With no PoDs prior to May of 1876 (no changing the April Uprising in Bulgaria or the coup of Midhat Pasha), how can we get the following:
  1. the Ottoman Reformists and First Constitution enjoy longer term success
  2. Germany and Russia don't have a falling out, and remain allies in the longer term (likely meaning the German-AH alliance falls)
  3. the domestic reforms of Alexander II are not seriously hampered
And if a PoD achieving these three are possible, what are some other possible effects?
 
The Ottoman war Minister Hüseyin Avni Pasha survives his OTL June 1876 assassination attempt. With his leadership, the Ottomans win the Russo=Ottoman war and the progressive reformists are vindicated instead of discredited. This means that AHII doesn't have to prorogue parliament, the most productive province aren't torn away, and many other very good things happen. Russia doesn't feel "betrayed" about the Balkan settlement and gets pushed away from the Balkans instead of pulled in. Therefore, the German-Russia alliance lasts longer without the Balkan conflict between Russia and Austria-Hungary. Russia realized it needed to reform even after the victory OTL so I'm not sure if a failure would change much. It certainly seems like a possibility that Alexanders reforms would encounter less resistance though.

Now, this exact PoD has been explored a bunch on this forum previously by banned user Abdul Hadi Pasha. Here's one example.
 
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So it sounds like the Ottomans get more respect in Europe, while Russia is more underestimated (especially if they're actually stronger than OTL, passing more aggressive reforms under Alexander II); with the German-Russian alliance in better straights, what now becomes of the Austro-Hungarian Empire? Aside from not getting to annex Bosnia (which itself is probably a plus for them).

(Full disclosure, I'm seeing this in combo with Alexander II surviving and reigning another decade or so)

CONSOLIDATE: Just realized something -- Egypt is now less likely to fall under British control circa 1882 (due to Ottomans keeping Cyprus and generally being in a better position to keep rebellious nabobs), meaning that the Scramble for Africa is also seriously affected. (It also likely means my thoughts for possible changes to Africa won't happen TTL.)
 
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