maybe if Ferdind remains on throne - by for example Batthyány convinces Franz Karl, that the empire need stability and have to digest the recent changes and any further actions - reactionary or revolutionary - could be disastrous?
Not sure how that would help. Could you elaborate?
 
Well, I found a nice PoD in another thread; Nicholas I of Russia comes down with a nasty case of tuberculosis in mid-1848, leaving him bedridden for the next two years. Hearing news of the Tsar's illness and potential Russian instability, the Poles revolt, joining the pattern of many other nations in the 1848 period.

During the "leaderless" times of Russia, the Poles manage to dig themselves in a very good position and their rebellion speads to the Galician Poles, who rise up against the Habsburgs alongside the Hungarians.

Then, after a year of stalemate, Hungary may realize that it:
has to give concessions to the nationalities
OR
needs outside help and requests it from the Ottoman Empire., which does intervene on their side to gain an ally on their northern border interested in keeping Serb nationalism down and one that lacks expansionist dreams for the Balkans and not closely related to Germany.
 
If you recall this occurred in Decades of Darkness, the Austrians snubbing the Russians over an earlier war with the Turks persuades Nicholas to let the Austrians handle it themselves, this results in temporary Hungarian sucesses before Prussia intervenes once they have got their own revolutionaries in check.
 
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