Isn't this OTL between 1949 and the 1990s?
This POD is a bit early, but I guess it could work.I guess we could achieve this by having a Spanish Formosa, history goes by the attractor option of Chaos Theory, then have the Spanish-American War.
The Formosa Statehood movement gains steam, but that's post 1900.Bump. Any more ideas?
So Taiwan would be an American protectorate?The most obvious arrangement for me is for the Americans to be brought in as a neutral broker.
Say the Japanese don't do quite as well in the Sino-Japanese War. When the European powers weigh in, they decide to maintain the declared Republic of Taiwan that appeared during the war. Of course, times being what they are, they can't concieve of leaving it "unprotected," and are equally unable to decide who "gets" it. If this situation coincides with the right president, it might just be swingable.