Currently, I'm toying with a TL in which King Charles I is triumphant in the ECW. The POD which I am considering is one in which the arrest of the five members of the House of Commons attempted by the king is successful (news of the royal warrant issued for the purpose does not reach the House in time).
What implications would this have, and what would be the short term effects in the ECW? Would this be sufficient to minimize most of the troubles in England into the form of a minor rebellion? If not, what further is necessary to secure absolutism in England? Obviously the question of Scotland and the religious question there will be another problem entirely for me to tackle...