I think you would also need to strengthen the trade connection of the eastern agricultural complex with the mississippian civilizations and of the latter with mesoamerica for maximum disease spread. It it arrives at the right time say 12th century it could go as far as the Andes before the end of the century.Gunpowder isn't invented by anyone.
The Norse manage to survive longer and properly settle Vinland (and if they bring horses, that would be even better). This gives a level of disease immunity to the Native Americans, and the Norse don't have quite the capacity to conquer the Americas at this point in time.
The Ottomans already allowed european traders access to the east. What prompted Spain and Portugal on seeking alternate routes to India was that italian merchants were monopolizing the trade, and going directly to the source was cheaper.Perhaps have the Ottomans let European traders have easy access to the east? If I'm not wrong, that was the catalyst for the age of discovery, and changing it might delay European exploration. To avoid the unfortunate IRL fate of the natives, a level of disease resistance would somehow have to be developed. They would then make colonization quite difficult. Civilizations like the Aztecs were militarily inferior, but fighting a foe in unfamiliar territory with reinforcements months away would be hard.
Sorry you have substituted one colonization by another and brought disease much sooner to the Americas.Gunpowder isn't invented by anyone.
The Norse manage to survive longer and properly settle Vinland (and if they bring horses, that would be even better). This gives a level of disease immunity to the Native Americans, and the Norse don't have quite the capacity to conquer the Americas at this point in time.
This, except I would reverse the importance.You need (1) early contact to bring over horses and (2) settled civilization to develop there to get population up.
An earlier colonization that is less able to capitalize on the virgin field pandemics, allowing the natives develop immunity and repopuolate well before the arrival of peoples better prepared to take advantage of virgin field epidemics.Sorry you have substituted one colonization by another and brought disease much sooner to the Americas.
regardless of who comes they bring disease and that more than anything else that decimates the natives.
Sorry but that is not correct. Technology was only part of the issue. We had numerous discussions on this arguing this till we blue in face.An earlier colonization that is less able to capitalize on the virgin field pandemics, allowing the natives develop immunity and repopuolate well before the arrival of peoples better prepared to take advantage of virgin field epidemics.
The problem is that NA has no draft or other types of animals. The Maiyan, Inca and Aztec were advanced civilization but all lacked the technology and animal husbandry to create the right circumstances to survive. I just see this as another empire like Aztec or Inca waiting to be decimated by disease and war.People here in the forum sometimes suggest that the Mississipi-Ohio basin could have sustained a large "China-esque" civilization if it had developed agriculture earlier. IIRC, the argument is that this region is immensely fertile, and mostly plain, and thus would allow for the formation of large empires with high population densities. So, let's say that by 1500 there is one of these massive empires in the region that boasts a population of around 50,000,000 (approximately half of what China had at this time). If 80% of the population of this empire dies as a result of the Columbian exchange, that still leaves 10,000,000 people, which is quite an impressive number by early modern European standards. If the centre of this empire is inland enough to make immediate conquest difficult, then it will probably survive and recover in a century or two. Europeans would still presumably colonize the Caribean and the East Coast of the modern US, but the rest of the North American continent could very be rendered inaccessible due to the existance of this Empire.
The problem is that NA has no draft or other types of animals. The Maiyan, Inca and Aztec were advanced civilization but all lacked the technology and animal husbandry to create the right circumstances to survive. I just see this as another empire like Aztec or Inca waiting to be decimated by disease and war.
The discovery of animal husbandry (domestication of animals) and the close proximity to human allows for development of diseases and thus also provide preteen for larger populations.Well, I've seen people argue convincingly that some North American species could have be dommesticated (bison, deer, etc.). I have also seen it convincingly argued that while beast of burdens are good to have, they are by no means a prerequisite for large and complex civilizations. Moreover, I am definitely sympathetic to the view that the Spanish conquests of the Aztec and the Incas were fairly lucky events, and could have gone the other way. Considering that this hypothetical north american civilization would have a much larger population, and that it's centre would be far away from the coast, and thus of hard access to conquerors, I would give them fairly high chances of survival and eventual rebound.
but it was not the Spanish soldiers who conquered the Aztec but disease and enemies of the Aztec. The devastation of disease, war and hunger will decimate advanced cultures and tribes. So while native groups can rebound as seen in the US east coast they a shadow of their power and complex societies are destroyed. The Europeans will continue coming and if the first wave of conquistador and explorers/settlers don’t conquer them the next batch will.