Acadie a la Louisiane - WI: free Acadiana/German Coast?

Short of ASBs, what would be realistically be required for the German Coast/Acadian Country to gain independence? Retaining it would be nice, but not necessary?
 
It's hard to do.

But not impossible. The problem is that no one cared. There was little value in disputing the land, or in seeking its separation from nearby New Orleans.
 
Well, to get a balkanized Louisiana, first you'd have to start with a TL where the Atlantic colonies (with French help) gain independence from GB but then go their separate ways and establish themselves as independent states (*Madison falls gravely ill in May 1787, doesn't participate in Constitutional Convention, which then falls apart in acrimony).

...I started this post with a pretty good idea of where I was going with it, but after "a million decisions and revisions" have just decided to give up. Just too many variables to ponder at this late hour. It depends on so many things. First, no USA is a must. Then you have to consider the effects of the revolutions in France and Saint-Domingue and the effects on immigration levels. Then whether there's a retrocession of the Louisiana colony to France or does it remain a Spanish colony. Then you have to consider immigration levels coming out of the former British colonies. Then you have to consider the stengths of the various states which see control/free access of the Mississippi as vital to their interests... you get the picture.

Anyway, I could see as totally non-ASB a scenario where the Isle of Orleans (which included the East Bank part of the German Coast up to Manchac) could arise as an independent state guaranteeing free access to all as a means of insuring that no one country in North America can control the Head of Passes and strangle the trade of the interior of the continent. This would mean that the rest of OTL Louisiana would be an independent country, where French would perhaps be the majority language and Cajun culture would be predominant, but it would be larger than Acadiana (a modern term codified in 1968).
 
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