With a POD of the 1974 Revolution, have Ethiopia (doesn't matter what regime rules her) manage to win a more decisive and devastating victory over Somalia during the Ogaden War.
How? There's several issues with an Ethiopian invasion of Somalia after reclaiming the Ogaden - a quarter of it is in the hands of the remnants of the WSLF and SNA, the Eritrean insurgency is becoming a pressing problem that cannot be ignored for longer and Ethiopia's newfound allies refused to support an Ethiopian invasion into Somalia proper.You could have them push into Somalia and occupy some territory
Are you talking about Noscoper's comment about launching an invasion into Somalia or reclaiming the Ogaden?Wouldn’t a retention of Eritrea be far more in Ethiopia’s interest than conquering even more Somali land? The Eritreans seem far more likely to get along with the Ethiopian government than the Somalis in the long run.
I was thinking along lines of a buffer zone as opposed large swabs of landWouldn’t a retention of Eritrea be far more in Ethiopia’s interest than conquering even more Somali land?
Are you talking about Noscoper's comment about launching an invasion into Somalia or reclaiming the Ogaden?
I was thinking along lines of a buffer zone as opposed large swabs of land
I stated this above - it'd be better for Ethiopia to focus on consolidating control over the reclaimed regions of the Ogaden and retaking Eritrea after the Ogaden War.Actually, more your comment referencing how the Eritrean insurgency was heating up. Wouldn’t it have been better for Ethiopia to focus on quashing it instead of a foreign invasion?
I stated this above - it'd be better for Ethiopia to focus on consolidating control over the reclaimed regions of the Ogaden and retaking Eritrea after the Ogaden War.
If you're asking about why Ethiopia should reclaim Eritrea, it's mainly for the purposes of securing an outlet to the Red Sea that isn't dependent on the goodwill of another nation as well as to satiate long-standing Ethiopian irredentism for the region.Really, why? Not being sarcastic, I genuinely just don’t know either way.
No the Somali civil war started in 1991Considering the state of the Somalian government, this would basically end up being an occupation zone, right?
Secret Policemen and Funky Bass Lines: A Somali Democratic Republic TLWhere is that TL about Somalian music and other things again?
These things sound like they might happen if we avoid Mengistu Haile Mariam coming to power or if the Imperial government remains in power when Amha Selassie accepts the offer of replacing his father in 1974.If you want a more decisive Ethiopian victory, I'd recommend:
- No purge of the Ethiopian senior officer corps in the 1976-77 Red Terror.
- Increase the firepower of the Ethiopian military so that Somali firepower isn't as overwhelming.
- The Western Somali Liberation Front and Somali-Abo Liberation Front do worse in the Insurgency in the Ogaden.
- Better Ethiopian preparation for the upcoming invasion, possibly in the form of a defense-in-depth strategy that bleeds the Somalis white as they advance.