A Smith Administration

From the Times: 14th May 1994

Smith Leaves Hospital

The Leader of the Opposition, John Smith, has left hospital after an overnight stay in which he was treated for what is believed to be a minor heart attack. Although Mr. Smith has been ordered to remain out of the Commons for the next week, he has pledged to remain as leader of the Labour Party after messages of support from both the Shadow Chancellor Gordon Brown and the Shadow Home Secretary Tony Blair. Letters of well-wishes have also been received from John Major and former Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. Smith has pledged to continue his reforms of the Labour Party, which is currently enjoying an eleven-point lead over the Tories for the sixth month in a row.

What happens next?

I'm considering making this a formal timeline but I would like to gauge opinion.
 
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I was actually going to start my own timeline on this sometime this/next week, which I've been preping for a bit. So if you can wait for that long then you can see me take a stab at it.
 
I'd be interested in seeing both timelines.

I always like it when two people take the same PoD, just to see how and where divergences occur.
 
Thanks for the support Mr. Geordie87.

Well everyone, I would hardly wish to draw attention away from a timeline that someone has spent weeks working on but I would hope that the two would be significantly different from each other as to both be original. I’ll start with a small prologue for now to see how people think of how I’m going with this, but I will wait until the other one is posted before I decide to start my timeline proper or not.

Prologue: Scenes from the Asylum

March 13th 1997

“In short Madam Speaker, we are left with a Government that seems to suffers from anti-chrysopia, has so much sleaze as to make the Marquis de Sade wince and has a leader who cannot even maintain the support from his own Party! When will this Government finally do the decent thing and go to the country!”

The Leader of the Opposition sat down to a mixture of cheers and jeers from all sides, he glanced at the Speaker, had he gone too far? Flanked on one side by Brown and the other by Beckett, he hoped that the press would be supportive in tomorrows newspapers.

Still, he wondered, he may have been worrying about nothing; the Tories had regained some points over the past few years but short of the entire Shadow Cabinet dropping dead from some gross illness, many people could now consider the forthcoming election, which had to come soon, a foregone conclusion. He barely registered the response Major gave, some blather about the augments in Labour that Smith had endured over the Abolition of Clause IV [1], but what did it matter? The Railways would almost certainly be re-nationalised when they took power, the NEC had voted two-to-one to do so at the Spring Conference [2], although he noticed that the little hypocrite Blair had abstained. Not for the first time Smith though about sacking him but had decided against it, better to keep him in public, where he could be monitored.

Benn [3] had been talking to him again in the Lobby, the new Shadow Minister for Trade and Industry had been undermining him since the whole business over the Party Constitution but finally seemed to be coming round to the idea of some degree of free enterprise. He could still hear the impeccable Received accent in his ears “It would be atroshious to abandon our fundamental prinshiples John” [4] Benn has said “But I shall remain by your shide come what may” The two had talked on the journey towards HQ and the newly re-named Harold Wilson House [5], mainly about the forthcoming General Election to which they both agreed it would be a long campaign, as well as the best way of marginalizing the right-wingers of the Party, though Smith took Tony’s words with caution, he didn’t want another ideological split on Benn's hands.

Well, Any comments, any real ASBs so far (apart from Tony Benn as a Shadow Minister)?

[1] I know this was a Blairite reform but the whole business of altering the Party structure really started with Kinnock. The new Clause IV still removes the commitment to nationalisation but is more of a means to open Labour up to the electorate as opposed to the great move towards the centre that Blair did in OTL.
[2] As they do in OTL 2004, but this time with no Darling around to block it!
[3] Yes I know it’s unlikely but he is too great a figure to be left out, besides, it’s a good way to balance out Blair who is still serving as Shadow Home Secretary
[4] I know this is nicked from WIGBHS but how else can you write his method of speaking?
[5] OTL John Smith House, in this timeline Labour doesn't move to Milbank Tower
 
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Part I: The Oldest Game in the World

From The Guardian Monday 17th March 1997

Major Calls Election
Smith to Labour “We are ready”

The Prime Minister today called for the dissolution of Parliament with a view to hold a General Election on the 1st May. The Campaign, which at six months will be one of the longest ever, has been seen by many commentators as a means of wrong footing the Labour Party and allowing the Conservatives to capitalise on the current high levels of economic growth.

Speaking from Party Headquarters, the Leader of the Opposition, John Smith announced that the Party would fight and win the election claiming that “the nation has had enough of sixteen years of Tory mismanagement and sordid affairs” Although pledging to reform the private sector and to renationalise the utility and rail network, Mr Smith denied that Labour would return to the high levels of spending seen in the 1970s, instead focusing on improving the lot of “the average hardworking British citizens who has been pushed under the carpet of this uncaring administration”

Friday 2nd May 3:30 am

John Smith replaced the receiver with a smile before turning towards the new Chancellor, “Rifkind’s gone!” he said exuberantly, “That’s Scotland sown up for us!”[1]. Gordon Brown, not usually a man prone to acts of outright emotion gave a broad grin “The referenda should be a foregone conclusion in that case, as long we go about things prudently” Smith gave his colleague a pleased nod before the two men resumed watching the coverage of the election results [2]

David Dimbleby was part way from announcing the latest results, “And we can go live to Chesterfield where we believe Tony Benn has retained his seat” The cameras cut to the town hall where the new Trade and Industry Secretary was announcing “I am proud to be shtanding here on the eve of a great Labour victory, which ish one not jusht for a Party but for every pershon in this great country” Off camera, Benn had already told the Shadow Cabinet that he would resign if the rail network was not placed under state ownership, although it was not something Smith did opposed[3].

As the remaining results trickled through, Smith was pleased to see Hamilton kicked out in Tatton but a few of the embittered Cabinet members managed to hold on by tiny majorities. Ian Lang was unbeaten by the SNP candidate in Galloway and Norman Lamont, somewhat unfairly it seemed to Smith, was able to get a hand within Harrogate. In one of the final acts of the night, the screen again changed, this time to the Enfield count which was already halfway though the returning officers speech “…Twigg, Stephan 19,456, Portillo, Michael Denzil Xavier” he paused for the laugh of a wag in the crowd, “Thank-you ma’am, 20,156” A mixture of heckles and catcalls gave a rather unenthusiastic result before the former Defence Secretary was able to make a brief but understated victory speech which consisted of little more than saying that he would stand to become Leader of the Conservative Party if John Major was to resign[4].

The final results resulted in Labour winning their largest share of the vote since 1945 with 386 seats, the Conservatives on 214 and the Liberal Democrats on 39 [5]

Smith and Brown walked into the atrium to a great round of applause from the new Cabinet, Blair dashing into the room in a most undignified way a matter of seconds after the last results were announced. The new British Prime Minister gave a few simple words to the assembled journalists, “I remember saying just a few years ago that the greatest thing we can ask for is to serve our country, that is something I still believe in and something that I and the rest of my Government intend to prove, let the work of Labour commence!”

[1] Similar to OTL, with the Conservatives almost wiped out in Scotland but retain a handful of constituencies in the wealthier parts of Wales
[2] With Labour not having the same “Cool Britannia” label they had in OTL, there is no big party at the Royal Festival Hall. The results are handled from Party HQ in London and the City Hall in Leeds.
[3 British Rail is still privatised in this time line, but with much greater opposition
[4] Fun though it was to see him kicked out of power, the Labour victory is not enough in this time line to result in the real 1997 landslide
[5] Not the same landslide as OTL, but still not too bad as UK policies go
 
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I know it's a bit dull but then I am rather obsessive about politics. Things will get more interesting soon though.

Any feedback, comments?
 
Just read the last update, and it's looking good. :)

I agree with you that the result wouldn't be a landslide, and have no quibbles about plausibility.

I look forward to seeing more.
 
Part II: A New Breed of Socialism

From The Economist: July 6th 1997

One of the first acts of the new Labour [1] Treasury, under the leadership of Chancellor Brown has been to grant independence for the Bank of England in order to devolve monetary policy away from the Cabinet and to prepare the legislation for a minimum wage bill, currently to be set at £5:50 [2]. Although opposed by the Conservative opposition, to which Michael Portillo was elected to the post of leader in last months leadership election, many commentators have been supportive of the Smith Government, which has also pledged to establish regional assemblies for Scotland and Wales [3], as well as to work upon coming to a solution to the decades old civil conflict in Northern Ireland.

Despite recent opinion polls showing one of the largest Labour leads in history, Prime Minister Smith has been under fire for past few weeks over alleged diversions in his Cabinet.

Cabinet Room, 10 Downing Street: August 30th 1997

It had been a long, hot summer for the Government and the windows of Downing Street had been flung wide open to catch the limited summer breeze. Tensions had been running high for the entire Cabinet meeting, of which the hot weather was only partly responsible for.

“So how are we going to get this damn nationalisation bill through the House” It was a rare outburst from the usually dignified Prime Minister, and reflected the immense pressure that the national leader was under. He gave an angry look towards the Home Secretary; Blair was clever enough not to make public admissions of his personal disapproval of the moves towards state ownership, but his silence on the matter, both in the House and in public spoke volumes.

“We musht act decishively upon thish matter John, failure to do sho would be tantamount to a betrayal of the electorate” the Trade and Industry Secretary stated. Sat beside him, the Minister for Transport, John Prescott nodded sagely [4], fanning himself with notepaper. Smith muttered under his breath, Benn had been continuing to wage war on the reformers in the Cabinet in response to the formation of supporters that Blair had managed to gather around himself. Although the Government was still enjoying a media honeymoon, unless Smith managed to find a solution to the Party infighting soon, he felt that he would become yet another sort lived Labour PM.

The Chancellor had already stated that the legislation would be possible, but not without an increase in tax revenue. Smith knew that Brown was unhappy about this; after all, the work the two had done about breaking the links with the big spending of the 1970s had been a major part of the election [5]. Yet equally, Smith could not afford to be seen as letting down the left, Benn may have been old, but he had almost complete dominance of the leftwing backbenchers who would together be able to bring down the Government with one vote. Smith quickly made up his mind, “We must have an increase in Income Tax then, does anyone oppose a rise to 24 pence in the pound?” After a few murmurs of dissent from the usual suspects, mainly Blair, Dobson [6] and Straw. There was a grudging agreement to support the rearrangements to the Budget.

Smith dined late that night in the apartments over No. 11, “It is intolerable Elizabeth!” he complained to his wife “The Cabinet is too divided into their own little factions, Benn controls Mowlam [7] and Cunningham but Blair has total control over his blasted “reformers”! I need some excuse to shake things up a bit, the Conservatives will never be trusted as long as Portillo is in charge but I cannot be seen as being indecisive. There are a dozen and one things that need my attention but if I put one person in change of something, the other bloc opposes them.”

He picked unhappily at his dinner. “And what is worse is that the longer I leave things been the worse the situation gets! I hope, no, I need something to turn up soon to help unite the Cabinet. Reforming the House of Lords is going to be a great test for us even if we have total unity, it would be impossible for us to do anything disunited."

He pushed his chair aside and yawned, "I'm going to have an early night, we have a free day tomorrow" The Prime Minister had no way of knowing that he would get his wish that very night [8]

[1] Note, this is new Labour not New Labour; a single capital letter can make a lot of difference!
[2] Considerably higher than in OTL, and shows the greater support that Smith gives to the Trade Unions than Blair gave
[3] Again, devolution was a program originally decided upon by Smith, although by not in such wide-ranging way as what really happened.
[4] Transport is not amalgamated in this timeline and is header by John Prescott, who is not Deputy Leader.
[5] Just as OTL, Labour pledges to have a campaign of economic “prudence”
[6] Minister for Health as in OTL
[7] Has a higher position than OTL as Minister for Education and Skills
[8] A ballon for the first person to guess what has not been butterflied away!
 
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Just read your update. I like it. :)


Cabinet Room, 10 Downing Street: August 30th 1997

[8] A ballon for the first person to guess what has not been butterflied away!


Let me guess...

This wouldn't be something to do with a Parisian motorway tunnel would it?
 
I would think a Smith response as opposed to the Blair one would be far more dignified and less tacky; "Peoples Princess" I think would be a step too far for good Smith.


You aren't the only one. He could be able to help the monarchy avoid a PR disaster aswell.
 
Hey, this is really good so far! I've often wondered what a Smith government might have been like... watching with interest!

Just a few notes for version 2.0 (;)):
- "anti-chrysopia" - a little cerebral for most, perhaps. But then I get the impression J. Smith was a smart guy... :)
- renationalised railways - w00t!
- by 1997, it was eighteen years of "Tory misrule", not sixteen.
- "as long we go about things prudently" - :D
- I think you mean divisions, rather than diversions, in the cabinet. Spellchecker being dictatorial again?

Altogether, an intriguing glimpse into - I would assume - a better world... I wonder what happens to Blair? Something nasty I hope!
 
Looks good so far, and very interesting divergence from real life. My only suggested alteration is a small one really, I would suggest that Lang would likely lose to the SNP in 1997 as his majority in Galloway and Upper Nithsdale was only 2000 or so. More likely would be the Tories keeping Eastwood, West Aberdeenshire and Dumfries (in that order), though none of those seats had particularly high profile candidates. Anyway, just a small nitpick - keep up the good work!
 
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