Most of Madoc's last post belongs in chat, because it's basically "Republicans are responsible for the Clinton economic boom." I think that argument is demonstrably false, but since it's not really relevant to the TL here, I'm not going to respond to it here.
However, there is one point Madoc tries to make that I think deserves emphasis:
At this point Bill Clinton's record is not all that stellar. His big push in his first term was health care reform as led by his wife. That turned into such an epic disaster that it cost the Democrats the House. AND it burned any hope of actual health care reform for an entire generation. That's not much to crow about for Bubba.
The only problem with this argument is that Clinton's approval ratings were in the high 60s/low 70s at precisely this time So, yes, 30% of the country agreed with you -- in rather the same way that 30% of the country today thinks Obama is a Kenyan Marxist who plotted 9/11. However, the evidence demonstrates that pretty much
everyone else in the world -- moderate Republicans, centrists, and Democrats -- all felt exactly the opposite.
With the GOP in control of the House they throttled Bill Clinton to the point that he finally retreated from his liberal economic policies and gave it up for the Republicans. That brought about a definite economic boom for the nation. In OTL, Billy Jeff was exceptionally adroit at laying claim to that boom as his own. This, when it was actually due to the Republicans forcing their economic agenda upon him.
You've unwittingly scored an own goal here. Since we're talking about the
political implications, it doesn't matter if Clinton "deserves" the credit for the late 90s economic boom or if he "stole" it from the Republican Congress; so long as Clinton actually
gets the credit -- which he did IOTL, and you've given no reasons why he wouldn't ITTL -- then it redounds to Clinton's
political advantage.
I could add that your argument is wrong both in terms of public policy and history, but again: it doesn't matter. You've conceded that voters were ready to credit Clinton for the economic upturn in his second term; that -- plus the actual data showing that voters
did in fact do so is enough to support my argument that those same people are going to be mighty pissed that a minority of right-wing ideologues have driven that President from office over something that each and every one of them have also done (that is, have affairs and lie about them).