AHC: Have a Green Party come to power somewhere.

Doesnt Iceland currently have a Left-Green PM? If that doesnt fulfill the terms of the PoD, then you could always have the current Grand Coalition in Germany collapse (maybe Merz beats AKK), and the subsequent election see's the Greens emerge as the largest party, which isnt far off of where most polls had them at the time. They could then either form a government with the SPD, or if the arithmetic didnt work for that, the CDU.
 
Doesnt Iceland currently have a Left-Green PM? If that doesnt fulfill the terms of the PoD, then you could always have the current Grand Coalition in Germany collapse (maybe Merz beats AKK), and the subsequent election see's the Greens emerge as the largest party, which isnt far off of where most polls had them at the time. They could then either form a government with the SPD, or if the arithmetic didnt work for that, the CDU.
So If the Grand coalition collapses they would hold new elections?
 

oberdada

Gone Fishin'
Latvia had a prime minister from the Union of Greens and Farmers.

Austria has an Green President that officially ran as an independent.
 
For some reason, after the Fukushima disaster in 2011, a federal election takes place in Germany. The Greens maintain their momentum from the polls and become the second strongest party with 24%. The Greens and the SPD form afterwards a government with Chancellor Jürgen Trittin and Vice-Chancellor Peer Steinbrück.
 
For a fleeting moment in New Zealand the Green Party was polling %15, the highest it had ever polled before then, until their co-leader was found out to have lied to the Ministry of Social Development to receive higher payments when she was on the Domestic Purposes Benefit in her early 20s. Lets say that doesn't become public knowledge, or Metiria Turei is never even elected co-leader. The Greens would have a much larger stake in the coalition government, more than enough to become full cooperative partners. James Shaw probably becomes Deputy PM to Jacinda Ardern.
 
Doesnt Iceland currently have a Left-Green PM?

The Left Green Movement is not a member of the Global Greens. It was formed by the members of the left parties in Iceland who objected to the merger of the four left-of-center parties into the Social Democratic Alliance. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_Democratic_Alliance It seems to me more of a Left/Socialist party (though of course an environmentally conscious one) than a Green party in the traditional sense. The parties with which it is associated with in the Nordic Green Left Alliance https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nordic_Green_Left_Alliance also seem to be basically left-socialist parties--indeed, some like the Left party in Sweden and the Left Alliance in Finland have their roots in the old Communist parties.
 
Either as the dominant member in a coalition or as a majority government.

For reference here's a wiki page that lists the various contemporary green parties: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Greens

From 1998 to 2005 the german Green Party formed a coalition government with the SPD (Cabinet Schröder I and II). True, they were the junior partner, but they got very important government posts (Joschkar Fischer became Foreign Minister and Vice Chancellor). This was the only time the Green Party was ever part of a Bundesregierung.

In some Bundesländern the situation is different however. The Green Party is currently part of multiple state governments, though, exept for one case, as junior partner. There was only Green-dominated (so Green Party as senior partner) state government, namely in Baden Wurtemberg. It existed from 2011 to this day.
 
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From 1998 to 2005 the german Green Party formed a coalition government with the SPD (Cabinet Schröder I and II). True, they were the junior partner, but they got very important government posts (Joschkar Fischer became Foreign Minister and Vice Chancellor). This was the only time the Green Party was ever part of a Bundesregierung.

In some Bundesländern the situation is different however. There were multiple Green-dominated (so Green Party as senior partner) state governments in the past few decades. Currently there is only one, namely in Baden Wurtemberg.
There were several coalition state governments, in which the Green Party was the junior partner, but the only one, in which they have been the senior partner is the current one in Baden-Württemberg with Winfried Kretschmann as Ministerpräsident.

Ministerpr%C3%A4sidenten_der_deutschen_L%C3%A4nder.svg
 
There were several coalition state governments, in which the Green Party was the junior partner, but the only one, in which they have been the senior partner is the current one in Baden-Württemberg with Winfried Kretschmann as Ministerpräsident.

Ministerpr%C3%A4sidenten_der_deutschen_L%C3%A4nder.svg

Yeah, I realized that only after writing the post. I thought the Greens were the senior partner in Rheinland-Pfalz a few years ago, but I was wrong. I've edited my post allready.
 
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So If the Grand coalition collapses they would hold new elections?
It's one possibility. There would be attempts to put together something new by reviving the 'Jamaica' coalition that was first considered in 2017 (CDU, Green, and FDP) or possibly have some kind of CDU minority, even if that is a fairly alien idea in German political culture. But if all of that fails, then there is little option but to hold a snap election.
 
M5S has a strong environmentalist streak, and has tried to join the Green group in the European Parliament (if that's enough to be considered 'Green') in the past, only to be rejected due to their more right wing discourse on immigration. They've subsequently gone on to be the largest party in two coalition governments in Italy over the last few years. So a situation where the left of that party is stronger could see them accepted into the Greens, thus arguably making them a green party leading a government.
 
There was a possibility that the Alliance would get second place in the 1996 New Zealand election. The Green Party made up a significant faction of the alliance, likely resulting in at least one Green
PM if there is an Alliance-National party system.

The UK Green Party was formed in 1985 in response to rumors that a group of Liberal MPs would form their own Green Party. In a timeline where Jenkins wins a 1984 election, a future PM could come from Green part of the SDP-Liberal-Green Alliance.
 
If that doesnt fulfill the terms of the PoD, then you could always have the current Grand Coalition in Germany collapse (maybe Merz beats AKK), and the subsequent election see's the Greens emerge as the largest party, which isnt far off of where most polls had them at the time. They could then either form a government with the SPD, or if the arithmetic didnt work for that, the CDU.
Those are pre-Corona polls.
Right now SPD and Greens are both at 16%, while the CDU is at around 37%
 
Those are pre-Corona polls.
Right now SPD and Greens are both at 16%, while the CDU is at around 37%
Yes, but the election would also take place pre-Corona, so the Greens would stand a good chance of winning, particularly if a CDU move to the right see's more liberal voters that Merkel attracted migrate to them.
 
For some reason, after the Fukushima disaster in 2011, a federal election takes place in Germany. The Greens maintain their momentum from the polls and become the second strongest party with 24%. The Greens and the SPD form afterwards a government with Chancellor Jürgen Trittin and Vice-Chancellor Peer Steinbrück.
Those are pre-Corona polls.
Right now SPD and Greens are both at 16%, while the CDU is at around 37%
From memory the Irish Greens have been in a coalition Government, and the Scottish Green Party have effectively been in a coalition with the SNP. There are German State Green parties in office and they very narrowly failed to be in a coalition with the CDU and the FDP after the last German Federal Election. If the SPD continues to fall between the various stools its likely the Greens will either be in the next government with the CDU and possibly the FDP, or just possibly in a 3 way Coalition with the SPD, depending whether the Linke or FDP can make up the numbers. No one is going to deal with the AFD, if they did the CDU/CSU would lose significant numbers of votes in the centre (but that would be good news for the FDP and Greens and even possibly the SPD)
 
From memory the Irish Greens have been in a coalition Government, and the Scottish Green Party have effectively been in a coalition with the SNP. There are German State Green parties in office and they very narrowly failed to be in a coalition with the CDU and the FDP after the last German Federal Election. If the SPD continues to fall between the various stools its likely the Greens will either be in the next government with the CDU and possibly the FDP, or just possibly in a 3 way Coalition with the SPD, depending whether the Linke or FDP can make up the numbers. No one is going to deal with the AFD, if they did the CDU/CSU would lose significant numbers of votes in the centre (but that would be good news for the FDP and Greens and even possibly the SPD)
But I think OP means a Green-led government. And to achieve that you need a Green-SPD-Left-coalition which isn't impossible, but you seriously will have to alter Germany and the Greens because at the moment the Greens lack the ability to be a "people's party" which is able to reach out to all kind of voters.
 
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