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General idea here -- assuming PoDs following the election of FDR to his third term, how would the Presidential Election of 1944 play out if Nazi Germany and/or Imperial Japan either had effectively won or were winning their respective wars?

Now, I realize full well that further details of our Axis Win are most probably relevant here; but I further realize that the actual plausibility of any given Axis Win scenario is going to be contested. So the only stipulation I'll add for now, if it may be so permitted -- and if the situation described stretches plausibility too much to be considered, feel free to disregard it, and if possible, answer the question as such.
Pearl Harbor (and initiation of the Southern Strategy) is either delayed or prevented, and the U.S. is not at war with Germany by election year. As to the PoD, I'm partial toward Barbarossa -- in a nutshell, Stalin kills himself, and the Soviets break and are defeated; Britain is either fighting on alone, or has agreed to peace as well, bringing the war in Europe to an end with Nazi Victory.
As usual with AETs -- first, how would the Republican (and Democratic ?) primaries play out? The conventions? Then, given these two nominees (and their running mates), how does the general election play out?
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