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Since it's been well over two years since we approached this question, and since there have been notableliterature on the historical Jesus since then, I thought it would be a good time to revisit the matter.
First, without changing Jesus or his[/His] ministry, how can the historical man be spared execution? Is it plausible that Pilate could decide not to crucify him, or would he have to avoid capture somehow (e.g. no betrayal)? If avoids crucifixion during that Passover, it is possible for him to avoid execution or assassination for the rest of his natural life? How would his ministry, and subsequently "Christianity", be affected?