AHC: More Successful Arab Spring

The Egyptian scenario is pretty much spot-on.

The Libyan scenario is... very ugly, to put it lightly. Should Qaddafi and his family fall, there's not going to be anyone else capable of running the government. Qaddafi quite literally made sure the entire system revolved around him. Replacing him requires international peacekeeping forces and help in reconstructing the system and protecting any future elections.

This true but this is true OTL too. My point was that absent the civil war that erupted, the conflict may not have militarized as much, and you might not have had the proliferation of militias.

One of the other problems with Libya alternative timelines is that all the Libyan factions were adamantly against any foreign troop presence. And Western publics - which were skeptical of the intervention to begin with - had zero interest in expending reserves of political capital on peacekeeping forces.
 
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