AHC and WI:Japanese settle Taiwan

What POD could make the Japanese settle to Taiwan, is it a Mongol invasion of Japan or the fleeing Kirishitans could settle Taiwan and what would be the consequences of the Japanese settling Taiwan?
 
There was a time before the Tokugawa Shogun (first? second? third?) closed the country that japaneses adventurers, merchants and settlers left for lands affar, like that guy who ended becoming a noble in Thailand, a samurai...


This is an early POD.
OR Hideyoshi staying alive longer, consolidating his rule, keeping japan (more) open..) OR even distant, the Taira of the sea and merchants supposedly win over the Minamoto who where more conservatively land and warriors based...

OR the Ryukyu nation, later Kingdom (once an independant nation) settle it... Blessing of the chinese emperor maybe. Maybe they need more arms..
 
They did settle Taiwan... starting in 1895 (insert annoyingly self-righteous smily here)

Earlier, I mean..Before the Chinese settle it.



OR the Ryukyu nation, later Kingdom (once an independant nation) settle it... Blessing of the chinese emperor maybe. Maybe they need more arms..

I think Ryukyu is very much weak that it acted like a Buffer/Middleman state between Japan and China, I think Japan needs to annex it earlier in order for Japan to become more of a power earlier.
 
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There were apparently quite a few cases of merchants/pirates/et al settling Taiwan before the Tokugawa shogunate closed the country off. Any POD that eliminates that could easily the Japanese rather than Chinese settle Taiwan.
 
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