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Conditions:

1) A POD no earlier than late December 1941
2) German surrender happens essentially on schedule
3) The US and Britain firmly support a Germany-first strategy
4) The Soviets do not declare war on Japan before February 1941 at the earliest
5) The atom bomb becomes usable no earlier than it did historically.

Given those conditions, how could we end up with Japan falling before Germany in the fewest possible points of divergence?
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