AHC: FDR Loses Re-Election in 1944

With a point of departure of August 25, 1944 (the liberation of Paris), how could Roosevelt lose re-election in November?

At this point, Truman has already been selected as the Democratic Vice Presidential candidate, so Wallace is out of the electoral picture.
 
IMO it would take a very bad turn in his health which could not be concealed from the public (yet not quite bad enough to get him to withdraw).
 
Even with his enormous stature of Commander-in-Chief of an increasingly victorious American war effort, FDR won his narrowest victory in 1944, so I agree with David T that a big health scare (for example, collapsing during his swing through NYC in October, in a cold, driving rain), could have cost him the election.
 
Even with his enormous stature of Commander-in-Chief of an increasingly victorious American war effort, FDR won his narrowest victory in 1944, so I agree with David T that a big health scare (for example, collapsing during his swing through NYC in October, in a cold, driving rain), could have cost him the election.

I agree that this is the mostly likely avenue to a Dewey victory in 1944, especially if combined with some major scandal associated with Truman.
 
I agree that this is the mostly likely avenue to a Dewey victory in 1944, especially if combined with some major scandal associated with Truman.

Most likely yes but I don't know if you can rule out a big setback somewhere. What if Kurita had managed to get the Center fleet to Leyte gulf, and in better shape than in the OTL? I remember what the narrator said in the old "Victory at Sea" series "...the Japanese flotilla set a southward course--a southward course toward slaughter." Also, in his book on Leyte, Cutler suggested a disaster there might've cost FDR the election.
 
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