AHC have Nestorian christianity to rule the middle east

The title says pretty much everything, the PoD is the formation of the Rashidun Caliphate (but before the battle of Yarmouk). You need to have the nestorians to be the main religion most of the middle east, not everything, and with middle east I'm also considering Egypt, persia and Anatolia

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There is a school of Revisionist Islamic History that posits that the early Muslims were actually Nestorian Christians, and developed into what we recognize as Islam in the following centuries. This theory is controversial, but the idea can be used to achieve your goal if you are willing to change your PoD to Muhammad claiming to receive a message from God/Christ that the theology of Nestorian Christianity is the right one, and go from there.

However, if you want to stick with the traditional narrative, then you need to have a state adopt Nestorian Christianity as its official religion. Looking at the Middle East, your options are the Eastern Roman Empire, the Sasanid Empire, or the Rashidun Caliphate. Since you are placing the PoD as the formation of the Rashidun Caliphate, which is explicitly Muslim, you are gonna have to pick either Persia, or the Byzantines. At the PoD, the Byzantines are persecuting the Nestorians as Heretics, which leave the Sasanids as the only power that is treating them fairly well, without special poll taxes like the Jizya. If you can get the Shah to convert to Nestorian Christianity you might have a shot. The real difficulty is going to be stopping the Muslim conquest of the region. So, without an earlier PoD, the best you can realistically expect is Nestorian Christianity being a larger minority.
 
The formation of the Rashidun Caliphate? That's rather late, isn't it? In Arabia, Islam was fairly well-established, in Persia, Zoroastrianism had successfully reformed itself and stopped the advance of Christianity, and Egypt and Anatolia were staunchly Chaldeconian.

If you can get the Shah to convert to Nestorian Christianity you might have a shot.

Why would the Shahanshah convert to Nestorianism? The Persian court was staunchly Zoroastrian and the majority of his subjects were Zoroastrian, while those that were Nestorian were Semitic and Aramaic peoples who had long been pushed aside in favour of Persian and Iranic culture. There is no possible scenario in which the Sassanids convert to Nestorianism after the foundation of Islam.
 
Why would the Shahanshah convert to Nestorianism? The Persian court was staunchly Zoroastrian and the majority of his subjects were Zoroastrian, while those that were Nestorian were Semitic and Aramaic peoples who had long been pushed aside in favour of Persian and Iranic culture. There is no possible scenario in which the Sassanids convert to Nestorianism after the foundation of Islam.

The Nestorians were an influential element within the Sassanid Court. However, I never said that would be easy. The best option is still to get Muhammad to convert to Nestorian Christianity at some point during his travels into Christian lands as a merchant, but that doesn't fit within the OP's PoD.
 
If i remember correctly, the beating heart of Nestorianism was in Mesopotamia; you need to prevent it from being conquered and, instead, form the nexus of an empire for a few centuries (or at least its heart of power).

Perhaps some situation where the Persians advance into most of Arabia (instead of just having vassal states), where most contact done with Persia proper is through Arabia, letting instead the Nestorian faith and missionaries seep throughout Arabia and become the religion of choice. While it doesn't become large in Persia, it does slowly become the religion of the wealthier class of merchants and nobles who work through Mesopotamia. So, discounting the Mongols (as the political situation will determine what they convert to, if anything), you would have Nestorianism being strong in its core in Mesopotamia/parts of Arabia, and having a strong minority in Persia.

To really get this, you need a pre-Islam PoD, probably. Mesopotamia is in a poor defensive position, and cannot weather being the wedge between three separate civilizations.

Maybe if Arabia is contained for centuries, the Arabs might convert to another religion (in piecemeal), but it might be towards one of the stronger ones.
 
What about a Nestorian (or other Christian) Oghuz Khanate? If enough missionaries suceed in evangelazing the population or the nobility in Turkic Central Asia (be it from christians within the Persian fleeing from the Caliphate, or from Georgian and Armenian missionaries traveling through the Caspian) then, assuming the turks eventually conquer Persia and the Levant as per OTL Seljuks, you would have most of the middle east under the rule of these christian turkic peoples.
 
What about a Nestorian (or other Christian) Oghuz Khanate? If enough missionaries suceed in evangelazing the population or the nobility in Turkic Central Asia (be it from christians within the Persian fleeing from the Caliphate, or from Georgian and Armenian missionaries traveling through the Caspian) then, assuming the turks eventually conquer Persia and the Levant as per OTL Seljuks, you would have most of the middle east under the rule of these christian turkic peoples.

You'd need a pre-Islamic POD for mostly Christian Turks.
 
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