AF France more discussion

Lumsden

Banned
Action Francaise comes to power in France in 1934 and restores the King. I can get that far by various means, but I'm just thinking through the consequences.

It is very important to note that the Action Francaise is not 'Herr Hitler, but speaking French'. Nor is it Fascist, the closest real world analogy we have is Spain under Franco - a National Catholic state.

Firstly, many of Hitler's gambles - the occupation of the Rhineland, Czechoslovakia, Austria - are far less likely to succeed with M. Maurras (or someone else - Maurice Pujo? Petain?) in Paris. In fact, as Dolfuss' Austria and the AF are very close in terms of philosophy, and with Mussolini's support, I can say that the Anschluss will not happen with some confidence.

Furthermore, it will not join the Axis. The songs of the AF talk of 'les juifs et les allemands' and 'les ennemis teutons'. An alliance with Germany is nil.
It's overwhelmingly likely, in the event of a WW2 anything like the one we know that AF France will remain neutral, as Franco's Spain did.

The effect on Poland will be interesting. . I imagine it will be the French and not the Germans who provide much aid to Spain in the Civil War.

Of course, the odds of WW2 as we know it happening at all are very low. We have Hitler in Berlin, but Dolfuss in Vienna has a very strong ally with whom I suspect Mussolini, Salazar and (when he comes to power - in order to get the AF into power I moved the Asturian miners strike back to 1933 by having Gil-Robles made PM of Spain and a civil war breaking out with a bigger revolt, hence the Pope lifting the condemnation of AF) *Franco in Spain will ally with.

Poland was an ally of France and I don't think its impossible that Miedzymorze will get an airing (esp. with Catholic and right-wing Hungary, an ally of Italy's. probably with the Czechs and if the Vilnius dispute can be settled with Smetona in Lithuania).

Things are looking very bad for Herr Hitler. Will Nazism just collapse? Or will he try something - he'll lose any way he looks at it.

Well well, I am going on, I shall try to boil it down:

AF France (France from herein) has natural allies in Poland, Portugal and, after the ATL Civil War, the National Catholic state that will emerge in Spain. Ditto Austria. It is extremely likely Mussolini will seek his allies there. That brings Hungary 'in'.

Hitler is hemmed in and I imagine that's the end of him - if he tries to move on the Rhineland, he will be thumped. Perhaps the army might get rid of him - a conservative military rule.

If there is going to be a world war, I imagine Stalin will be behind it. How I don't know - the danger in the east is one of the reasons I imagine Poland will push very hard for Miedzymorze. I wonder if there will be.

In the East, Japan will invade China. Whether America will be dragged in somehow I don't know.

Discuss! Am I on the right lines? Europe sans Nazism, generally right-wing, Nationalist, staunchly Catholic. Church and state will have a close, mutually beneficial relationship across Europe. There won't be anything like the camps of Poland in WW2. Europe's Jews will probably be deported or encouraged to emigrate to Palestine. As a complete aside, there practically certainly won't be a Vatican II.

Any comments or suggestions?
Patrick Gray
 
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Lumsden

Banned
Sorry, I got Southern Victory (which I glanced over once) jumbled up with another chap who classified AF as a National-Socialistic movement. Oops.
 

Lumsden

Banned
Nothing? I only ask as I'm pretty 'green' at this whole AH lark and I don't want to look a fool.
 
Out of curiosity, which Royal line would be restored, the Legitimists or the Orleanists?

Orleanist, but the problem is that try "hated" maurras and the very idea to integrate nationalism, religion and royalism in to a whole was revolting to the king. Nationalism was a radical ideology nothing to do with royalism. It is likely that We have a long interim without a king.

Further, af and maurras held a strong idea that france should be alone, as i no whatsoever allies in order to repair Its stature. A splendid isolation.

I'm on an iPad so I Can't answer any longer at the moment, I recommend reading webers work on AF on a library if you can find it.
 
I think you have 'fascist' and 'nazi' confused. Spain was a fasocist state. Dolfuss's Austria called themselves that. It sure sounds like you AF France would be one too.

Itttl, it could be that Hitler is the one labelled something else.
 
Action Francaise comes to power in France in 1934 and restores the King. I can get that far by various means, but I'm just thinking through the consequences.

Depends on which Orleanist--the Legitimists are unlikely since they're also kings of Spain at that time--accepts the throne and how much power he is given. You could either see the king and AF fight each other or begrudgingly share power for a short time, but there'll be a break between the two factions fast. Then, it depends on how willing an Orleanist king would work within a government either like OTL Britain or Spain.

[...] If there is going to be a world war, I imagine Stalin will be behind it. How I don't know - the danger in the east is one of the reasons I imagine Poland will push very hard for Miedzymorze. I wonder if there will be.

I think that Stalin would be even less inclined to wage war in Europe than he was in OTL. For all of the reasons that you've pointed out, the Franco-Austrian-Italian-Polish alliance, no matter how loose, would be too united against any communist aggression to let the USSR invade. Britain might sit such a war out, though, if it did occur.

Orleanist, but the problem is that try "hated" maurras and the very idea to integrate nationalism, religion and royalism in to a whole was revolting to the king [...]

The next question then would be whether Maurras ignores the succession to find the most supportive/puppet candidate for the crown. Would he do something like this? I just took a French History college class and was pondering the same overall questions about the likelihood of a royal restoration.
 

Nietzsche

Banned
Orleanist, but the problem is that try "hated" maurras and the very idea to integrate nationalism, religion and royalism in to a whole was revolting to the king. Nationalism was a radical ideology nothing to do with royalism. It is likely that We have a long interim without a king.

Further, af and maurras held a strong idea that france should be alone, as i no whatsoever allies in order to repair Its stature. A splendid isolation.

I'm on an iPad so I Can't answer any longer at the moment, I recommend reading webers work on AF on a library if you can find it.

So basically, a Horthy situation. A kingdom without a king, and an admiral without a navy. :p
 
I think you have 'fascist' and 'nazi' confused. Spain was a fasocist state. Dolfuss's Austria called themselves that. It sure sounds like you AF France would be one too.

Itttl, it could be that Hitler is the one labelled something else.
It is impossible for a actual Catholic government to be fascist, fascism requires the state to be the most important thing in the lives of the citizens not God (there is a similar issue happening in China right now actually), a government that clams to be Catholic, but in practice isn't can be fascist though.
second France wouldn't stay neutral long, I would say Hitler would attack them anyway, if not only because they were the enemy in WWI
 
I'm not sure that all these other fascist "strong men" in Europe would be the end of Hitler. In fact, I think Hitler would see them as people he could do business with even if he didn't like them (like Mussolini).

I also don't see Austria surviving Hitler. There is no way an AF France would go to war with Germany to save Austria. The biggest difference would be that Hitler may not re-militarized the Rhineland in 1936 - he would have focused East.

I think you could have seen Anschluss in 37, and the Sudentenland quickly-thereafter. I also wonder if AF would have gone to war with Germany to defend Poland, I somehow doubt it. Look at Franco's regime, they stayed out of WWII and focused on internal and imperial concerns. I think an AF France would be in the same mold.

So would the UK have gone to war with Germany over Poland, without France? I really doubt it.

I actually think the sooner Hitler went to war with the Soviet Union the better for him, because he could bind all the fascist regimes of Europe into at least tacitly supporting his anti-Communist crusade.

Without the support from the British and later the Americans, and without all those men and vehicles used to occupy France and the Low Countries, I think the Germans would have had a much greater chance of success against the Soviet Union.
 

Nietzsche

Banned
Without the support from the British and later the Americans, and without all those men and vehicles used to occupy France and the Low Countries, I think the Germans would have had a much greater chance of success against the Soviet Union.
The net-loss of the occupation of France and the Low Countries is absolutely nothing compared to what they gained in materials. It allowed them to secure basic supplies, things to trade for supplies, and equipment that more than covered their losses. IIRC, something on the order of 1/5th of the artillery used in the beggining of Barbarossa was from France alone.

While it wasn't to nearly the extent of Bohemia or Poland, the Nazis were able to plunder untold amounts of goods from the West. Without that, you're looking at a few more years to build-up for an attack against the Soviet Union. And the longer they wait, the Soviet Union grows exponentially more powerful. Germany also grows stronger, but not at remotely the same speed as Russia. Germany, even with Western Europe firmly under its heel, still knew it had to take down Uncle Joe as quickly as was feasible. The longer they had to wait, the worse their situation would get.
 
Depends on which Orleanist--the Legitimists are unlikely since they're also kings of Spain at that time--accepts the throne and how much power he is given. You could either see the king and AF fight each other or begrudgingly share power for a short time, but there'll be a break between the two factions fast. Then, it depends on how willing an Orleanist king would work within a government either like OTL Britain or Spain.

If the "legitimate" pretender to the throne refuses it after it was offered to him, it wouldn't be too hard to find a taker. All you need is for the government to claim that the throne is vacant (since the king won't accept it), strike down a few undesirables from the list for various sensible sounding reasons until you get to the one you want then offer it to him (with the secret understanding that he should remember who put him there).

There is the precedent of Charles X abdication which resulted in his most direct heir being skipped over via some legal machination in favour of Louis-Philippe.
 
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Rex Mundi

Banned
It is impossible for a actual Catholic government to be fascist, fascism requires the state to be the most important thing in the lives of the citizens not God (there is a similar issue happening in China right now actually), a government that clams to be Catholic, but in practice isn't can be fascist though.

"God" can always construed as a supporter of all sorts of things. I hear people say some dumb shit like "I'm a proud, gun-owning, white Christian American"; clearly, whether or not Christ would be okay with pride, violence, racism or nationalism is of secondary importance to pushing an agenda. It's a fairly simple matter to associate obedience to God with obedience to the state; the French monarchy was even more expert at this than the American government is.
 
"God" can always construed as a supporter of all sorts of things. I hear people say some dumb shit like "I'm a proud, gun-owning, white Christian American"; clearly, whether or not Christ would be okay with pride, violence, racism or nationalism is of secondary importance to pushing an agenda. It's a fairly simple matter to associate obedience to God with obedience to the state; the French monarchy was even more expert at this than the American government is.
That's why I put in the disclaimer, you can have a pseudo-Catholic Fascist state, but under Catholicism you can't get make obedience to God the same as the State, closest thing you can get is Divine Right which isn't the same thing. That's reason every extremest-nationalistic state that I know of was or is anti-Catholic.
 
That's reason every extremest-nationalistic state that I know of was or is anti-Catholic.

I presume this excludes Franco's Spain as well as Austria, Hungary, Poland etc. between the wars? (All of which have already been mentioned in this discussion)
 
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