AHC: multiple Jewish states in the Middle East

With a POD in 1890, have multiple Jewish states to exist around the Middle East by TTL 2017. Middle East counts from the Maghreb to the Persian plateau, along with Central Asia.
 
I can see only one scenario:

Keep the timeline the same until after the Six Day War. For some reason (maybe Moshe Dayan becomes PM), there is less settlement of the West Bank, and nearly all settlements are either close to the Green Line or concentrated in a single large bloc deep in the West Bank. Gaza is not settled at all.

Sometime in the 2000s, Ariel Sharon (or another Israeli PM) decides to pull a unilateral evacuation of the West Bank, save for those settlements close to the border. The big bloc decides to declare independence, creating the State of Judea. Their leadership is smart enough to make conciliatory statements, and they run a slick media campaign about how their lives will be ruined if they are forced to evacuate. The settlers are armed and make it clear they will resist the evacuation with force if necessary. Sharon decides to ignore them.

The trouble is that such a state wouldn't be stable. The Palestinians would almost certainly attack them, leading to constant bloodshed. Any Israeli government that wasn't hard-right would be reluctant to support it - a left-wing government might regard such a state as a threat. My guess is the State of Judea would eventually suffer economic collapse, and most of its inhabitants would return to Israel, leaving a few diehards. If it was created after 2010, maybe it would still be around today, but it wouldn't survive much longer.
 
Netanyahu acquires hundreds of pagan concubines and starts worshipping their gods. After he dies, his son pledges a massive tax increase. The northern part of the country secedes.
 
Zionism becomes more about moving to the large cities all around the Levant, rather than settling the whole of Israel. After a bit of demographic shift causing the Jewish settlers to become the majority in several cities - Jerusalem; Tel Aviv-Yafo; Damascus; etc - the decolonisation settlement sets these up as a loose confederation of city-states.
 
Earlier POD with no (or much shorter) WWI and no Bolshevik Revolution. No Holocaust but Integralist regimes in Russia/Ukraine, Poland, Romania and Hungary are casually anti-Semitic and Czechs and Austrians little better. Much larger Jewish migration as America won't let any more in and 3 million odd not killed plus other war related deaths and deaths in service and Stalin's purges and Civil War avoided. Disputes over use of Hebrew or Yiddish leads to a Zionist split. Purchases of Sinai and Libya as well as Israeli settlement. Settler population outnumbers locals and starts to attract Moroccan, Turkish, Yemeni and Ethiopian Jews also as economic/religious migrants. Egyptian Jews unpopular after Sinai Purchase and forced to move out. As part of settlement deal in Palestine Jerusalem becomes an independent Free City under auspices of the Permanent Congress of Nations. Small majority of Orthodox Jews. Small numbers of more Westernised American, German, French, British, Dutch and Scandinavian Jews go back to seek their roots (particularly after Libyan oil is discovered) And there you are- Four Jewish states.
 
along with Central Asia.

Oh, if Central Asia is included in the Middle East, then it's easy. The Soviets make their new Jewish ASSR somewhere in Central Asia, rather than in the Far East as in OTL. More Jews go to Central Asia than went to Birobidzhan IOTL, because it's closer to civilization and more habitable. Also, the Soviets don't allow aliyah during the Cold War, preferring their Jewish population to remain in/move to the Jewish ASSR. The Jewish ASSR is later upgraded to an SSR, and gains independence when the Soviet Union collapses.
 
Top