AHC: Greater Somalia

Create a Greater Somalia.

The only rules is that the nation keeps existing even in modern time and that the country still has a centralized power in the capital (Mogadishu).
 

yourworstnightmare

Banned
Donor
So somehow have Somalia conquer Ogaden and keep it I guess. Or the Italians are able to conquer the Ogaden in the late 1800s/ eraly 1900s and thus it went to Somalia after independence.
 
Djibouti is easy, just haver the 1960 referendum go the other way (or stop the French from rigging the vote). North Eastern Kenya is the hard thing.

The best way I can see is more of it added to Jubaland as a compensation for Italian involvement in WWI.
Indeed, having the Italians precede the Ethiopians to Ogaden looks harder to me.
 

yourworstnightmare

Banned
Donor
The Italians were entrenching into Ogaden long after the Ethiopians claimed it. We just need to change some things to get the rest of the world supporting an Italian annexation. Perhaps no Haile Selassie, and a more Reactionary Ethiopian Empire would lead to Italy annexing Ogaden, and Ethiopia just screaming angrily, but not daring to do more.
 
The Italians were entrenching into Ogaden long after the Ethiopians claimed it. We just need to change some things to get the rest of the world supporting an Italian annexation. Perhaps no Haile Selassie, and a more Reactionary Ethiopian Empire would lead to Italy annexing Ogaden, and Ethiopia just screaming angrily, but not daring to do more.

A possibility would be if Ethiopia got even more weakened by the Somali sultanates/empires thus giving them time to annex the Ogaden completely. Because the Warsangeli Sultanate who fought the British and Ethiopians at the same time dominated the Ogaden but because of Britain starting to airbomb major cities they lost. Maybe if they won Ogaden and British Somaliland would belong to Warsangeli Sultanate which would later stay independent and join in a union with Italian Somaliland with close ties to Britain so that it can use the northern Somali coastline for its shipping.
Djibouti is harder tho because the French sent away Somalis and with the Afar and French majority over the Somalis in the country the vote for independence failed.
Also the problem of North Eastern District of Kenya still exists, the British had already held a referendum for those Somalis and they voted 98% yes for joining the new Somali Republic but the Kenyans would kick the British out and Britain gains more from a friendly Kenya than a Somalia that it has little relations with.
 
Ethiopia claimed, and sort of controlled, Ogaden since around 1895-97 IIRC, around the time of Adua. I hardly see any European power that could possibly be interested in challenging that claim at the time, not even Italy. Italy may be interested later, but any scenario including Italian italian aggression on Ethiopia and subsequent defeat in alt-WWII (supposing nothing happening in the Horn has consequences so deep to impact on both World Wars, that is plausible but far from certain) would likely see the preceding Ethiopian claims enforced.
So, one way could be just having all, or almost all, of Somalia under a single colonial power. Italy is distintictly unfit to this task, since she mostly lacked the drive to push her control, or even her claims, inland in the appropriate timeframe, and however sha had not the economic strength and political will to enforce such a policy even if she wanted to.
Maybe a German Somalia can do the trick?
Another possibility is avoiding the coalescence of the Salomonid Ethiopian Empire under Johannes and (especially) Menelik. If the major Neguses and Rases of the plateau are kept divided under a nominal Negus Nagast at best, Ethiopia would never control Western Somali lands and would also offer a much lesser resistance to any attempt at colonial conquest. Even Italy can manage to take the whole place then. The aftermath is anybody's guess, since no Adua analog MAY have far reaching implication in Europe, so that butterfly storms are possible.
 

yourworstnightmare

Banned
Donor
Ethiopia claimed, and sort of controlled, Ogaden since around 1895-97 IIRC, around the time of Adua. I hardly see any European power that could possibly be interested in challenging that claim at the time, not even Italy. Italy may be interested later, but any scenario including Italian italian aggression on Ethiopia and subsequent defeat in alt-WWII (supposing nothing happening in the Horn has consequences so deep to impact on both World Wars, that is plausible but far from certain) would likely see the preceding Ethiopian claims enforced.
So, one way could be just having all, or almost all, of Somalia under a single colonial power. Italy is distintictly unfit to this task, since she mostly lacked the drive to push her control, or even her claims, inland in the appropriate timeframe, and however sha had not the economic strength and political will to enforce such a policy even if she wanted to.
Maybe a German Somalia can do the trick?
Another possibility is avoiding the coalescence of the Salomonid Ethiopian Empire under Johannes and (especially) Menelik. If the major Neguses and Rases of the plateau are kept divided under a nominal Negus Nagast at best, Ethiopia would never control Western Somali lands and would also offer a much lesser resistance to any attempt at colonial conquest. Even Italy can manage to take the whole place then. The aftermath is anybody's guess, since no Adua analog MAY have far reaching implication in Europe, so that butterfly storms are possible.

Or a Balkanized Ethiopia never getting out of the Age of Princes. Have Tewodoros fail in his bid to become emperor and Ethiopia will remain split in several regional kingdoms, with the completely powerless Gonder emperors prevailing.
 
Or a Balkanized Ethiopia never getting out of the Age of Princes. Have Tewodoros fail in his bid to become emperor and Ethiopia will remain split in several regional kingdoms, with the completely powerless Gonder emperors prevailing.

Yes, this also. I would prefer to get rid of Menelik, or maybe Johannes, than Tewdoros, only to limit butterflies, but sure it would do the trick.
 
Osman Mahamuud kills his cousin, Yusuf Ali Kenadid, instead of allowing him to flee to Yemen. The civil war is thus much shorter, Hobyo is never established, and Majeerteen Sultanate continues to modernize due to its extensive trade links and contact with Europeans, mostly British and Italians. It eventually overtakes neighboring Warsangali, who was on the decline anyhow, and during the OTL First Italo-Ethiopian War Majeerteen intervenes, bringing Aussa under its influence, perhaps even pushing into what IOTL is considering Ethiopia; Harrar & Bale, perhaps even Gamu-Gofa.

At the same time the Geledi sultanate under first Ahmed Yusuf and then Osman Ahmed is far more successful in conquering the declining Ajuuraan empire and bringing several of the northern Swahili city-states under heel, even making Oman a tributary state, as per OTL.

By the late 1890s both Majeerteen and Geledi are swept up by the Dervish, and by the 20th century all of the Horn of Africa is united under one Somali-dominated state, which is successful in keeping the Europeans out and dominating the Red Sea and northeastern Indian Ocean.
 
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