A Socialist Senator in 1916!? WI: A. Grant Miller won Nevada's Senate seat in 1916?

1916, President Woodrow Wilson narrowly won re-election against Charles E. Hughes of New York. Meanwhile, much to the West, Key Pittman himself narrowly wins a second term (and full first one) against Republican Samuel Platt and Socialist Ashley Grant Miller. Miller himself was a former minister and an attorney. He ran in 1910 as Representative (garnering a little under 12% of the vote as a Socialist) and 1914 as Senator (where he garnered just over 25% vote, again as a Socialist). Before and after his tryst with the Socialist Party, he was a Republican. He ran in two Republican Primaries in 1920 and 1922, winning the later nomination but then losing the general election.

Nevada was still a tiny western state at this time, by 1920 it would still have less then 80'000 people, less then even Wyoming (194,402) and Delaware (223,003). It's voting populace, of course, was also very tiny. Only 32,890 people cast ballots for the Senate race in 1916, slightly less then the 33,316 cast for President. Both Democrats Wilson and Pitman won Nevada, but by different margins. To compare

Presidential Vote share and percentages in 1916 Nevada:

Wilson: 17,776 - (53.36%)

Hughes: 12,127 - (36.40%)

Benson: 3,065 - (9.20%) (Allan Benson was the Socialist Party's Presidential nominee, as Eugene Debs was not running that year)

Senatorial Vote share and percentages in 1916 Nevada:

Key Pittman: 12,765 (38.81%)

Samuel Platt: 10,618 (32.28%)

Ashley Grant Miller: 9,507 (28.91%)
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As the above shows, Miller gained more three times the amount of votes as did Benson, and was 9.91% away from victory. That might sound like a lot, but consider that difference between third place and first place is 3,258 votes here and now. If a little over a thousand men from either major party voted for Miller, he would be the first Socialist Senator ever elected in the United States.

So what of it? What would happen if a Socialist won Nevada's Class 1 Senate seat? They had already won mayorships, a House seat (the first being Victor L. Berger in 1910, WI-5), and now they won a Senate seat. Would the Senate try to deny him his seat? Arrest him during the war? Would this change how the Socialist Party functioned with the surprise election of a single man in the upper house? Could this mean a better performance after the Red Scare? Would the Red Scare function, without regard of one western radical in the Senate?
 
Apparently Miller ran in 1920 and 1922 as a Republican!
http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=32&year=1920&f=0&off=3&elect=2 http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=278351
This suggests that his commitment to socialism was not very deep...

Indeed, one source says that the war caused an internal conflict in the Nevada Socialist Party which "led many of its leaders, including Miller, to move with the tide of national patriotism." https://books.google.com/books?id=eY1VOBDgEMEC&pg=PA258

Victor Berger *during wartime* and running on an anti-war platform came almost as close to being elected to the Senate (in terms of percent of the vote) as Miller did, btw. http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=46931
 
Apparently Miller ran in 1920 and 1922 as a Republican!
http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=32&year=1920&f=0&off=3&elect=2 http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=278351
This suggests that his commitment to socialism was not very deep...

I noted that at the end of the first paragraph. To develop on this point, from ancestry.org, his minister father was a hardcore Republican, naming his eighth son Ashley GRANT Miller after Ulysses Grant. (Said minister also named his seventh son Judson Lincoln Miller.) So his family at the very least was very Republican and he lived/worked in Republican states like Michigan and Idaho, and then finally arrived in the home of Silverism and western Radicalism, Nevada.

It could be a matter of being disaffected with the Republicans at the time (his first run as a Socialist was in 1910, when the progressive and conservative wings were beginning to duke it out in public), honestly changing his views then and changing them back a decade later. Or it could be he was just running because he felt he could win on their ticket. I'll admit I don't quite know his views.

Indeed, one source says that the war caused an internal conflict in the Nevada Socialist Party which "led many of its leaders, including Miller, to move with the tide of national patriotism." https://books.google.com/books?id=eY1VOBDgEMEC&pg=PA258

That could be it, Miller was trending toward radicalism during the 1910's and being swept up in nationalism/patriotism during the war. He wasn't an immigrant, nor did he appear to have any connection to ethnic communities like a lot of Socialists back east did, so maybe he just had less of a reason to oppose the war.

Victor Berger *during wartime* and running on an anti-war platform came almost as close to being elected to the Senate (in terms of percent of the vote) as Miller did, btw. http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=46931

True, true, but the difference is one of scale: Wisconsin had the 17th highest population in the US (by 1920 at least) with 2,632,067 people, or 34 times as many people as Nevada (again in 1920). The difference was also 53,501 votes (or 12.64%) to get from Berger's third place to the first place winner (Mr. Irvine Lenroot). Miller had to convince only a couple thousand people to switch their votes in Nevada, but Berger needed tens of thousands in one of the larger state. The larger states needed big movements to move a few percentages, while small states like Nevada are naturally more elastic, at least this early on.
 
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Wasnt Berger from Wisconsin not Michigan?

Perhaps it both win the Socialist Party gains more influence and has some staying power?
 
Wasnt Berger from Wisconsin not Michigan?

Perhaps it both win the Socialist Party gains more influence and has some staying power?

Yes. I think I misread WI as MI and got the wrong census info. :eek: (SUPERFAIL) But still, the point stands as Wisconsin is one of the bigger states (over 2 million people) while Nevada is still the least populated at the time.
 
As a POD for getting these Socialist senators just over the line, could a Roosevelt win in 1912 work?
 
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