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Which would not last 13 years in such case of course.
It is really not easy. Elites of Grand Duchy of Lithuania were more interested in further expansion into Ruthenian territory than in gaining mouth of main river of Lithuania and serious access to the Baltic. It was Poland's success that Lithuania remained neutral during this war (except for Samogitians, who blocked movement of Teutonic Order's troops from Livonia to Prussia), Lithuanian magnates considered joining the war against Poland to conquer Podolia, when Poland is busy fighting Teutonic knights.
So, how to change this situation? Perhaps Lithuania has strong ruler, who breaks power of magnates and decide to go to war against their will? This is tricky-last Grand Duke who ruled like tyrant (Žygimantas) was assassinated, there were also numerous attemps to assassinate Casimir later.
I wondered if it would be easier if Poland and Lithuania had separate monarchs at the time of war with the Order (say bishop Oleśnicki dies before 1440 and Vladislaus don't go to Hungary-he hestitated IOTL but Oleśnicki finally convinced him. But this option creates another problem-Vladislaus send Casimir to Vilnius as his governor, he didn't expected that his brother would take throne of GDL for himself, so instead of conflict with Teutonic Order there could be conflict between brothers instead-would Queen Mother convince her sons to find compromise? It was likely her idea that Casimir should take GDL throne for himself), but I'm still not sure it would work.
Any ideas?
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