Will Kürlich Kerl
Banned
Challenge: Have George Bush Sr. become the Republican nominee in 1996, and then have George Bush Sr. win the 1996 presidential election.
Challenge: Have George Bush Sr. become the Republican nominee in 1996, and then have George Bush Sr. win the 1996 presidential election.
Best option? Somalia gets mishandled even worse than in OTL, and in 1994, Bush gives a speech in which he admits he blew it in 1990 with the budget deal, and blasts Clinton over Somalia and the mishandling of foreign policy.
Then, in 1995, during the budget battle, the Monica Lewinsky scandal erupts.
Do that and then have Ross Perot either die, decline to run or endorse Bush in the 1996 election.
Do that and then have Ross Perot either die, decline to run or endorse Bush in the 1996 election.
I was going to say that George HW Bush was too old to win the nomination in 1996.tThen I looked it up. hHe was a year younger than bBob Dole.
Didn't Perot actually "steal" more votes from Clinton than Dole in 1996?
In early 1995, the general consensus was that Clinton's Presidency was all but over, to the point where he actually had to insist on his own relevance. Clinton managed to regain his popularity largely because of the economy, but also because of the way in which he looked better next to Speaker Gingrich. So let us say that Gingrich loses in 1990 ad nearly happened, and a much more reasonable individual becomes Speaker. There is no government shutdown, no grand confrontations, and Clinton never loses the appearance of incompetence he had in 1993 and 1994. Though the economy is improving Clinton is not the shoe in he was in the actual 1996 election. Combine that with some sort of international crisis early enough for Bush to enter and somehow remove Dole from the equation, Bush might stand a slight chance of making a comeback.
Or you could have the Clinton administration go down in flames after losimg a few key votes in 1993.
Yep, Perot voters second choice was Clinton by 54% to 38% according to the polls. Wonder if the rest of them would have turned out at all.
Without Gingrich, there likely isn't a Republican Revolution to begin with, though.
HW Bush couldn't run again in 2000 and 9/11, if a similar event occurs at all, will not be as we know it.How about a sex scandal in October 1996? gGHW Bush has been in good health. aAfter his probable reelection in 2000. I think his likely Vice President Jack Kemp uses 9-11 and marriage to win in 2004. In the time of economic collapse he loses in 2008. Is there in an Iraq War?
Without Gingrich, there likely isn't a Republican Revolution to begin with, though.