ACW with cartridge rifles

The Henry Rifle-14 shot metallic .44 caliber rimfire cartridges is in production before the Civil War began ... so with sufficient orders they could have scaled up far faster than most.
Part of the reason that the US government only ordered 1,730 Henry rifles was because they judged the New Haven Arms Company unable to scale up their production of c.200 weapons per month sufficiently quickly.

Christopher Spencer's 7 shot rifle/carbine drew on his experiences as a Colt subcontractor so he'd also seen how to scale up to tens of thousands in production
The US government ordered 700 Spencers for the Navy in July 1861 and 10,000 for the Army in December 1861. Spencer misses his deadline of starting deliveries by March 1862, leading the government to reduce the order to 7,500; it takes him until December 1862 to produce 1,200 weapons and June 1863 to fulfil the order of 7,500.

the design was simple enough that Ambrose Burnside's carbine factory was quickly able to retool to produce Spencers
Burnside was due to deliver his first Spencers in November 1864, a deadline which he misses: he makes his first delivery on 15 April 1865.

The Sharps (an 1848 design based on the 1819 Hall Breechloader Rifle made at Harpers Ferry Arsenal in Virginia where Christian Sharps trained) was easily being converted to .50-70 metallic cartridges
In June 1861, Ripley orders 3,000 carbines from Sharps. The first weapons are delivered in September 1861; by the end of the year, Sharps has delivered 5,800 carbines and 100 rifles.

What I hope all of the above shows very clearly is that there simply wasn't the industrial capacity to produce large number of breech-loaders in the early years of the war. If the contracts placed, which some have deemed hesitant and inadequate, can't be met, how could it realistically be expected that large volumes of additional weapons could be made? Furthermore, all those arms bought on the European market- not to mention all the percussion muskets in the Federal and state arsenals- would have been unusable. The only real answer to "what does an American Civil War fought with cartridge rifles look like" is "very small".

one thing I'm curious about... what was the rest of the world doing with cartridge firearms at this time?
Most early breech-loaders focus on combustible cartridges. In the mid-to-late 1850s Britain experiments with a number of breech-loading cavalry carbines (the Leetch, Sharps, Greene, Terry and Westley Richards), and all of them use a paper cartridge. When they trialled breech-loaders in 1864 only two of the eight weapons had metallic cartridges, one of which was the Snider.
 
This was proposed.

Spencer rifles and Henry rifles were intentionally *not* adopted because the worry about inaccuracy and wasted bullets outweighed the chance to end the war in 1863. Southern engineers were able to replicate the Henry rifle, *but* they lacked the copper to make the cartridges. Spencer rifles fired a .56-.56 rimfire cartridge with overall power about 85% that of a modern .223 rifle cartridge and effective range of 400-500 yards, quite impressive for the time and using a 7-cartridge tube magazine in the butt of the rifle. Approving magazine-fed rifles will not only shock the Confederates and end the war sooner but also might shock Europe, especially the UK, with Canada scrambling for additional reinforcements. Look for further development of rifle technology and perhaps increased tensions between Washington and London, but also for Russian expansionism to have a better chance of success in the later 19th century. Failure to completely defeat the South without thorough occupation or, in the worst case, failure to enact a total emancipation of slavery because of the acceleration of Southern defeat might also cause a smoldering resentment in the South. This would be akin to that of Germany after World War I which could be exploited later by international powers.

It wouldn't "Shock Europe" to that extent. They would merely put money into developing breechloaders of their own. It isn't like breechloaders are going to allow the US to march into downtown London, particularly when they are already involved in a bloody war. The response would be increasing the money for developing breechloaders not a blind panic that disrupts relations with Washington.
 
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