The US is 17% Hispanic now with about 90%+ of that growth coming just in the last 40 years. A US that's ~30% Hispanic would be one that simply didn't implement any racial restrictions on its immigration prior to 1965 and didn't engage in any mass deportations such as operation wetback.
You wouldn't really need a change of borders.
More demographic growth in Latin America is probably the most likely possibility for a higher Hispanic population in USA.The title gives the main point, what would be needed to make the United States around 1/3 Hispanic or Latino? Some easy starters would be taking North Mexican states or somehow keeping Cuba.
A bit more Spanish cultural influence on the Philippines would most likely have made them be considered Hispanic.Only using post-1900 PODs?
1) Annex Cuba
2) Annex Panama
3) Have the battle of Carrizal turn into an outright US-Mexican War that ends with the US annexing chunks of northern Mexico - Sonora, Chihuahua, and Baja. Also the US takes Cozumel just for kicks.
4) The US gets into a war in Colombia in the 80s to fight Narcos and the FARC. The instability results in more refugees heading to the US.
5) The US gets involved in the Shining Path War and in the process many local interpreters and supporters are given the right to emigrate to the US.
6) Have the US purchase Curacao from the Dutch. FDR pitched the idea in 1918 as Secretary of the Navy, but the Dutch shot the idea down out of fears that it'd be seen as violating neutrality. More Americans doing stuff off the coast means more American business in Venezuela which means more Venezuelans get the idea of moving to the US.
This is probably 30-40 million more people.
How hispanic are we considering the filipinos here?
What "racial" restrictions? "No quotas on immigration from the Western Hemisphere were put in place" in the 1924 Act. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_Act_of_1924 It was precisely the 1965 Act which "set a numerical limit on immigration from the Western Hemisphere for the first time in U.S. history." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_and_Nationality_Act_of_1965
So what was it that drove the massive increase in the Latin American immigration to the US post 1960's?
In 1970 Hispanics only represented 4.4% of the US population, in a period of 40 years to 2010 they stood at 16.3% of the pop.
Pretty interesting concept, “Latino” possibly being extended to possibly Souther Italians, Spaniards, Portuguese, possibly even Filipinos.People have already mentioned solutions that involved annexing more territory or admitting more immigrants, so I am going to try for a creative answer. Given that the OP asked how the Hispanic or Latino populations of the United States could have been bigger, just have events transpire to create a different demographic definition of “Latino” that also includes Italian Americans.
Taking a look at the status of much of Latin America post-1955ish would probably answer that. Civil wars, economic free fall, dictatorships both left and right wing, massive spike in crime and/or domestic unrest, etc. Lots of push factors even without a pull factor.
Another thing I forgot to mention, is that with US territorial change is the possibility of the US losing more “white” areas like maybe never getting Oregon, possibly dissuading white immigrants from moving to the US.
Yeah I forgot about that.That’s not really in the cards with a point of divergence after 1900.
Or . . . a spanning topic. That is, a change before 1900, but one in which we spend most of our time talking about the effects after 1900. For example,Only using post-1900 PODs?
So, Spain keeps New Orleans. And obviously, this is very early, but if we spend most of our time talking about how the U.S. is different in the 20th and 21th centuries, I still think it's appropriate for this forum.http://www.digitalhistory.uh.edu/disp_textbook.cfm?smtID=3&psid=247
In 1795, Spain granted Western farmers the right to ship produce down the Mississippi River to New Orleans, where their cargoes of corn, whiskey, and pork were loaded aboard ships bound for the east coast and foreign ports. In 1800, Spain secretly ceded Louisiana Territory to France, . . .