AH Challenge: Japan keeps Taiwan after World War II

With a POD after August 1945 and before the Treaty of San Francisco, how can Japan retain control of Taiwan to the present day? The later your POD the better.
 
For Formosa (Taiwan) to possibly be kept as part of Japan and not demanded back by Mainland China??

Maybe a massive immigration policy of moving Imperial Japanese Colonists to the Island at a steady rate so that they would eventually outnumber the native Formosans...

And possibly send any Mainland Chinese that had lived on Formosa (Taiwan) back to Mainland China...

Otherwise...

the Mainland Chinese Government (Nationalist) would / might demand that the Colonial Japanese Population living on Formosa (Taiwan) be evacuate back to Japan just like what the Soviets did to expel the German Prussians out of Prussia after 1945....
 
I guess I'm thinking that maybe the KMT is obliterated in the civil war before they can flee to Taiwan. Would that help?
 
I don't see how Japan can keep Taiwan but not Okinawa. I suppose the best chance for Japan controlling Taiwan is to somehow have China fall into colapse after WW2. Perhaps a more lasting Chinese Civil War all the to 1955 could make the trick. We might even have China divide itself into North China (communist) and South China (nationalist).
 
I don't see how Japan can keep Taiwan but not Okinawa. I suppose the best chance for Japan controlling Taiwan is to somehow have China fall into colapse after WW2. Perhaps a more lasting Chinese Civil War all the to 1955 could make the trick. We might even have China divide itself into North China (communist) and South China (nationalist).

I did not say that this Japan had to part with Okinawa either.
 
My best idea on them is to change Japan in the 19th Century, and not treat the Koreans or Formosans as serfs, but instead try to raise the idea of them being the brothers, born from the same Gods (which in the Koreans is actually true - the Japanese are genetically descended from the Koreans) which Japan is seeking to unify. So, while Japan still comes down hard on troublemakers, they do not look down on the Koreans or Formosans. This leads to Japan having more resources by the early 20th Century.

Then Japan sees the problems with empire-building and instead limits their efforts at power at influencing their neighbors rather than conquering them. This allows their alliance with Britain to remain intact and allows them to enter WWII on the Allied side. China, meanwhile, sees the Soviets strongly back Mao after the Long March, and so Chiang sides with the Axis. Over the 1930s, Japan plays the field in China for influence, but Chiang's joining the Axis leads to a full-scale Soviet intervention on Mao's side in 1945, using the battle-hardened Red Army to settle that fight. Chiang's forces are destroyed by mid-1946, Chiang himself is hanged in December 1946. Much more allied with the USSR, China is openly hostile towards Japan, and the Allies allow Japan to formally annex Formosa into Japan in 1947 to keep it from Mao and the Chinese communists. (This also allows Japan to keep Sakhalin Island and part of the Kuriles.) Japan sides entirely with the West in the fight to contain communism and fund a major armed forces, but being part of the Allied armies against Hitler allows the Japanese to learn just how much has changed among people, which the Japanese proudly add to by pointing out that they had not discriminated against Koreans or Formosans in years.

The result is that the current Japan includes Korea and Formosa, as well as Sakhalin and parts of the Kuriles, and Japan's population is nearer to 200 million, and the country is one of the world's major economic powers.
 
I got an idea!


I may see the glass half empty too often but I see a whole push for "brotherhood and unity" in east Asia working about as well as former country that resided in southeastern Europe. I would see any attempt to hold onto akin to a paritular animation short:
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In a kind of toungue and cheek perhaps a more haphazzard but maybe sure fire way for Japan to hold onto Formosa to a certain degree was if after they conquered it in 1895 (seeing how the British have been largely left alone with the 100 year Hong Kong lease) Imperial Japan signs a 55 year lease with the Qing because they are so confident China will remain in political shambles. So fast foward to 1950, despite a few years before there being pleas from the RoC to the US to pressure post-war Japan to succeed Taiwan, Douglas MacArthur convinces Truman to keep the island under Japanese control (with major US presence) as a surfire bullwark against any Communism in light of the Korean War. Eventually, an agreement is reached where Chiang Kai Shek gains certain political control and the right to bring in refugees from mainland China while Japan maintains control over travel, commerce as well as budgets for existing infastructure. This may not seem so far fetched considering OTL Taiwan's mass transit, traffic systems and skyscrapers owe much to Japanese companies. So until this very day Taiwan remains a semi-autonomous province of Japan not unlike OTL Hong Kong to the PRC or Puerto Rico to the US, additionally with part of the island zoned for a large US armed forces base in place of or an auxiliary to OTL's Okinawa.
 
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So the answer is no?
Yes the answer is no. Without a whole swarm of ASBs that would completely destroy the U.S. forces in the western Pacific there is no way that after August 1945 (I would even say as early as November 1944) The Japanese would be allowed to keep any territory outside the Home Islands
 
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