MacCaulay said:
My version of the end of the war, in a nutshell: The US Mediterranean fleet could bombard the French coast, drawing the French fleet (rickety though it was) back to defend their coast.
It may have been rickety but it would crucify the US fleet and the commitment needed to do so wouldn’t have been a blip compared with France’s other commitments.
In 1801 the US Med squadron comprised the following ships, USS President (55 gun Frigate), USS Essex ( 46 gun frigate), USS Philadelphia (36 gun frigate) and USS Enterprise (12 gun schooner).
In 1803 USS Constitution ( 54 gun frigate) joined the Squadron.
Back in the US the Americans have about a dozen ships, 4 of them the heavier frigates and the rest lighter frigates or weaker.
When the French fleet tries to sail out of the Gulf of Mexico, the American Navy hits them around Bermuda,
And finds that the French have ships of the line unlike them, they either get sunk or they run away.
then lets the Royal Navy and the returning ships of the Med Squadron pick them off as they try and get back to France to defend against an enemy that is no longer there.
Because it's on the bottom of the Med.
The French Army of Louisiana, after six months of valiant fighting in the bayous of Louisiana and the forests of what would become Arkansas and Mississippi, surrenders after General Zebulon Pike defeats their offensive force at the Battle of Mobile Bay and General Andrew Jackson defeats the relief force at the Battle of New Orleans.
The French will already have those positions and assuming the force in Haiti somehow avoids dying out because of Yellow fever (which seems to be necessary to get this war off the ground) they will have somewhere in the region of 20-40,000 troops available.
The Americans couldn't beat the initial 6,000 British regulars along a border which was much more settled and where they could draw upon militia.
I don't fancy their chances against 20,000-40,000 French dug in 300 miles from eth nearest US fort and 500 miles from the nearest settled area.
Col. George Rogers Clark moves his force to the 47th Parallel bordering Canada after a spectacular crossing of the Mississippi at what would be Rock Island, Illinois.
The Treaty of Vienna gives control off all French territory that the US offered to buy two years before, and the US Army presence on other side of the river promises a more orderly settlement of the northern Louisiana Territory.
Thoughts?
I think you are over estimating the US by a large margin, the French will have problems because of their supply lines and it is that which will eventually force them to surrender (assuming there isn’t enough food locally available) not US action.