No. The ethnicites already hate each others guts by then.
Aniway, to arrange for a peaceful breakup, you have to elect at least a saner leadership in Croatia. Also, greater success of non-ethnic parties in Bosnia could be a great bonus.
Surely, that's because Croatia had power over JNA and Croatia attacked Serbia and Macedonia and Slovenia, Croatia killed thousands of people in Serbia etc.
Did you use toomuch alchohol and drugs today?
No, I was just thinking the easiest way: removing Milosevic needs extensive Serbian political What Ifs well into the 80s, with extensive ramifications on Federal level, whereas it's not cast in stone that the most chauvinist wing of HDZ gets prominent in Croatia, thus triggering fears in the local and Bosnian Serbian populations on which chauvinist serbian leaders could draw upon.
Had a saner leader or simply cooler heads in Parliament prevailed in Croatia, Croatian Serbs wouldn't have been mistreated and this would have killed in infancy rebellions in Krajna and Slavonia, and eliminated a fair deal of arguments availableto Karadzic and murderous pals.
Of course, had Germany actually pursued a somewhat different foreign policy, things would have been easier.
As you prefer. I might point out that the EU Badinter Commission didn't think that Croatia had reached the necessary steps in order to guarantee its minorities, and thus wasn't eligible for EU recognition, but you can stay happy with the conventional "All Serbs just woke up in a klling frenzy some day in 1991" version.
Tudjman was as treacherous and xenophobic as Karadzic: no de-serbification of croatian public administration, no "ustasha scare", less people willing to listen to murderous loonies like Mate Boban.
Of course, no Milosevic pretty much solves a huge part of the problem, but this, as I've said before, it's just more difficult than Stipe Mesic politically outmaneuvering the Minister for Defence in the power struggle within HDZ.
thus triggering fears in the local and Bosnian Serbian populations on which chauvinist serbian leaders could draw upon.