AH Challenge: Best case scenario for 20th century Argentina

Since the OTL 20th century was obviously (especially after 1930 coup and Juan Peron took the presidency in 1946) the worst that could happen, what could be the best-case scenario for the Argentines (Argentina wank is excluded). POD can be pre-1900, but the emphasis is on the post-1900 era.

One scenario that I can see that would be better would be if the 1930 coup didn't happened at all (preventing Juan Peron's rise to power) or Roberto Ortiz stays healthy, reforming the Argentina's politics and bring Argentina into World War II at the Allied side (preventing US alienation to Argentina, therefore joining the post-WWII economic boom).
 
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Well, the 20th Century could very well been worse. A very simple POD can cause a war with Chile in 1978 which would have been catastrophic for both countries, and that's just one thing.
However regarding improving it.... there are many ways, specially with pre-1900 PODs.
No war of the Triple Alliance, resulting in a strong Paraguay which will benefit the region in the long run.
Continuing Rosas idea of giving small frontier land parcels to people to work them, specially if we add immigration to the mix. That will, in the long run, create a rural middle class. Hard to do, as the business elite wanted to lands for themselves and the only benefit they would see in such a measure would be using immigrants as a shield against indian raids. And of course, they might very well exterminate the indians and get done with the issue.
A parliamentary system or a revocatory referendum for the President. That will dilute political crisis, although I'm not sure about any reasonable POD.
Overall, either no red menace, French or American advisors during the cold war or, to make it better, no Cold War and probably no WWII at all.

No Peron, however the necessary reforms get pushed without all the negative elements of peronism.
Peron chooses a competent VP in 1973, maybe the whole 1976 coup is avoided. Later on the 80s, Menem is unable to win the PJ internal elections.



And how about less immigration between the 19th and 20th century? While it would certainly turn Argentina into a smaller country, economically speaking, it will also mean there would be a smaller work force which could very well be employed in profitable and efficient sectors only, such as the agricultural sector, tourism and small auto and petrochemical industries, moving into services as the 20th century advances. Overall GDP might very well be lower, however GDP per Capita might end up higher.
 

Larrikin

Banned
1930 coup

Doesn't happen, instead Argentina continues as a fully functioning democracy and doesn't go through the fascism, Peronistas, military juntas, etc.

It would very likely end up somewhat similar in standard of living and economic clout as Canada and Australia. After all, until things started heading south of the Straits of Magellan in the '30s that's where Argentina was.
 
Another, To get the best case scenario for Argentina, these would be the list of PODs.

19th century:

Successful British invasion in Buenos Aires.

Argentina turn into a constitutional monarchy, with the descendants of Tupac Amaru as the monarch. (as Belgrano suggested)

Manuel Belgrano survives and manage the economy.

Rivadavia is being butterfly away.

Uruguay is part of Argentina.

Rosas didn't became a president.

Federalists and Unitarians decides to unite into a single goal.

Argentina promotes immigration much earlier than in OTL (Argentina might get a bulk of Irish immigrants in 1840s if Argentina was fully united).

Sarmiento redistributes the farm land to the immigrants (therefore establishing a viable middle class in the rural areas aside from urban area).

Alsina was the president instead of Roca.

1890 economic crisis didn't happened at all.


20th century:

Argentina decides to restrict immigration from Europe therefore, economically speaking it will also mean there would be a smaller work force which could very well be employed in profitable and efficient sectors only.

World War I is being delayed by 20 years or didn't happened at all therefore, the flow of British, French and German investments in Argentina will not be interrupted by the war and in the long term basis, it would create a viable middle class in urban and rural areas in Argentina, that prevents the rise of populism.

Irigoyen didn't ran at all in 1928 and let Lisandro de la Torre to win the 1928 election.

Argentina decides to join the British Commonwealth of Nations and therefore Argentina will be included to Imperial Preference.

1930 coup didn't happened at all.

Roberto Ortiz stays healthy instead of resigning in 1940 due to diabetes, therefore continuing the political reforms that he started, prevents the 1943 coup (preventing Juan Peron to rise to power), and brings Argentina into World War II at the Allied side.

Juan Peron is being assassinated 1945.

Juan Peron decides to open Argentina to foreign investment, instead of alienating the Catholic Church after Eva's death therefore, prevents 1955 coup.

Frondizi is not being overthown in the 1962 coup and the election in 1964 with Illa as a victor and 1970 election would be Balbin as a victor.

Cafiero or De Tella was the economic minister after Ber's death instead of Rodrigo in 1975 therefore reducing the hyperinflation problems after Ber and Peron's death.

1976 coup didn't happened at all and let election to defeat Isabel Peron instead of coup.

Alfonsin decides to privitize the government-owned corporation and appoints competent and pro-free market economic minister.

Menem never rises to power and let Cafiero to be the Peronist candidate in 1989.
 
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