AHC: Communist Argentina

With a POD after 1940, is it possible for Argentina to become a communist country and, are there any leaders that immediately come to mind? Che leading a revolution in his own country, does have a certain appeal. Further, where would the conservative elements seek refuge?
 
What makes this really hard is that in OTL Peronism in Argentina practically monopolized the working-class strength that Communists relied on in other countries. (Not that Communism was very strong even before Peron. In 1924, delegates to the Fifth Comintern Congress reported only 3,500 members in Argentina. http://books.google.com/books?id=AXI7AAAAIAAJ&pg=PA31 Within the labor movement, they had to struggle against Socialists and Anarchists--the latter were unusually strong in Argentina.)
 
Che lead a very unsuccessful expedition to northern Argentina before his final war in Bolivia

So you could look for ways to make that more successful, e.g. stronger local team with Che, more conducive conditions where they started
 
You can have pretty much every country in the developing world go communist. The formula is going to be pretty much the same everywhere:

1) Strongman wins a power struggle.

2) Strongman tries to get support from the US but the US government opposes him, for whatever reason.

3) Strongman turns to the USSR (or in some cases China) for support.

4) Country becomes the "Democratic People's Republic" of whatever, puts a hammer and sickle in its flag, whatever.

This is not meant to imply that the actual Soviet bloc aligned leaders were not sincere leftists. But there are also plenty of examples of leftist intellectuals turned politicians who discovered the virtues of capitalism and "third way" politics and economics after entering the embrace of the USA.

Exceptions are places that are too big, powerful, and self-contained for the USA really to matter that much, the exceptions being China, which did go Communist, and India, which didn't but which has a large homegrown Communist Party (actually two). South Africa is another possible exception. Maybe Mexico, and that would be a really, really interesting ATL. But Argentina would stick to the formula.
 
The agitation of the communist party has to be more successfull, untill they have enough support for a revolution.

But there has to be the right historical situation for this to happen. Maybe the old government discredits itself, labour strikes are broken up, government shoots into the crowd, government is seen as US proxy, communism and the USSR are seen as a good alternative, etc.

This fits not only for Argentine, but basicly for every nation. There is no special time period either.
 

samcster94

Banned
What makes this really hard is that in OTL Peronism in Argentina practically monopolized the working-class strength that Communists relied on in other countries. (Not that Communism was very strong even before Peron. In 1924, delegates to the Fifth Comintern Congress reported only 3,500 members in Argentina. http://books.google.com/books?id=AXI7AAAAIAAJ&pg=PA31 Within the labor movement, they had to struggle against Socialists and Anarchists--the latter were unusually strong in Argentina.)
Argentina never seemed like a good candidate for Communism. The country, pre-Peron, had an economy more like Australia's(albeit more unequal with much weaker institutions). A fascist or fascist lite one(more Franco than Hitler) seems more likely.
 
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