Admiral Canaris
Banned
I agree with Canaris, those scenarios have still to deal with the UK subject. To say that Hallifax would surrender UK and allow occupation is clearly ASB. Britain somehow invaded in 1940 is almost ASB,too.
So the only plausible explanation for a non-western front is peace with the british. And no UK in the war means no US entry in the war, that's for sure.
So that leaves us with the Moscow option. The germans do better and defeat the USSR in the first blow (or the second, with Blue). That means they still have two years to prepare against allied invasion and, more important, to divert resoruces to their only real menace, the allied air force.
Then we get to 1945 with a Reich that has been reinforcing their air defences with almost nothing else to do (maybe clean up North Africa and garrison the east).
I guess it won't be that easy to nuke that Reich. The germans would have factories far away from allied range, and can use all their oil and men to their fighters. They had a lead also in land-air missiles.
And Hitler always can find a flat in Paris or Copenhaguen, if he is too afraid of the bomb.
This, however, is wank the other way. The B-36 was, by the standards of the time, effectively a "wank-weapon", with its range and ceiling. The Germans might be able to scramble something that could barely intercept it (Is TBO set in '46 or later? For some reason I come to think of 1948.), but not entire fleets of it.
Also, you're making defeating the Soviets waaay too easy.