John Fredrick Parker
Donor
How would the election of 2004 play out if 9/11 had been averted? First off, who would the Democrats have nominated? Then, given this challenger, would Bush win a second term, and by how much?
The question is averted how, and when?How would the election of 2004 play out if 9/11 had been averted? First off, who would the Democrats have nominated? Then, given this challenger, would Bush win a second term, and by how much?
Hard to really tell how things would've gone, 9/11 happened REALLY early in Bush's first term that it came to define it. Hard to really tell what would've happened in his first term without it.
I seriously doubt the 2000 election would play a huge role in things. By the time it was over most people were glad it was done. To keep it playing out more and more would probably reveal WAY too much of the political election practices of BOTH parties.
No 9/11 also means no Iraq situation, thus people really don't get as politicized as they did, and alot of the 90's mentality of "if it's not happening over here, or truely serious, we don't give a shit" is still in place.
I doubt Gore would run again, I kept getting the feeling that whole ordeal left a bad taste in his mouth. By the time 2004 came around, he'd probably already be busy with his other endeavors.
No Iraq War also makes it hard to really decide who would run against Bush as it seemed to play a huge role in who decided to run.
The question is averted how, and when?
Well, it really depends on how 9/11 was prevented, was this a "caught at the last minute" prevention during Bush's administration or "Osama Bin Laden killed in cruise missile attack in 1998/99" prevention?
Let's say it's fairly last minute, and due to the rote passing of information w/in the bureaucracies -- enough to break up the relevant cells, but certainly no change in administration policy...
The former.
The Democrats win control of Congress in 2002. Bush's approval rate continues to decline. Gore runs again and wins.
Iraq invasion does not happen anyway?
Wow - you guys have more faith than me. with all the pre-positioning of stuff and chest thumping going on...I am totally convinced that the Invasion of Iraq was scheduled for late 2002. 9/11 delayed it for about six months, but it would have happened either way.