A New Britain - A British Political TL (1995-)

2020
Clarke's Second Term
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As the Prime Minister reconvened to say there was euphoria would be an understatement for their second election in a row the conservatives had won an election without anyone thinking they could.Not one poll showed the conservatives would win a clear overall majority so therefore there was Eupnhoria. But there would be a difference in the government,Micheal Portillo announced that after 28 years he would not be serving on the frontline of politics. Micheal Heseltine announced he would not be serving in the cabinet after being in the frontline of British Politics for 45 years. Though it was made clear that Heseltine would be allowed to stay on as Deputy Prime Minister primarily because as Clarke put it privately 'Micheal is irremovable ' The cabinet would be revived and reflecting all strands of the Conservative party. But then again with the right wing being extinguished and now irrelevant it was an interesting cabinet.

Prime Minsiter - Kenneth Clarke
Deputy Prime Minister - Micheal Heseltine
Chancellor of the Exchequer - David Cameron
Foreign Secretary- Alan Duncan
Home Secretary - David Davis
Health Secretary - William Hague
Education Secretary - Sajid Javid
Work and Pensions Secretary - Eric Pickles
Secretary of State for Trade and Industry - Ben Houchen
Secretary of State for Defence - Micheal Gove
International Development Secretary - Rory Stewart
Energy and Climate Change Secretary - Nick Boles
Chief Whip - David Liddington
Chairman of the Conservative party- Micheal Fabricant
Chief Secretary to the Treasury - George Osbourne
Local Goveqrnment and Communities Secretary - Andrew Mitchell
Housing and Urban Development Secretary - Theresa May
Environment Secretary - Justine Greening
Secretary of State for International Trade - Anna Soubry
Attorney General - Dominic Grieve
Secretary of State for Justice - David Gauke
Secretary of State for Scotland - Ruth Davidson
Seceretary of State for Wales- Stephen Crabb

There were Many changes with Alan Duncan being appointed as the foreign secretary was interesting as a pragmatic eurosceptic but a devout internationalist and his commitment to the Middle East had made him the most interesting choice for foreign secretary. Eric Pickles. David Cameron was still the Chancellor of the Exchequer and was unmovable. William Hague and David Davis remained as health and Home Secretary respectively. Eric Pickles kept his job which was no surprise. Ben Houchen was appointed the Secretary of State for Trade and Industry as the leader of Teeside Council he had been known in the media for his regeneration plans. And having a strong personal friendship with the PM he was made Secretary of Stare for Trade and Industry which was a strong surprise. Micheal Gove was made the defence secretary which was surprising but then. again it was the most powerful non spending related department in the government and it was because Clarke had been sceptical of him running Education so therefiore he gave Gove a sideways promotion. David Liddington got a promotion to the chief whip, Rory Stewart, Nick boles, George Osbourne and Micheal Fabricant stayed on. Andrew Mitchell was borough into the cabinet to reform local government, Justine Greening, Ruth Davidson and Anna Soubry and Stephen Crabb kept their jobs but then David Gauke was bought in as secretary of state for justice. So it was an interesting Cabinet reshuffle.Also in regards to the colour scheme. Ministers in Dark Purple as socially democratic interventionists (Pickles and Houchen). In a lighter form of purple means they are socially democratic but they are not as keen on substantial intervetntions in the economy )Davidson, Gauke,Stewart etc) those in light blue are solid and pure one nation conservatives. And those in darker blue are on the right of the party.



2020 Queens Speech

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The Queens speech was goring to be interesting it was to be a second term conservative government with a clear overall majority they had the majority to launch whatever policies they saw fit and now the interesting part was even if the right wing tories wanted to stick two fingers up to the left of the tories they couldn't because contrary to the expectations they had won an overall majority and therefore it allowed Ken Clarke to be a proper authentic one nation conservative. So therefore the government spent a month craving the approach for the new queens speech. As David Cameron decided to work with Ken Clarke and Alan Duncan and other ministers decided to write the Queens Speech with the following provisions.

  • No Raises in the headline rates of income tax
  • Increasing the funding for the National Health Service by £8 billions
  • Making sure that by 2021 nobody wanted more than 7 weeks for their care
  • Making sure that people get Free Eye and Dental treatment
  • Having a reduction in the rate of new targets to ensure that there can be greater levels of freedom within the health service,
  • Allowing the increase in doctors and Nurses
  • 25,000 new matrons to sort out the issue of MRSA once and for all
  • Increasing Education Funding by £5.8 billions
  • Increasing the revenue from the Graduate tax by increasing it to 6% by 2022
  • Putting an extra 7,000 police officers by 2021
  • Building 6 new Prisons next year
  • Creating a New Industry fund of £50 billions in order to Increase manufacturing
  • Setting ip a review under Lord Turner to deal with pensions.
  • Ensuring Votes at 16 for the next General Election
  • Having a referendum on the European Constitution in June next Year
  • Reviewing the 5 tests on the Euro Next Year with a referendum in 2022 should the 5 tests be passed.
  • Opening a commission under Lord Steel under the benefits of Proportional Representation,

The Queens Speech was interesting one the hiring of police officers and the prisons was typical tory policy and there were many moderate policies such as ensuring that there were more investment in Health and Education but also the referendum on the European Constuition which was to make sure the tory party could be okay with the queens speech. But then the pensions reform along with he attempted referendum on the Euro plus the commission on Proportional Representation would be interesting so therefore the Leader of the Opposition for now at least Alan Milburn would be opening up the debate for the opposition.

'Mr Speaker I congratulate the Prime Minister on winning his second election victory I must nays we on this side of the house were about us stunned as members on his side of the house. But of course there are things in this queens speech that we welcome not least because we proposed then as fo example the extra investment into schools and hospitals that is a very clear Labour Party proposal. A referendum on the Euro that is also a Labour Party policy the commission into proportional representation is a Labour Party policy and votes at 16 is the labour party policy. But its also good to see that the secretary of state for trade and industry the honourable member for North West Durham has had an impact on creating the Industry fund which is also a Labour Party policy. It is clear to me that all the best ideas are coming from this side of the house. But the fact that there are good ideas that come from this side of the house shows that we need to set up a bi partisan comission because the truth is we do have in common more than we think and what the country would like is for both major parties to work together and to come up with the solutions to the great issues that face this country, But in this spirit of bi-partisanship can I seek some assurances from the Prime Minister firstly he would not seek to raise the rates of income tax, secondly the industry fund would be specifically those areas that have the greatest levels of poverty It is in creating a proper society where people are cared for when tories bang the drum for equality of opportunity and for fairness within society why don't they tell the 22 right wing back bench MPs who control the Prime Minister's majority. Its always nauseating to see the members for spelthorne, esher and Walton, witham, Richmond Yorks and Taton sitting their with their right wing cleek. Have they no understanding of the issues that society faces wether it's unemployment, social decay, education standards of health standards the right wing contingent have no policies now though the Prime Minister ha done his reshuffle and has made sure the cabinet have no members of the right wing of his party except the honourable member for Haltenprice and Howden but mind you since he idolises the late Lord Jenkins I think his right wing credentials are firmly in the bin. Now the people elected a conservative government with an increased majority and of course we welcome that but I think the Prime Minister should be able to understand that the right wing of his party do not need to control his party in the last house 156 bills were passed with the Labour Party co-operation and let me tell him if he is willing to be governing like he did last time through the centre ground then his first term will be as good as his second term'

Milburn's speech was calling for greater unity and working with the other parties and though they had secured a majority they knew that if you take out the right of the party the governments commanding majority of 30 seats goes to -14. So therefore Clarke decided to make his speech about his agenda for Britain and what he wants is to create a better and bolder society where people can flourish should they work together. Clarke knew that whilst he could be triumphant for as he put it 'the sweetest victory of them all' and therefore this is how his response to the Queens Speech.

'Well to the right honourable gentleman he had some fun at my parties expense but I say good luck to him but let me just remind him who won and who lost the general election, I have 340 MPs and he has 238 and I sit here and he sits there. Now why did we win the general election will honourable members from the labour party may squirm over the fact that contrary to expectations we have won another general election because we have an ability to understand what the people want which is the third way to say that the state are behind you not in front of you as the Lib Dems want or onto of you as the Labour Party would desire but we believe in a cooperative state and that includes the tax cuts but also let's not forget the huge and substantial investment in the NHS and Education but also in public services and when the country hears our record then they give us thanks and give us a clear increased majority but what does this second term offer, massive increases in the funding for schools and hospitals, votes at 16, restoring free eye and dental checks and reducing waiting times. Now which one of those ideas can the leader of the opposition disagree with right none of them so why does he call himself the opposition maybe if we expel our 22 nutters would he prepared to join us on a national unity ticket. I mean for heaven sake it's not like they have propped us up for the last five years and will hopefully continue to do so for another 5 years. And if I may just make a clear point we have decided to propose a referendum on the European Constitution and now why we have decided to do this because this country may want to as I want to be at the heart of Europe or maybe they would seek to embrace their manufacturing strength and to be the best country in the world. But then if you look at what we are proposing it is truly modern reforms as we understand that the country doesn't want to go back to the 1980s but nor do they want to go to 2000s they want to go into the future and I believe that the future will be bright but all we need to do is to understand a very simple concept is to construct the bridge to the future that is so effective and therefore it requires us to effectively plan a new economy the whilst is based on manufacturing and an output based on growth if we are bale to priories an economy that grows it's way out of problems. And for the last 21 years we have had commanding rates of economic growth now I hope these continue but the way they can Continue ids through an ability to keep making things. This is why I keep banging the drum for greater levels of manufacturing. We as conservatives do understand that we need to help all the people and whilst the tax cuts did have a huge impact it is no doubt that what is required is good an effectively managed public services that whilst uses the independent sector and quite rightly that we do also encourages investment on a susbstantial proportion, this clear agenda for reform will make this country better and I hope that all honourable members of this house can vote for this Queen's Speech'.

The debate on the queens speech would be interesting as whilst there was no doubt that the government would pass the legislation because of their clear 30 seat majority there was one issue mainly how would the Prime Minister be able to effectively work with the right wing of his party so many times he has shown his disdain and contempt for the right wing regularly referring to them in private as 'idiots' and he had used blairite Labour MPs to sustain the agenda he supported over the years. But there was one key issue would Labour after being kicked in the guts be prepared to prop up the Clarke administration well on the basis of the Queens speech the answer was well yes. The Bi-Partisan commission had been inspired from President Colin Powell who had been elected in 2012 and had been an effective two term president that had given the republicans 46 states in 2016. And indeed the election in the United States where the republicans were polling at 53% and the democrats were polling at 45%. The Queens speech was debated for five days but it was voted through as right wingers were not going to vote down a referendum on the European Constution or reject the proposal of 7,000 police officers in one year or the expanding of prisons. But the moderates in both parties were not about to vote down the increases in health and education spending. And the Lib Dems were not about to vote down a proposal to set upon a commission under Lord Steeel for proportional representation and to have a referendum on it.


PartiesAyesNoesAbstentions
Conservatives322414
Labour122215
Lib Dem231011
Others1497
Total37524437

And that was a bi partisan victory the government had carried through the Queens Speech with a majority of 131. And that was just stimulating the momentum the government already had after winning their second general election. The public were well receiving off the start of the second term the cabinet had been authentically one nation conservative the promotion of Alan Duncan who was one of the most popular figures in the conservative govnerment was a stroke of genius and so was the appointment of Ben Houchen as the secretary of state for trade and industry Houchen who admitted that until 2014 he voted for the Labour Party only to convert to Ken Clarke's brand of compassionate toryism showed how the government we re willing to reach across voter lines. As Clarke said in his conference speech 'And I say to all our people forget the past no more tribalism we are on the side the same team and Britain united will win'. That line had stuck with voters to prove not only that Clarke was a conciliator but that he was willing to reach out to all voters.


Education Reform

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It has been 4 years since the last Education Reform bill was put to the house and it was voted through it maintained the beliefs of the centre ground and the new Education Secretary Sajid David decided to proposed his agenda for reform 5 months after accepting the job as secretary of state for education in order to ensure that the reforms that had been made under the Conservative government were going to stay but equally they were to make sure that the reforms made to schools would be genuine and meaningful. So in the five months it took for the to write top the bill and to plan it out. Here is what provisions were in the bill.

  • Increasing Education Spending by £30 billion by 2025/26
  • Hiring 40,000 more teachers and 85,000 more teaching assistants
  • Increasing the total quantity of Capital Investment from £65 billions to £110 billions by 2025/26
  • Allow Schools to opt-in to the foundation status of schools in the someway of NHS Foundation trusts
  • Setting up a commission of teachers and students to ensure that there is a review into the curriculum and examinations
  • Making sure that GSCEs and A-Levels will be viable for the next twenty years but having the commission
  • Lifting the ban on the construction of Grammar Schools
  • Introducing 250,000 new voccational grants of £25 a week for students who wish to pursue a vocational educaiton
  • Introducing 500,000 vocational grants for students who wish to pursue STEM subjects (Science, Techonlogy, Engineering and Math)
  • Expanding the Education Maintance Allowances to include all incomes below £35,000 but ensuring that they are means tested
  • Increasing the number of college places by 45% over the next three years.
  • Reforming UCAS to in effect cut the regulations on UCAS.
  • Increasing the Graduate tax rates to 6%,
It was an interesting bill that had some provisions that were bold and though it would keep the system of education within broader society as it had been known as but what they were going to do was also bring in foundation status onto schools which was an interesting proposal as the foundation hospitals scheme had been a success and therefore to expand the schemes of foundation status to the public services but they w3ere to make sure that they would not be taken out of the realms of the control of the public services and therefore it would be more effective. And therefore the Education Secretary decided to open the bill for the government by saying.

'Mr Speaker this is the era of reform within the public services since. we promised to make sure that the system of education is not only effective but Also more useful for the 21st century and this bill I think does that more effectively than any education bill before and here is why. We are gauranteeing for Education an extra £6 billions extra every single year and that alone shows what works we are pleading substantial investment that will see every school receive an extra £1.3 million every single year that is obviously a very welcomed policy this investment will lead to the increasing investment in schools and that is part of the core philosophy of us one nation conservatives which is that whilst we have more investment in public services we do guarantee genuine and meaningful investment into education. But let's look at wha reform will be done for example the commission on reforming GSCEs and A-Levels the benefit of this comission is that whilst we will keep the current system of coursework is effective we do need to set up a commission a genuine and bi partisan one with all 3 major parties plus teachers and experts at the helm. We are genuinely trying to prioritise a new way of thinking that allows the system of education to be viable for the next two decades. But we also recognise that the new industries would be within the STEM subjects and therefore it is right that we provide genuine and meaningful incentives for people to study these subjects and that is why we have proposed the grants for people to study the STEM subjects but we also recognise that there are people wo which to study a vocational education and therefore we have provided grants for those wish to do that. It is about understanding what people wish to do is the core philisophy of Education but we have also placed an emphasis on people who wish to go to college and that is why we have seek to increase the number of college places by 45% by 2023/24. But the incentives are also there which is to expand and increase the education maintain allowance because it was a very effective policy set up by the party opposite but we will expand it. But there are hard choices the university graduate tax contribution we should seek to raise from 4% to 6%. Now there are people who have suggested we should seek to reintroduce the concept of university tuition fees, There are three reasons why I don't think that would be a good policy firstly it promotes an unstable form of university funding that does not have a stability. Secondly we pledged in the election not to seek a reintroduction of fees because it puts a huge psychological burden on those who want to go to university. And the third reason is where countries that do have fees 85% of students don't pay back the full loan. So therefore we will keep the graduate contribution set at 6% every year. But we are Also a government that believe I n reducing the overall burden of regulation so therefore we will have a 90 day comission on how to reduce the nonsense regulations from UCAS to make the system more fairer and better for students. So this bill would seek to increase funding for schools. pay teachers more, increase funding for schools more, creating a fairer system in education our children. Having proper expansion of college places to ensure a vast increase in the number of people admitted to college every year. Expanding and increasing the Education maintenance allowances for students.And introducing more funding for the unioverisite plus the deregulation it is a bill for the 21st century and one for many years to come and I commend this statement to the house'

The motion was transformative for Education but the conservatives knew that they couldn't be seen a running to the right after they won an unexpected general election victory by being moderates and winning over a broad coalition of voters. So therefore as the shadow education secretary stood up she knew that one thing was vot5al to dismantle the arguments of the govnerm,ent and try and align them with the right. Lisa Nandy had been a formidable shadow education secretary and when the next leader came in or if there was a reshuffle she would be receiving a promotion. So here was the response to the government.

'Mr Speaker during the election the Prime Minister promised real meaningful reforms to education and this isn't meaningful all this is the same old legislation from a same old government that would not understand the concept of change If it came up to them and slapped them. Because let's look at what they are proposing the first is the comission on education which he says is bi-partisan but of the 21 political people on this comission why are 13 of them Conservative MPs why shouldn't he split up based on promotional represenation I mean they have a commission in it so why shouldn't they everything based on proportionality. They have not started in this bill their proposed percentage for GSCEs and A-Levels and we know why because they do not have a belief in coursework and if they could parts of their party would seek to abolish it and therefore we w can not trust a party who is constantly linked to the right wing of it's party, now why have they seemed to raise the graduate tax from 4% to 6% and by the way in the fine print it does show a further increase in 2022 to 8%. Why is that now I agree with his opposition to tuition fees though the honourable member for Spelthorne called tuition fees 'a system to make sure the right people to go unvieristy'. How is it they can have a proper belief in universities when they are divided. And isn't that one of the core failings go this government they are ridden with divisions. There are people like the honourable member from Bromsgrove and the honourable member for Whitney and the honourable member for Rutland and Melton who would seek to introduce genuine reforms that would make peoples lives better but there are Peo;le like the honourable lady for witham, the honourable member for esher and Walton, the honourable member for mid Staffordshire, the honourable member for high Wycombe and the honourable member for spelthorne. Who are trying to ruin this country. So could the secretary of state gaurantee this house six things. The first is can he guarantee the investment will be put into schools directly and not be funnels through the gravy train also known as the Department of Education. The second thing is can he guarantee that any consultation will have at least 8 Labour Members. The third thing is will he bale to assure us that standards within education will be increased as a result of this legislation. The fourth thing is will he be prepared to detail In a later paper the precise regulations that will be reduced in the government's faith to not only cut regulation but to make life easier. The fifth thing is will they ensure that the Education Maintanance Allowance will be maintained under this conservative government properly. And the sixth and final thing is what will they do to ensure that the graduate tax will not be raised. These six questions are vital because what they will do is ensure that education will be protected for the next twenty years as it has a fundamental part of make sure of the financing of university education is to be maintained for the next generation and the secretary of state has got another chance to make his statement and if he can not do that then we will vote down this piece of legislaiton'

The Bill was debated for three days but the result was inevitable the government had debated it throughly by making sure that loyalists can be effectively arguing through the points of the government but the labour spokespersons couldn't be reasonable arguing against it as one of the core labour arguments is against Grammar Schools but the public have become in support of Gramamr schools and whilst the six tests that labour have put on the education bill which showed whilst the labour party would be opposed at least it had some logic and constructive advice and therefore solidified their image as the people who can be a constructive opposition. But as the division was called by the Speaker this is what the vote looked like.


PartiesAyesNoesAbstentions
Conservatives323215
Labour1821010
Lib Dem3428
Others1857
Total39321940

This legislation had passed with a commanding majority of 174 it was clear that the bi partisan levels of support was commanding and therefore it showed how the levels of bi partisanship were strong and in a way the government knew that with 17-23 tory MPs who would never ever vote for the government because they considered it to be too left wing they had to rely on labour moderates to sustain their legislative agenda and therefore in away the arguments for proportional representation were somewhat undermined as there was greater levels of co-operation. But as a senior aide in Downing Street said 'What Ken, David and Alan and other moderates are trying to do is to poke the right wing just enough that eventually they snap so therefore the conservatives can lose their right wing image in favour of a centrist image to hold a lock on power' and that in itself was a sound strategy as they would be able to in effect create a new base of voters and whilst they had done that with the two election victories in a row and it was looking possible that the government could build upon that victory should they carve out a base of new voters.

The Guardian - Ken Clarke's Vision for a New Britain

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Over the last five years I wanted to create a new society that unites people across the political spectrum my traditional form of conservatism which always has been based on the belief of opportunity for everybody. When I think off conservatism I think of a society where everyone can get on if they try hard enough and for a long time I always had those beliefs in hard work, individualism a society where the government doesn't intervene when it is not necessary but intervenes when it is necessary and an economy that through the traditional values of deregulation and reduced taxes will allow society to thrive for the better. These policies provided America with huge rates of growth in the 1980s and 1990s and the 2000s. And during that time I never stopped believing in compassion famously in 1988 I had 3 months worth of private meetings with Lady Thatcher to stop her from taking the incredibly ludicrous decision of privatising the National health service. Creating a fairer society is what we do best.

But there was a turning point in my views, The 1997 General Election was winnable for us though we were anhilaited. Lord Heseltine was one of the most successful PM's in being Able to stabilise the economy and the country as quick as we did. The economic policies we did in the final two years was based on the simple theory of growing the economy and paying down the debts and we grew the economy by 7% in the final two years and we brought the economy into surplus in 1996 which allowed us to start to pay down the debts which was wisely continued by Gordon Brown. We also cut Unemployment by 1 million in 2 years. Losing in 1997 by the scale we did was shocking and whilst the euphoria of the labour victory of 1997 was shocking it wasn't too surprising as the country wanted a change, but where we as conservatives went wrong is refusing to understand where the country wanted us to go they wanted us to move towards a more centrist position on everything and therefore force labour to show their true colours. Instead in Tony's first term we had a fight on ideological grounds that was unnecessary that got us less seats than we did in 2001. And then we elected Bill Cash which most accept was the conservatives losing grip of Reality and sanity and for those four years the country did not understand what the conservative party were believing. We came third in the 2005 Election we did not even get 30% of the vote. The Lib Dems got more votes for us.

That entire era for me was a singficnat turning point in my politics after the 2005 election seeing Labour winning 405 of the 650 seats and the tories only securing 115 seats of the 650 NPs, Made me realise two things the first is the right wing of the party would be not only a huge vote loser but would take the conservatives to the point of extinction remember if we had lost just another 818 votes in 8 seats the Lib Dems would have been the main opposition. The Second thing I learnt as a result of the 2005 Election was that we are a socially democratic nation and people do not want to return to the 1980s. They wish to have a society where of course the individual does well but they also went their neighbour to succeed a society where people can do well and where no one gets left behind. And I spent a decade reforming the conservative party in order to come round to that type of thinking.

And of course OI could list the achievements, Unemployment nearly at zero, living standards continuing to rise and showing no inclination of stopping or the longest period of sustained economic growth but also the fact that we have huge investment into the National Health Service and making sure we can have properly funded and properly reformed schools and hospitals. Creating an economy which still properly invests in the public services but brings in the proper societal reforms allowing the independent sector to come into the public services. But I think I did some bold things renaitonlisng steel was bold as everybody knew that the industry was failing and therefore cut is plain common sense that you do not under any circumstances allow an industry to fail and therefore we nationalised steel. I have also bene looking into rail nationalisation and in principle I think this is a very good idea because the east coast line is nationalised and that has been credited as the best rail service in the country in terms of rail quality and the service times and therefore under Ben Houchen we will seek to renationalise Britain's railways once the franchises expire next February . I approach policies not through vain ideological purity but through genuine and common sense reforms. I bang the drum for common sense because we are the party that believes in common sense.

Im a liberal in my devotion to freedom and personal liberties but I'm a conservative in my belief in markets and low taxes but when you run the country you have to appeal to all the people and I have an understanding of what needs to be done which is to effectively promote the values pot social justice and opportunity for all but then has a proper laser light focus of tackling the problems in the inner cities which often links to education and condition of the housing but also a lack of law and order. Education, Housing and Crime that's the 3 key aspects of being able to reduce crime but I do have some regard for social democrats and for those on the left because they have successfully captured the mantle of compassion and understand what we need as a society which is to be compassionate but also to understand the core belief which is through social responsibility and people working together society can be better.


Ken Clarke- 24th August 2020

The Article had been a success, Ken Clarke had set up his quarterly collums in the guardian and the times and his senior cabinet ministers wrote in other papers and had dedicated their social media accounts to be used defectively. The benefit of the articles was it helped him announce controversial policies and rail nationalisation would be put in the papers as means of getting the debate going. Luckily for the Prime Minister the rial nationalisation policy was accepted as necessary.


Labour Conference

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The Labour conference were not in the best of spirits having lost their second general election in a row and had to loss it with a worse defeat It put them in a position of vunreability, Alan Milburn was popular but the issue was they were competing against a revived Liberal Democrats and a conservative leader who had been a well known politician for 33 years. And also the same tory leader whose approval ratings had averaged 62%. So therefore there was not an uprising calling for the Labour leader to go because it was not seen as likely that Ken Clarke would be leaden nth conservatives into a third general election mainly because of his health nobody knew what would be happening interns of the future of the government. But the Labour Party had decided to have a conference based on putting it's traditonal values in a modern setting. It was accepted that the country had fundamentally shifted to the left of centre views that Tony Blair and Peter Mandelson and Gordon Brown wanted. But off the Labour Party were to do a repeat of the 1980s then it didn't matter if Ken Clarke stood down Labour would be in opposition for a decade and a half. John McDonnell had decided to go first to talk about his views on being able to crackdown on crime. Law and order was still a tory area and therefore he would have to give a speech on law and order.

'Thank you conference this has been an interesting conference so far, today I want to talk to you about the issue of law and order it is vital to make sure that we can reduce crime now let me explain why it Is essential that we are allowed to make sure that we as a society can cut crime by backing our police and that is the key we have to champion our police officers and be throughly proud of everything they do and it is in our defence of the police and law and order is what allows us to understand what we as democratic socialists believe in which is to create a society where we can enhance the quality of our police, I believe we should provide greater accountability to our police and allow there to be police and crime commissioners and therefore be able to say to our police clearly and unambiguously we are proud of everything you do.And because we have a defence of the police we therefore understand that is necessary in the context of fighting crime there are no people better to reduce crime then our brilliant police officers. Crime fell under the last labour government and thought it has been reduced thankfully under this conservative government it has because they have stuck to the liberal measures that we support. But if we are going to reduce crime then we have to identify the reason crime goes up now the reasons Are fairly simple poverty is the key reason. If people have low incomes and do not feel secure then they will be more inclined to break the law and commit crimes now we as democratic socialists understand that we have to solve this now we can do this through compassion we are a party that believes in tackling poverty and that is the root of tackling crime ix through tackling poverty now we have to sure the country what we stand for and lets make it clear what we stand for in the case of social justice and solidarity and helping those who were not able to help themselves and therefore we have a conscience so let's use our concscience and our pragmatism in order to develop peoples understanding of the issue of crime which is of course we can be tough on sentencing but it's to understand the key element of society which is to help the poorest In society. Developing people's lives that's what we can do and for the next 5 years that is what we will do in opposition holding the government to account and making sure the day comes one day hopefully not too far away we can win a general election'

The speech had been a progressive's one highlighting the tough on crime and tough on the causes of crime had been a message that had resonated with so many people and therefore it helped. Next up was the foreign secretary David Miliband if Alan Milburn stood down it looked nearly certain that David Milliband would be the next labour leader and due to his personal popularity probably the next prime minister. Milliband decided to make his speech centred around the themes of internationalism he was able to make a speech genuine about working with people across the world so therefore here is how the speech went:

'Thank you conference this is an interesting time for our party we are in the midst of a change in our society and therefore here is what we have to do and in a society it is to work with others, Whilst there have been some great economic advancements which has developed and changed the country for the better and the reason we have to cooperate with internationalism is because it allows us to understand that we have to work with others everytimne there is a major conflict we have to work with others. The theme of cooperation is something that is essential in a great society and therefore if we are able to have a greater view of intrenaitonlism then we will be able to do it properly. Building and reforming society is Essential as what it does it would allow us to do is to reform the economy and rebuild society. Changing the economy and the public service reforms would be essential but how has Britain developed and succeeded over the last generation it is through understanding that we as a nation have to build and reform society and become a nation that begins to make things again and those policies were started by Labour and now whose taken those left of centre pro industry policies Germany, France,Brazil and Japan now of course it is going to take lots of time probably a generation for them to catch up b ut we led the world and it was because of the labour governnment and it was in no doubt because of a labour government. We invested over £500 billions into British Industry which has now allowed us to become the leading economic power that we are today. But do you know what else we did we cancelled the debt for the poorest nations in the world this did a huge amount for the world as it created so many schools and hospitals and thats why they are nations like Nigeria and South Africa with growth rates higher than most in the OECD and therefore we did so much for the world. Now this is why I believe we should be passionate on helping the labour party and why we as social democrats and democratic socialists should be able to work together and cooperate with each other is to understand that we need to unite because we are going to be in opposition for 5 years and what it requires us to do is to make sure that wee as people are able to effectively debate what we are doing. I hope we can build up a great society but it realises on the clear basis that we are a growing society and therefore it requires us all to work together and to cooperate and develop a better society and working together is what this party has been based upon for years and that is what makes us better so therefore let us get out there and work together thank you very much'

Next up was the shadow chancellor Ed Balls. Ed who was the shadow chancellor and a very successful chancellor under Gordon Brown and had incited things like the Industry fund and whilst he would be a successful leader it was accepted that he would be serving as the next chancellor. Balls who had been affiliated with New Labour having advised Gordon Brown for 16 years until winning his seat of Morley and Outwood in the 2010 General Election and was put in the cabinet as the chief secretary to the treasury in September 2010 and then made Chancellor in June 2013. Balls had drifted to the left in opposition and brought in the policy of nationalisation of the railways and the steel industry but also water. Well clearly he had some influence because a conservative government had nationalised steel and were about to nationalise the railways. Balls had decided to give a speech to the conference centring on the themes of democratic socialism. Yep thats right I think people can see where this is going but don't worry I will try my best not to do a 1980-1981 on the Labour Party and by that I mean I'm not gonna makes the tories into viscous people whilst having labour debating about mandatory re-selection and sending 8 months on electing a deputy leader. Anyway here is what the shadow chancellor had to say

'Conference we are a natural Labour Party and by that I mean we believe in the values of solidarity social justice and opportunity for all but we understand that these values have to be put in the modern world and weather it was getting this government to nationalise the stele industry which In think would be a great success as this Labour Party is a bold and transformative party we understand quite clearly that the values of the Labour Party those have those great views of solidarity social justice and opportunity for all these are the great values that we stand for. But in understanding what we are, the party that believes in full employment in opportunity for all. The party that understands of course we can have a proper economy that Private and public industry do so much good for industry but let me explain as the modern forward looking party that we have been for years we then have to understand that is the role of the goverment to care for people from the cradle to the grave we are a keyensoian party who understands the values of keyensians as social democrats we believe in the values of solidarity,. social justice and opportunity for all and therefore we need to develop the new form of public services. I know we can change as a society I think our future is exceptionally bright but there is only one thing stopping us and it's the leadership of the conservative party full off right wing ideology most of whom haven't really comprehended the facts of life now we understand as democratic socialists that you can't improve the public services through some mythical, big society it rewquiteds genuine and meaningful reform and that is what this party does best which is to effectively bring in experts and to listen to opinions and its through accountability and that is what we understand which is through cooperation and we as a Labour Party we understand that people working together is the essential comp-onet to a decent society. I know we can be better than this because this is Britain and we are changing and developing a new society together because as democratic socialists we understood that when we Brough tin the national health service that gave every single person the right forhealhtcare now how is that not a basic belief of our values can be put in the modern age and therefore iM announcing today the next Labour government will seek to nationlise the water and electricity industry. Profit as a concept is something that of course we have a duty to celebrate and we will always create an aspiration through people and there will be stronger levels of enterprise but never forget this there are industries that never should be in the private hands. It's the Publics water and there electrocute and it should remain that way. As a modern society we should have a modern outlook on not only the economy important as that is but it is to look on the new economy and say just how do we make it better and we will do that thank you'.

The conference speech from the shadow chancellor was a robust one it was able for him to put the economy back In track and that was a feeling credential he had which was his ability to show competence in running the economy as effectively as he did when he was the chancellor. The final spokesperson was Alan Milburn the Labour Party had suffered a form of deflation due to the unexpected election defeat which had not been seen coming. Milburn though popular with the centre ground knew that so long as Ken Clarke was the Prime Minister he would not be able to win the next general election. Milburn decided to say this in his speech

'As a party we have always had a dedication to transform society as a concept to something that is reality and that is what this apathy has done for years in understanding that there is such a thing as society and it is the same thing as the state. So therefore we have shown time and again our values to focus and prioritise on helping the poorest in society after all we are the party that helps the workers and that is because we were founded by the workers and therefore we have an ultimate duty to help the poorest in society and therefore that is something we must continue. The prospect to reform society is what we need to understand the only way the reforms can be pursued is through genuine modern socially democratic society and we understand that we have had a setback but we don't back down and we don't ever give up after 18 brilliant years in government it seems like the public wanted to prolong the change but we will be back of course we will be back we are one of the greatest parties with such a great history never forget it was the labour party that brought in the national health service which is by far one of the greatest acts of cilvisaitocn this country has seen it was a labour government that brought in the open university which broke down the final barrier to. university education, it was a labour government the`t borought in the national minimum wage which brought in a basic standard of pay it was the labour government that brought in the winter fuel allowance sure start and peace in Northern Ireland. So yes of course we need to change and of course we need to reform and of course we need to change things but let us not undermine and underwrite the huge achievements of the last labour government and labour governments in general. We have a brilliant history and we have done so much good and that is why we have a duty to win a general election and we have a duty to make sure that what we can do should we win power again is to change the country. Change is essential we Are a brilliant party and we4 have done so much for this country but we need to do is to not only secure the base but to reach out to ebverubdoy to ensure the labour party is the party of business aspiration and enterprise but also being the party of social justice so let's get out there and do it'


The Conference had been a success for the Labour Party being able to focus on their achievements and being able to talk about what the labour aorta did when they were in power and that seems to be the constant theme that the labour party would be coming back to power one day but the tories 2were showing no sign of stopping the new form of centre ground politics that has become the norm with all three political parties occupying various degrees of the centre ground with the Lib Dems being centre left, the labour party being left of centre and the tories being centrist to right of centre. The Labour Party could win the next general election and it was likely that they could win the election providing that the tories were not being led by the most popular man in Britain.


Conservative Conference 2020- Birmingham- Moving Britain to a new Age 04/10/20- 08/10/20
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The Conservative party were to put it least ecstatic nobody except the prime minister genuinely thought they would be able to secure an overall majority and nobody thought they would have an increased majority the tory delegates even those on the right of the party could not be able to criticise the new one nation stream of thinking because igt made them powerful. There were going to be four speakers. David Davis, Alan Duncan David Cameron and Ken Clarke. David Davis was to be kept on as Home Secretary because to put it plainly nobody could do his job with his level of experience and he was likeable amongst the left and the right and in his speech he decided to focus on civil liberties ands the essence ion personal freedom. And therefore the tory conference convened for David Davis it was accepted that he would give a good speech on a new society of civil liberties.

'The word that keeps this party together is freedom, personal freedom is so important and we as a party have a duty to ensure the development of personal freedom within society now how can we do that it is by understanding what is our duty to protect and that is the concept of freedom and the way you enhance freedom is through greater levels of prosperity and therefore we as conservatives know that to value freedom is the core priority and therefore over the next 2 years we will conduct an internal review of government intrusiveness in personal freedom we will make sure that we can reduce the total overhaul of personal regulation because whilst we accept that the public private relationship within the economy is essential to the commanding economic position we have today the way we can sure that people are able to protect each other with jobs and social security but the way we ensure social protection is through being prudent and one of the main reasons we won is to put it plainly people trust us with their money and people trust us with their security. And we understand that as conservatives that security will be our number one priority and if people do believe in security then it is vital that we enhance people power now the reason I focus on people power is not because not is some grweat and empowering slogan but because it links to what we as conservatives believe that people know how to govern there lives better than the government and our devotion top freedom is so essential let us understand this whilst we are the party of opportunity we have to understand that the concept and the devotion to freedom is essential because if we give more freedom and control to peoples lives then they will be able to make there lives better and with that devotion to prudence that we always have it will help our society because there is no point at all to being imprudent with the countries finances it is to u understand that we are growing country with a growing economy and were should be using this fact to your benefit. Now I have put more police on the street we have built more prisons and we have cut crime now that is a successful record never to be undermined and it is our duty to make sure that crime keeps falling and that we can have the permanent and peaceful society thank you very much'

Davis focus on economics was interesting he was kn own to be the last voice on the centre right of the party and during the initial modernisation of the Conservative party, Davis was able to focus the party and making sure that they were able to keep the party ion line however his influence has declined a bit because the tories had won two general elections in a row. The Conservatives had effectively positioned themselves as the right of centre to the centrist party. Alan Duncan was next, this was his first speech at the tory platform as a cabinet minister. Duncan who was on the far left of the tory party had been delibertalty kept in as the foreign secretary he was able to make sure that with a new society that was being created he decided to talk about a Britain that leads int he world. And here is the closing remarks from his conference speech.

'Conference we know that as a nation that we have to lead and that is for two reasons the first is because we have a commanding rates of economic growth that has allowed Britain to have a plurality in it's share of the world trade and that is a huge achievement and therefore we as conservatives understand that now we are the leading economic power we have a duty to use this position and to capital on it in order to make sure that we candevelop there society that we can therefore develop a new society that we can develop based on the principles of internationalism and on economic growth and the reason his has relevance to foreign policy is because the stronger we are as a country the stronger we are as a society the more influence we have around the world I know that as a strong nation we can develop ourselves further and the maintaining of developing as a party that is based on internationalism. We need to develop ourselves as an internationalist party and that does not mean we become globalist far from it we lead the way around the world wether it's throgtuht NATO and the United nations we are leading the way people turn to us when. they want to make a decision and we have done that and why because we have placed a strong emphasis on Britain becoming a nation that makes things again after all in manufacturing is what we succeed in. We are a commanding nation wether it's in foreign affairs or having the commanding rates of economic growth and that is a stunning moment for this great nation to know that Britain is the strongest nation and the more we can develop as a country, it Is more Devoted to freedom and the Economy it is essential to make sure that we can have a thriving economy and a thriving society. Increasing prosperity in this country is necessary but we as prudent and sensible people understand we have two expand the prosperity for those abroad. We are compassionate people we never have been and we never will be a nasty party. We believe in helping people but we don't want to enforce our views. We want to be behind people cheering them on willing them to succeed but we don't want to be infront of them ordering them about. I eb leave in a. society where people are able to succeed with their talents but let us work on this together thank you'

David Cameron was up next and decided to talk about the agenda of reform it was accepted that the economy had blossomed under the conservatives and Cameron was seen by many as the compromise successor for Ken Clarke as he was modernising enough for Duncan/Pickles wing of the socially democratic faction of the tories but the tax bill and his prudence as chancellor made him agreeable to the right of the party and also he projected the modern tory party so well. Cameron wasn't as popular As Clarke but then that was because he wasn't as well known. Cameron decided to make his speech focused on the new society that he envisaged.

'Conference let me use closing remarks to talk about the society I envisage now it's a society where government is behind you but we have a`lwas believed in a society where the individual does more so government can do less and this has not changed but it is modernisation of the values which is crucial and the reason this is so is because we understand that our faith lies within the people and we trust the people to make better decisions Than government ever could but we also understand that as a modern party we are able to propose economic reform that is genuine and meaningful that is we provided the tax cuts which has stimulated the economy and has got us into a trade surplus and has made the UK into a trading nation and its controls the plurality of the world trade and that is a stunning achievement that when people want to invest we are there first choice we have risen to the point of being an economic superpower and that is because of common sense economic policy started by Labour but enhanced and strengthens under this modern one nation conservative govenrment. And remember this we are the compassionate party it was a conservative Wilberforce who led the campaign against the slave trade, it was a conservative Shaftesbury who fought against child labour in the 1800s it was a conservative Churchill who brought in the pension system and fought facism, it was a conservative macmillan who fought against unemployment it was a conservative Margret Thatcher who bought home ownership to millions who gave to the power to the people and who ended socialism, a conservative Micheal heseltine who led the way reviving Liverpool and industry and a conservative Ken Clarke who has increased living standards and has made Britain a nation that leads int eh world. We have a great record and we are a the party that believes in prudence but bringing our values to modern world. Because this isn't the 1920s or 1820s it is 2020 and we have to be a party that emulates the modern brain and the modern economy embaracing technology cutting taxes but having a laser light focus on growth and making sure we are and always will be the leading nation int the world. Because out society of the big society where people look after each other is the compassionate society'


Finally was the Prime Minister Kenneth Clarke, Clarke had been a successful Prime Minister and if he ran for a third term he would have been leaders for 20 years. So far he had led the party for 15 years and was going to beat thatchers record. Clarke had alienated the right wing but his general election victories and making the tories the seemed natural party of government again had effectively shushed the right wing. Clarke had decided to give a speech based on the theme of unity.

'As a party we are united origination we understood that our core values of Opportunity for all and individualism are brilliant but as David said so well in his speech this is 2020 and it's 1920 or 1820 we have to adapt to new parts of society and we have done that but there is a new thing ands that is technology will govern the way we live and society is essential that we understand that technology is going to govern the way we live for example the iPhone is a huge impact on our lives there benefits through an ability to connect the world through technology is what we need to understand that technology will change the world as we know it and the way technology enhances people's lives is something to understand`d that will develop our lives for the better, But it will also help public services in 90% of schools nearly every classroom has chrome books and mack books and as a result students can send their work over quicker and its marked quicker and there is a database which helps teachers understand how there students are doing. So technological change is benefiting there but also for the health service the £30 billions invested in machinery over the last decade has contributed to the plummeting waiting times that we have seen but also technology in defence sees that our soldiers get there equipment quicker. Now I emphasise the tech revolution Because we understand the problems that need to be dealt with and the climate crisis is one of the biggest we are the biggest nation on the earth we have the fastest rate of growth as of next year, we have a plurality in the world trade and we have no debts onto of that we are the centre of investment and new ideas. Britain as the leading power of the world must understand that we have to protect the earth as we know it after all we are stewards of society and we are compassionate people and therefore we want to help people so therefore over the coming months we will draw up the plan for a Green Industrial revolution this will be working alongside with industry in order to make sure that whilst we defend business we can address the climate crisis as we need to make sure that with global cooperation we can have zero emissions by 2035. I want to live ion a society without pollution and a cleaner society but it requires everyone to do their bit. Government can not lead this on their own it requires everyone to work together. We are the party of prudence and reform now we should stay that way but Ley us face the problems and tackle them thank you'


The Speech was in treating Clarke had used the tech revolution as a means of showing the tories were still the party of change and by citing the green industrial revolution plan it was able to maintain the broad appeal but it had gone further with the leader of the Green Party Jonathan Bartley saying that the Prime minsiter's plan for the green industrial revolution was 'Hitting the nail on the head and if the government do genuine action to solve climate change then It will get more voters Thant they think as the centre left of all parties would get behind it'. Clarke knew this was risky but he had just won a general election when nobody thought he could and therefore his power and authority in the tory party was exceptionally high and he could in effect walk on water if he wanted to.


US Election 2020

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After 8 years of President Colin Powell, the election of 2020 was going to be interesting America had experienced a recession in 2011 which had in effect ended the credibility Edwards Administration but Powell did have to deal with a democratic house and a republican senate and after 2018 it was. a democratic congress. But like Reagan he commanded bi partisan support and unlike president Reagan he was a moderate having brought in Universal Coverage of Healthcare to all Americans and ensuring that those on incomes below $60,000 would be covered on Medicaid and those above 60 would be covered by Medicare. He also ensured that both programs would gaurantee free at the point of use healthcare. He also ensured Education Reform by allocating an extra $600 billion for the poorest schools in the bid to drive up standards which is why the Americans Education was ranked 8th in the world in contrast to 35th in 2012. After the Sandy Hook shooting In 2013, Powell did pass expansive Gun Control which banned assault weapons from the public and ensured universal background checks and criminalised any private dealers selling automatic weapons or assault weapons. He also saw the appointment of Justice Elena Kagen and Justice Carl Stewart and Justice Susan Carney. All three moderates but with liberal credentials on social issues and Roe v Wade was upheld and the Supreme Court in effect had a 7-2 liberal majority . Powell had installed executive order 13823 which had funded Planned Parenthood for the next twenty years. He had also ensured affirmative action for all African Americans with specific assistance for those in Chicago, Harlem, Bronx, Detroit, Los Angles and D.C. Powell had been given a landslide victory in his 2016 re-election securing 44 of the 50 states. Unusually he had secured 39% of the Afrcian American vote and 45% of the hispanic vote. Also with 28% of 'liberals' voted for President Powell. Powell in his second term had focused on maintaining the strong economy with the declining unemployment he had inherited a 9.8% rate of unemployment by 2019 it had gone to 3%. Inflation had gone from 12.3% in 2012 to 2.5% in 2019. In 2012 15.3% of Americans were below the poverty line by 2019 it was 3.1%. So he had a strong economy to campaign on and his Vice President was Charlie Baker the successful Republican in Massachusetts. Baker had a close relationship with Powell and was a moderate and like Powell was a popular candidate with cross party and cross demographic appeal.

Baker centred his campaign around the theme of continuity the public had largely approved of the administration and he picked as his Vice Preisdent Senator Scott Brown of Massachusetts. Scott Brown had taken over from the late Ted Kennedy. Brown had been a beacon of the Powell agenda having been the leader of the progressive republican caucus controlling 19 of the 54 senators and the figure had gone down to 52 in 2014, and then 54 in 2016 but then 47 in 2018. But throughout the time the progressive republicans had grown from 19 to 23 to 27 and now 29 of the 47 senators were part of the progressive republicans. Brown had supported publicly the presidents agenda and had a very good personal friendship with the Vice President and therefore both could command the cross party approval that has helped them win 2 elections in a row,. Baker campaigned on the platform to keep the economy in good shape with the focus on reviving industry and to become the first country with full employment. Baker had also promised comprehensive immigration reform building on the immigration reform of 2015 which had allowed illegal immigrants who had come in before 2013 to say in America providing they didn't break the law and they learned English. But it also enhanced border security. Baker had his Republican convention in Cleveland Ohio which would be a battleground state though Baker was 12% ahead in the polls as it was clear that a time for a change mantra wasn't sticking. And besides as Baker said in the RNC 'I've heard a lot of talk about lurching well we will not be lurching to the left or to the right we will provide the good solid leadership that this country has had for 8 years and will need for another 8 years'.

The Democrats had decided to nominate Senate Majority Leader Kamala Harris. She had taken the democrats to control of the senate for the first time in 8 years and she had a traditionally progressive agenda which focused on free college tuition reviving social security and reviving the inner cities, Harris had bi-partisan credentials as she did have a good working relationship with the President where the VP said in a press conference 'Im sure Senator Harris a good cooperative friend when I'm president'. Harris had decided to campaign on police reform and making sure that Education would be the best in the world it was smart the traditional platform of healthcare and education was only half workable. As President Powell and Vice President Baker had in effect given free healthcare to over 200 million Americans. She promised to provide free healthcare for all. As for Social security whilst there had been 50 years of life put into it because of the bi partisan commission, Harris promised a new state pension system to be fairer and better regulated. Harris also promised to raise the minimum wage from $11 to $15 by the end of the first term. The issue there was the republicans had increased the minimum wage from $6.25 to $11. Harris at the DNC in Detroit, Michigan had talked about the time for a change and talked about the need to be there for the working class she was going back to the traditional base of the Democratic Party of the working class which was smart as it would be winning back the old core vote and would help. Harris had decided to nominate Congressman Alexandria Ocasio Cortez of New York as her running mate.

The Debates were good for both candidates, Baker had came across as a moderate and a man of reason he talked about the 'revival of American prosperity under President Powell' Baker had alienated large parts of the conservative base but they were small after the President got rid of them by expelling them after the Cruz/Hawley Scandal of 2014. Harris had talked about a new America and giving the necessary change and whilst change concept did work to an extent Baker put it down by saying 'Why do you want to change something that works change for the sake of it is stupid'. In the final days off the campaign it was looking like Baker would win. Baker had campaigned in Harlem to promote the inner city reform that had been done under the President and how he would continue to build on the education reforms and to be tough on the causes of crime. When a footage was shown of a white police office beating up Danny Fayad and killing him without justification. Baker said as President he would make sure the Attorney General 'Would like the criminal behind bars where scum like him belong'. Baker had called for police reform which would in effect outsoruign parts of the police funding to social services and inner city programs to get young people of the street this had bene done by Powell but Baker would expand it. As Polling Day arrived Baker had a 9% lead and would win the election.


Vice President Baker (R-MA)/ Sen.Scott Brown (R-MA)392 Electoral Votes68,167,52154.2%
Sen.Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (D-NY)146 Electoral Votes58,879,61945.6%

It was a clear win for the Vice President and it was a commanding victory winning by 9.6% was brilliant and the Vice President had secured 4 years of a Republican administration except there would be a difficult congress.

PartyHouseSenateGovernors
Democrats262 (-18)55 +(2)31 (-3)
Republicans 173 (+18)45 (-2)19 (+3)

So whilst the President Elect had pulled of a clear victory he would have to work with a democratic congress and a democratic governors. But then again when your elected by 28% of register democrats suppose you have some appeal. Baker placed the emphasis on unity being aware he would have a democratic congress and Sen Majority Leader Kamala Harris and Speaker Nancy Pelosi to work with. But in the UK Prime Minister Ken Clarke who was known to wanted Charlie Baker though he had backed the Democrats under President Clinton and Gore. He understood that Both Powell and Baker had put into practice his brand of pragmatic centrism which won elections and made lives better.

London Climate Summit- 05/12/20-09/12/20

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Yep, that's the objective to achieve a net zero carbon emissions by 2035 and Clarke had decide to use his commanding position as the longest serving party leader and the most experienced politician to get what he wanted and for the first term Britain was looked on as a nation to be respected properly in that they were in the driving seat and what had used to belong to US, Japan and China had now come back to Brtiain. Clarke had called for 'the peace of the earth and the growing of society'.Clarke had formed a package which had the backing of the TUC,CBI and Greenpeace and there were three countries he needed China whose leader Xi Jimping who called the Clarke 'A man of experience and a man of decency and has and always be a close friend to China ' in his state visit to London in February 2018. India's leader Rahul Ghandi who had very Pro-British views but his party was funded by the coal industry and 10 million jobs depended in India depended and coal and steel. And then of course President Colin Powell of the United States. Powell had said the UK and the US were always brothers and best friends and President Elect Baker had said that the UK was the best nation on the planet. But the GOP still relied on the midwest which meant coal and steel and it still need the south which meant Oil. so the issue was more about credibility within politics.

Clarke had decided to set out his proposals on the first day which consisted of


  • 100% cut in Carbon emissions by 2035
  • 65% increase solar production by 2030
  • 25% increase in wind turbines by 2030
  • 10% increase in Nuclear Power Stations by 2035
  • Total and complete ban on fracking of shale gas and Oil from 2023
  • Total ban on any new explorations from 2023
  • Banning all Oil refineries after 2030
  • Closing down the Pits by 2030
  • A complete ban on all non-hybrid cars after 2025 and a total ban on all non electric cars by 2035
  • A banning of all non electric vans by 2033 and non hybrids by 2028
  • Replacing all petrol stations with electric charging points by 2035
  • Creating a £2 trillion global climate industry fund to provide jobs for any person who looses there job as a result of these reforms
  • Creating a £5 trillion global infrastructure fund to build the new society based on green renewables.
  • The Global climate fund should be completed by 2025 and the infrasutrucre fund would be completed by 2027.
The 14 points to save the world is what Ken Clarke had called it, being a pro-environmentalist he had decided it was essential to get to grips with the Climate Crisis. Ken Clarke, David Cameron, Alan Duncan, Justine Greening, Ben Houchen and Nick Boles were the banners for the UK on this. The proposals were shocking and interesting as the 100% cut in carbon emissions was known the investment in solar wasn't nor the ban on oil in 15 years and the essence on electric cars and the global climate and infrastructure funds. Britain had come prepared. China and India stated their abstention to this but as President Xi said to Ken Clarke in private 'Lets meet at Millbank and negotiate on the 7th ', Ghandi had said he would like to negotiate on Coal but would otherwise be prepared to support this. And President Powell and President Elect Baker had wanted to negioate on Coal and Shale gas removal but they had said they will be prepared to agree to these reforms.

As Clarke sat down with President Colin Powell there friendship was there first name basis was there and a genuine friendship. Clarke stated that the shale gas reforms must be introduced because 22.1% of carbon emissions increases comes from Fracking and should we eliminate fracking it would strike a blow to carbon emissions. Powell wanted 2027 and therefore Clarke moved to 2024 and then Powell said how's about 2025. It was agreed. Rahul Ghandi came next. Closing down the Pits by 2030 would be a death nail for the Indian manufacturing sector and therefore asked if it could be extended to be 2035. Clarke agreed it could be till January 2033. And then India announced they would support it . Clarke also had to negioatr with Crown Prince Mohamed Bin Salman of Saudi Arabia he wanted to extend oil referiries till 2035 and Clarke agreed till January 31st 2033. But the hardest negation would be at Millbank on. December 7th with President Jimping. He was the one person who could butcher this but he wanted to make China's contribution to both funds 20% instead of the 30% proposed. Clarke said that since the US and China had two of the largest economies it is right they contributed to a majority of the fund Clarke said the UK would put in 10%, the UK though the fastest growing economy on the planet still had a £3.2 trillion GDP and therefore £700 billions over the course of 7 years would be do-able as the UK capital surplus stood at £310 billions. And instead of being able to lend £2.43 trillion to the world in capitol investment over the next 7 years they would be lending £1.73 trillion to the world. China wanted 25% which was agreed. And In return the UK would put 15% in. So therefore the UK would be putting in £1.05 trillion into the funds.£300 Billions into the Global climate fund and the £750 billion in the global infrastrrucutre fund. The US and China would give 25% each. The UK would put 15% along with India's 15% Germany would put in 10%, France 5% and Canada would put 5%. The G7 would lead the effort in the money but in return there would be WHO and UN inspectors around the world making sure this was implemented.

Despite the financial cost the Climate Summit had been an undoubted success and a huge boost to Ken Clarke and the UK's global influence it had just negated the first comprehensive global climate change treaty that ensured that the world would be end it;'s increase in carbon emissions by 2035. And thats what helped the government in that at December 7 at 7.32pm it was signed and agreed that there would be global net zero and the initial plan was adjusted but the fundamental was there. The Prime Minister Ken Clarke said 'We have worked with the world to save the world', Alan Duncan who had got the deal with the Middle East and China sorted had said 'British influence is excelling and we are the nation to look to'. Nick boles the Energy and Climate Change secretary who came up with this plan had said 'This is the fundamental breakthrough in dealing with climate change providing this is implemented we have saved the world by working with the world'. Nobody not even the Guardian or the mirror would criticise the govnemrent. Ken Clarke's approvals shot up from 59% to 85% 3 days after the summit. It was the biggest breakthrough of his premiership. Even the opposition were falling all overthemsleves to praise the Prime Minister with the labour leader Alan Milburn called the Prime minister 'The legend who saved the nation' or the Lib Dem leader Tim Faron 'The Prime Minsiter has practically saved the world' Green Party leader Jonathan Bartley the Green Party leader 'The Prime Minister has acted on Green Party policy and has saved the world and he has led the effort and of course we fully congratulate him on this' . Next day's headline in the Daily Mail was Ken Clarke with the caption 'Saviour of the world'. For Now the government were getting brilliant press.

Up Next

Budget 2021
The Mayors Bill
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EU Constitution Vote
Labour Conference
Tory COnference






 
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Tuition Fees

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This would be one of the biggest disputes in the Labour party as the disputes had not been huge until this one. Tuition Fees had been set at £1,000 though most students were exempt from paying fees. The Labour goverment had made a comitment saying 'We will not introduce top-up fees and have legislation to prevent them'.The key pledge had to be discussed which was how could universities be re-financed. There was a split between three policies. Blairites such as Blair and Alan Milburn who was the health secretary along with Charles Clarke favoured raising the fees to £3,000. Equally there are those who are in the Brownite faction such as not only Gordon Brown but Jack Straw and Ed Balls and Ed Milliband favoured the idea of pure graduate tax to be levied at 2% for incomes above £30,000. Left wing ministers such as Robin Cook and Claire Short favoured the complete abolition of tuition fees.

Though Blair knew that the reform would have to be done. He decided to have a debate in the cabinet and then he would go on NewsNight and debate the reforms with students. The Cabinet Meeting was held on the 8th January 2004.

Cabinet Meeting

TB-Tony Blair
GB-Gordon Brown
RC- Robin Cook
CC-Charles Clarke

TB- Ok so in order to refinacne student education we have to reform and I am aware that we cant be able to ram it down the throats so I wont to hear everyones views let's start with Gordon.
GB- Well Tony as you know I beleive that we should have a pure graduate tax of 2% for incomes above £30,000 it will be levied for 30 years and would bring in for the treasury £3.2 billion a year. This tax would allow us to to abolish fees and will still allow universities to have a continuing and permernant source of university funding.
TB- OK Robin
RC-Well I think that this Labour party who want to implement their traditional values but in a modern setting. Which is perfeclty fine because we do have to live in the real world but we have to remember this is the Labour Party not the tory party. We do not believe it is right that we start charging students for going to unviersities it has to be free so we have to abolish university fees.
TB- Ok, Charles?
CC- Well what I believe is from what I have heard from universietes is that we cant go on like this there is a clear deficit within funding and therefore they need to use the exisiting system rather than reverting to any new systems which wont work. So therefore we propose that tuition fees is raised to a maximum of £3,000 and with a maintanace grant of £3,000. But these reforms will not take in effect till 2006.
TB- OK let me sum up how I feel right now. Of course there is a university funding crisis but we have to be pragmatic in how we do it. A Graduate tax does have a lot of merit but it does seem like a bit of a compromise. We cant have free tuition of course we would like to but we don't have £5.9 billion. Also there is still yet to be any adequate plan to replace fund free tuition. I think the Education secretary has a lot of logic to his theory as we don't have the money to reform without causing the universities more crisis but we do need to reform so I believe a £3,000 maximum university fees charge would be a good idea. But we do need to bring back Maintanance Grants up to £3,000 and extend the income period.


Blair on NewsNight

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Tony Blair knew that he was in a deep problem this was a policy which was not going to be popular as it seemed that a Labour goverment was no longer interested in helping out the poorer students and therefore with a chance of being defeated in the house of commons due to extremley sceptic labour MPs so therefore Blair decided to answer the questions. When he was asked about why is he raising tuition fees he said 'There is a funding crisis within our universities and if we do not solve it your lives will be worse so therfore we decided to change the way we fund our systems and I have three solutions, the first is to make it free but that would involve us to raise the basic rate of tax to 24%. Or to introduce a pure graduate tax which Has merit but would give £3 billion less to our universities or we could do this and it is painful but it is neccessary.

When asked about his personal view of fees he said 'Look in an ideal world I dont think we would introduce these reforms but we need to radically increase our university funding and the way we can do it is by increasing the fees'. But when asked could he countance any circumstances in which the maximum £3,000 would not be charged he said 'Should the university not be fullfilling it's purposes on quality then it should not be charging the £3,000'. Blair had continued to mention the promise not to force anyone to payback until they are earning above £25,000. Overall It had been a good 60 minutes as though the pledge had been unpopular the newsnight programe worked.


Tuition Fees Bill
View attachment 623512


The Government had planned to reform the university system but they also knew that they would have to properly fund universities in order to prevent a funding crisis.But they also knew that whilst they had a 181 majority the Labour MPs who voted against tuition fees 6 years ago were not going to change their minds and therefore the government had a proper fight on their hands. So here is what the bill proposed.

  • The Headline maximum rate of tuition fees will be £3,000
  • No-One will have to start paying back until they are earning £25,000
  • You will only pay 7% of what you earn above £25,000
  • There will be maintance grants of £3,000The reforms will not be implemented until 2006
  • There will be a review in 2009 about the future of higher education funding
  • Universities will be required to make sure that at least 40% of students come from working class backgrounds.

The Bill wasn't as contraversial as feared but there was a deep anger over the fact that they were openly breaking a pledge which said 'We will not introduce Top-Up fees and have legislated to prevent them'. And therefore with the tories and lib dems opposed to them along with 80 Labour MPs there were some concessions made but would it be enough. But then a huge game changing moment. On the vote of 28 January 2004 the vote was going to be held. The Chancellor Gordon Brown had delieverd a speech in which he promised two things that the £3,000 figure can only be charged if there is a 'clear evidence that students are preforming well with good quality of services' plus that 'Should the reforms not be effective then all things including abolition will be considerd'.

PartiesAyesNoesAbstained
Labour3158619
Conservatives21334
Lib Dems0682
Others3207
Total32031730

The Goverment had won the vote but by an extremley close margin the 3 SDLP (Socially Democratic Labour Party) MPs in Northern Ireland along with the 2 tories (David Mundell and Peter Tapsel) among with the labour MPs had kept the government in power. But the key thing is that 86 Labour MPs had openly voted against and 105 Labour MPs had defied a three line whip. But the government had shockingly won the vote in contrast to what had been thought.

Budget 2004
View attachment 623516


As coming back into the budget, the goverment had to use this as a core policy explanation. But the economic growth figures were undoubtly high in 2003 the economy grew by 2.9% and by 2004 it will grow by 3% and in 2005 by 3.1% , 2006 it will grow by 3.3% and then 3.2% in 2007 and 3.2% in 2008 and then 3.3% in 2009. These were extremley good economic growth figures and therefore they had good reason to be happy. But also with a budget surplus figures of £72 billions in 2004 with £83 billions in 2005, £90 billions in 2006, £98 billions in 2007 , £105 billions in 2008, £113 billions in 2009. These were strong figures along with Inflaiton figures of 1.1% in 2004, 1.0% in 2005, 1.3% in 2006, 0.9% in 2007 , 0.6% in 2008 and 0.8% in 2009.

As for Public services there were the continuing rises in NHS spending of £10 billion were welcolmed and the education also recieved an extra £6 billions and these were huge increases in the funding for front line services and therefore was there was greater levels of spending and the reason the huge and rapid increases in the expenditure of front line services were not only popular but effective. There were no major tax cuts.


London Mayrol Election 2004

View attachment 623515

The Mayrol contest was impending with Ken Livingstone who had been brought back to the Labour Party, Livingstone had a very effective first term as the mayor of London in reducing the fares and building 40,000 homes a year, half of them being council houses. His weekly town halls of 'Asking the Mayor' had been effective as every Friday for 90 minutes Ken Livingstone would answer the questions of the public. The main attempt had been focused on modernising the transport system which had been effective in not only creating new busses but also cleaning up and modernising the old busses. There had been a substantial benifit. It got to the point where Tony Blair had admitted Livingstone back into Labour so he could take back London for the Labour party.

As for the tories well they were in deep trouble for a simple reason they simply couldn't nominate anybody who could win over Labour voters or left wing voters in general, There had been talk of nominating Ken Clarke who would have been a formidable oppoment and instead they nominated Steve Norris (yet again). Norris was a traditional thatcherite and therefore didn't have the ability to connect with Labour voters. And throughout the election there was a key scandal of Norris sending illicit messages to his assistant, now why was that so bad because the man was married and had been banging on about family values throughout the campaign.

And with the campaign being focused on transport fares and the homes.The Election result was foregone


CandidatesFirst BallotSecond Ballot
Ken Livingstone (Labour)46.24%63.56%
Steven Norris (Conservatives)29.43%36.44%
Simon Hughes (Lib Dem)17.91%
Duncan Hanes (Green)6.32%

The result was compltely foregone but the margin was simply stunning Labour had secured another four years with a lead of 27% and therefore it looked likely that Labour would be given another eight years as a defeat in 2008 looked near impossible.

European Elections 2004

As the Campaign kicked off the elections were odd, though the tories had done very well in the 1999 European Elections they had won it mainly on the Euro because the public were oppposed to the joining of the Euro. However since the public had rejected the joining of the Euro, The campaign had seem rather lackluster. As for labour well they had decided to make it like a local eleciton in campaining here was the result.

PartySeatsPercent
Labour40 (+9)43.2%
Conservatives21 (-14)29.1%
Lib Dems17 (+5)27.7%
Summer of Sleaze

View attachment 623517

The Summer of 2004 had been one of the most miserable summers in 10 years because the summer had shown tories having affairs and being corrupt. MPs like Crispin Blunt who had been comiting adultery and therefore had to leave other MPs like Adam Ayfrie had been accused of taking £25,000 to ask questions about a construction project.Others Like James Gray MP for North Wiltshire had been accused of having multiple affairs. These allegations included 25 other MPs. 28 MPs out of 139 was damming. Utterly damming. And as a result the tories had crashed and crashed badly.

Who would you Vote For?

PartyResult
Labour43%
Lib Dem29%
Conservatives26%

Leadership Approvals


LeaderApproveDisaprove
Tony Blair58%40%
Bill Cash31%62%
Paddy Ashdown76%18%


Who Would you Trust?

PartyResult
Labour39%
Lib Dems38%
Conservatives21%


The Labour leads had recoverd and the tories by the start of september had plunged into third place due to the summer of sleaze knowing that they were not going to win the election they had spent a majority of the last three years supporting the base which had just turned more people off. But these scandals were the clearest indication that the tories didn't change and more to the point didn't want to change.

US Election 2004

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As the campaign kicked off it looked certain that Al Gore was going to be re-nominated as the democratic nominee for the Presidency. After four years of continuing the Clinton Agenda there was an extreme booming economy with the economy growing by 5.1% in 2003 , Unemployment was coming down and President Gore's focus on Education in securing free education till 18 was exceptional also the greater emphasis on the head start program for young people had been effective. Also the tax credits iniative had worked in lifting people out of poverty and a growing budget surplus of $280 billion. The Gore Adminsitration had a strong economy and the war In Iraq was popular because of the international backing. So therefore coming into the Convention in July 2004 with an Approval rating of 59% with his VP Howard Dean who had championed parts of the domestic agenda being very popular as well by the time the convention came Gore could give a speech which was 43 minutes long with a great closing.

'So as we gather here today after 12 years of democratic rule we have a strong economy and falling unemployment, increasing education standards and the lowest poverty since 1951 my friends we are at a crossroads and now we have a choice we can keep going with the team that is giving that economy and that education and that enviroment and helping the next generation or we can trust the republicans and make no mistake give them keys and they will mess it up. We have come so far so my fellow Americans let's keep moving'.

As the Democrats had a great convention what about the republicans well they were still suffering from the 12 year long identity crisis between wether they want to be a bunch of stateless anarchasists or progressive conservatives. George Bush had come close wining 238 Electoral College Votes. But he had not won, there was talk about Dick Cheney but he stood down instead Newt Gingrich the former house speaker decided to run for President and he secured the nomination with Trent Lott. But the interesting part was that Congressman Peter King of New York who had the highest record for Bi-Partisanship had won 46.1% of the vote Gingrich's acceptance speech did certainly fire up the convention but it didn't exactly win over moderates.

'Fellow Republicans we are here today to discuss the future of of our country and wether we trust the people or we trust the government we trust the people to make their own desicisons, to change their lives, Government should not be there on your backs'.

By the time of the first and only debate it was accepted that Gingrich got destroyed by Gore. Gore had a record to stand on which saw an expanding and growing economy which allowed the country to keep going also with the Increase in Medicare subsidise along with the radical increases in the funding of education and the fight of climate change and Gingrich didn't have a solution to any of these fundemental problems. By the time the debates came to an end. Gore had sealed the deal.



President AL Gore (D-TN)/VP Howard Dean (D-VT) 397 Electoral Votes- 54.8% 61,523,461Fmr Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) / Fmr Sen Trent Lott (R-MS) 131 EVs - 45.2% 51,281,531

End of the Year

As the year came to an end, With a General Election looking likely in May 2005. Tony Blair had every reason to be cheerful being 17% ahead and a tory party looking to the point of near collapse and with sleaze dominating the tory party and therefore a Labour government are in a good place to win the election.


UP Next
Budget 2005
Election 2005
Labour, Tory and Liberal Manifesto
Question Times
Paxman Interviews
Election Night
Why didn’t they discuss using the surplus, to pay for tuition fees. It’s quite a large surplus.
 
Post Election Reaction

View attachment 634778
As the Labour Party were coming into power for their fourth term, Tony Blair was not only the longest serving Prime Minister this country has ever had but he had won four general elections. This was huge, winning four elections in a row is huge for the Labour Party and therefore they felt totally vindicated that they were the natural party of government. As Tony Blair came back into MillBank he said 'How does it feel to be apart of a fourth term Labour Government, this Labour Party had become a changing party and with it we are changing the country and now let's keep going thank you'. As Ken Clarke returned back to CCHQ he proclaimed a huge advance. Indeed gaining nearly 90 seats was huge plus the conservatives had now officlaiy solidified their position as a party that could contend for government. Clarke said 'So here we are shocked of course and saddened but be in doubt we have made some good strides and that time will come when we will win'. As for the Lib Dems well it was interesting. Winning 27% of the vote was undeniably good for them it was less than the huge 32% won by Paddy Ashdown. But winning 71 MPs was substnaitla and effective.

As the Cabinet ministers went to Downing Street the ministers looked plausibly happy and here is how the cabinet looked.

Prime Minister-Tony Blair
Deputy Prime Minister -John Prescott
Chancellor- Gordon Brown
Foreign Secretary- Alan Milburn
Home Secretary- Jack Straw
Education Secretary -Charles Clarke
Health Secretary - Jacqui Smith
Work and Pensions Secretary - David Blunkett
Environment Secretary - Margret Beckett
Trade and Industry Secretary- Bob Marshall Andrews
Minister for Employment- Rodney Bicketstaffe
Transport Seceretary - John Prescott
Scottish Secretary - Tom Clarke
Welsh Secretary - Alun Micheal



2010 Queens Speech

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As the government reconvened for their thirteenth queens speech, having focused on the issues such as the health service and education which were regarded by many labour voters as the traditional issues that they campaigned on mainly in regards to the front line services. The queens speech was focusing on Health and Education. Fourth term in power had been a huge morale booster for Labour MPs and therefore the government proposed the following provisions
  • An Annual rise in NHS Spending by 4% every year
  • Constructing more city academies
  • Ensuring the establishing of a national plan in order to boost our economy
  • Leaving Iraq by 2012
  • Escalating funding in drug treatment centres
  • Increasing the number of police officers by 5,000 by 2011
  • The Legalising of Cannabis
  • A Royal commission into Drugs
  • Increasing Education spending by 3.6%.

The Queens speech was interesting focusing on front line services and therefore the Labour Party were focusing on two things. Siezing the centre ground was important for the Labour Party but this was an interesting thing. The establishing of the national plan in radically increasing economic growth would be beneficial. Except for China the UK had the fastest growing economy in the world. Therefore by focusing on public services it was working. The vote looked like this

PartiesAyesNoesAbsentions
Labour35803
Conservatives211673
Lib Dems7010
Others12117
Total46117913

The legislation passed with ease, the tories had figured out that there was no chance of stopping the bill from being passed so therefore Ken Clarke decided to vote against it but there was a nod and wink arrangement that allowed certain MPs Like Alan Duncan and Eric Pickles to vote for it.

Budget 2011

View attachment 634782

As the chancellor stood up to deliver another budget speech it became clear that the economy was still booming, The UK was experiencing growth rates of 4.4% in 2011 , 4.6% in 2012 , 4.7% in 2013 , 4.5% in 2014 and 4.8% in 2015. These were extremely string growth rates that was attributed mainly to the debt-free that the UK had become as a result of the strong surplus buidlng that the UK had done. The projected surpluses were to be £135 billion in 2011 , £143 billion in 2012 , £150 billion in 2013 , £158 billion in 2014 , £165 billion in 2015. The surplus will rise from being 5.6% to 7.2% of GDP and therefore the nations economy did constantly rise as a result of the prudent economy.

As for public spending the percentage of government revenue taken uo by spending had risen from 36.2% in 1i997 to 42.2% of GDP by 2011. This is to the tune of £138 billion in expenditure. This was mainly focused on the front line services. The expenditure on front line services was a huge part in redeveloping the economy as a result of front line services being given greater levels of income and therefore the quality of standards within the front line improved rapidly. This was shown by the NHS Waiting lists falling quite rapidly under 1 million and with 63% of schools getting 80% of students at least 5 GSCEs this is up from the 38% in 1997.

As for tax reductions. Brown did rule out tax cuts for the next two years but saying that in 2013 he would be able to have a fundamental review on income taxation.


2011 Scottish Election

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As the Campaign kicked off for the Scottish election, Labour were fighting for their fourth term in power. Jack McConell had been the leader after the death of Donald Dewar. McConell had been the first Minister for a decade. The Scottish Labour Party had been more to the left than the Labour Party in Westminster. polices such as tuition fees and prescription charges were non existent the establishing of policies such as the National Care service. Plus the driving up in standards so that with Scotland being no.3 in the world for maths. Yep, No.3 in 1997 they were 66th. But the Huge quadrupling in education funding had led to more schools and more teachers plus schemes such as the golden handcuffs which paid teachers £45,000 staring salary providing they had a university education of a 2:1 or higher had allowed better teachers to come and help out. By the time the election was ready it was clear that labour were going to do well but nobody knew how it was going to go.

As for the Conservatives they had decided to allow David Mundell to run again for the tories in order to win Scotland they would have to have a leader who was in the centre socially liberal and charismatic. Thankfully for Labour Goldie was none of those things. The tory campaign had been shambolic. Ken Clarke had decided to focus on the new leadership and he had in a favour used the election to teach he right a lesson. Clarke was debating with his right wing faction which way to go and therefore he decided to stump around the country on the hope that they could win the local elections. However Goldie had to step down in January 2011 because of her comments about LGBT rights. So the tories decided to select Ruth Davidson. A centrist who was socially liberal and who was certainly on the Clarke wing of the party. It was an interesting campaign as Davidson did fight an election on her socially liberal values and her economically centrist.

The Lib Dems had fought the campaign on 12 years of success, they had been in coalition with Labour and it was known that they had been there moral conscience on issues such as health service funding and tuition fees. It was also known that the Education funding policy was based of their initiatives The Liberal Democrats had been fighting the election on it's achievements and it was working with the polls being at 27% the Lib Dems were able to effecitvely state that they would be the brain and heart to Labour.

After 6 weeks of the campaign the result did look like this



PartiesSeatsPercentage
Labour60 (+2)40.5% (+2.1%)
Conservatives25 (+6)24.7% (+3.5%)
Lib Dems22 (-4)19.4% (-3.8%)
SNP12 (-6)7.3% (-3.7%)
Green10 (+2)8.1% (+2.0%)

The elections was an interesting result, the Labour Party had gained 2 seats and were only 5 short of a majority. Also winning 40.5% of the vote was effective interns of re-building. And doing a. deal between them and the liberals was going to occur and renewed for the fourth time. There had been talk of a coupon coalition between the two parties but they ran seperaeley. The majority had gone down from 39 to 35. But there was still a comfortable majority. For the tories well they had an interesting night to say the least they had gone from being at the start of the year polling at 13% and had ran a strong campaign with Ruth Davidson and had solidified their position. The SNP. were in terminal decline. The Greens had gained seats and 10 MSPs was respectable.

Wales Election

View attachment 634786

The Elections in Wales were interesting, Labour had done a coalition with the Lib Dems but it was known that their AMs were more aligned to the Welsh socialist party. As the Election began for Labour the first minister Rhodri Morgan had been in office for 8 years. Morgan had made his campaign based on a purist labour campaign focusing on the health service and education. The reason this was effective was because the campaign was working in South Wales the traditional labour heartlands. They had also campaigned in areas such as Aberconwy and Clwyd south. But after 12 years would the public be ready for 4 more years,

The Tories had an interesting campaign Andrew R.T Davis was a complexed figure whilst a comitted eurosceptic and a small c conservative. He had a 35% voting record on Labour legislation and therefore he was able to campaign on a left of centre proposals such as the NHS promising to match Labour's spending plans was huge. Davis was close with Eric Pickles and therefore he was more of a social democrat than a conservative. He had an effective campaign.

The Lib Dems had an interesting campaign they had been in power for 12 years but they knew that the rise of the Welsh socialist party were going to be a key thing for them since though the Labour Party and the Lib Dems had been very good coalition partners there was a shift to the left within politics. So the Lib Dems decided to be socially democratic and campaigning on their record of achievements on education and health and the huge reduction in poverty.


PartiesSeatsPercent
Labour30 (+1)40.3% (+1.5%)
Conservatives15 (+2)31.1% (+4.3%)
Lib Dems7 (-3)17.0% (-6.2%)
Welsh Socialist Party6 (NC)6.4% (-0.7%)
Plaid Cymru2 (NC)5.2% (+0.9%)

The Election was Interesting labour had secured a fourth term in office as expected they did a deal with the Lib Dems and had a majority of 14 seats. Labour had comfortably re-built Wales after the tory de-industrialisation. The Labour Party had been in power In Wales and winning 40% of the vote in Wales was outstanding. The Conservatives had a very good night, Winning 2 new seats and getting nearly a third of the vote. The Lib Dems didn't have a good night losing 3 seats and therefore there was a bit of hostility to doing a deal with Labour again. But then they decided it knowing they can take it to the centre left instead of allowing them to work with the Welsh socialist party.

Local Election 2011

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As the 2011 local elections started it became clear that these would be an interesting campaign, the Labour Party had been still feeling the goodness of a fourth general election victory so therefore initially there was a bit of a laidback approach but there was still a genuine fire with Tony Blair doing a few rallies and Gordon Brown and Alan Milburn stumping around the country around the country to canvass for votes. The Labour Party did treat elections very seriously and knew it would provide them with momentum and new power.

For the conservatives it was very interesting, Ken Clarke had firmly established the conservatives as an opposition party that looked ready for government, there was a clear broad link on age with the likes of David Cameron who were in the centre ground, The whole broad thinking of the Conservative party had been changed and had an ideological shift towards the centre ground, the centre ground was a key part of thinking for the Conservative party. Clarke had infamously called the conservatives 'A new modern centrist compassionate Conservative party'. The Clarkeite faction within the party had taken a domineering role within the party.

The Lib Dems has a centrist faction led by Vince Cable though he had moved away from the socially democratic faction to a centrist faction. But, Cable did keep a focus on the liberals and the centrist faction the party had moved away from his emphatic Europeanism to a more pragmatic position but they were not having any committed support for joining the Euro but they had remained explicitly supportive of remaining the Euro.


PartiesCouncilsCouncillorsPercentage of the Vote
Labour 63 (-15)7,351 (-896)35.6% (-3.1%)
Conservatives58 (+12)6,212 (+751)37.7% (+4.5%)
Lib Dems23 (+4)2,653 (+381)26.7% (+1.4%)
No Overall Control18 (-1)

Labour 281 (-54)Conservatives 256 (+65)Lib Dems 74 (+3)

2011 Conservative Party Conference - Caring Pragmatism- Leeds- 05.10.11-09.10.11

View attachment 634788


As the Conservatives convened for their sixth conference with Ken Clarke as their leader they were feeling good, the truth was they had a steep mountain to climb it looked like Ken Clarke could be able to take the tories back to power and therefore he was able to proclaim that the tories 'were on their way back to government' the Clarke leadership had been able to focus on the centre ground within society and therefore the Clarke leadership were able to focus on front line services. As he said in the tory conference.

'We are able to show that as a centrist party we have taken the lead wether it's on our public services such as the NHS we have said this party is in favour of the NHS and no conservative govnement would ever seek to undermine or end the principle that healthcare should be free at the point of use, in a modern compassionate society we have to be pragmatic but caring, and being pragmatic but that is our thinking that must govern the way we are. We are deeply compassionate people and though we believe in prudence and sensible spending we should be pragmatic but also compassionate'

The Conference had been a success for the Clarke leadership the fact it had focused on the policies of the centre ground and not running to the right had allowed Clarke to stick to his guts. And therefor the opinion polls looked like this


PartyPercentage
Conservatives41%
Labour35%
Lib Dems24%

Conservatives 304 (+113)Labour 243 (-92)Lib Dem 51 (-20)

CandidatesApproveDisaprove
Ken Clarke71%25%
Vince Cable66%30%
Tony Blair56%40%



2011 Labour Party Conference- The Next Move Forward- Manchester-11.10.11-14.10.11

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The Labour Party conference was an interesting one, it was Tony Blair's 14th conference as Prime Minister. Having been. leader of the Labour Party for 17 years and Prime Minister for 14 years he was able to convene for their conference they were able to cheer about their fourth victory which for them was unthinkable. The Labour Party had been able to run the country. But also as Tony Blair started his speech talking about health and eduction and the public services. It finished by saying this,

' We have done so much in the last fourteen years and we have done so much change of this country and we can continue this change but by modernising health and education services will allow us to transform these services. Because what matters within our public services is not just investment vital though that is, it's the quality knowing the they will have properly run services if we can do this and change our public services then we will be able to be custodians of our public services for a generation, We are society that can only be truly caring if we are allowed to run our country, you can't run a country from the benches of the oppisiton you can only do it from the benches of government. So let's get out there and make that change'

It had been one of Blair's most robust conferences speeches yet and therefore proving that he wasn't done with politics, the Blair premiership had been based off the notion of the third way within o society that needed strong public services but also needed to know that their taxes will be kept low. This economic combination was working and therefore it allowed Blair to proclaim that the Labour Parry are now the natural party of government,


PartyPercent
Labour39%
Conservatives37%
Lib Dems24%

Labour 330 (-5)Conservatives 250 (+59)Lib Dems 50 (-21)

LeaderApproveDisaprove
Vince Cable73%26%
Tony Blair68%30%
Ken Clarke63%36%


Browne Report
And here it is, the long awaited Browne report having meant to be reported in 2009 it was delayed till after the 2010 election and then delayed for another year. But on the 24th October 2011 it was to be reported and therefore here is what came out of the report. It advocated a rise in the headline rate of fees to £5,000 and the increasing of maintain e grants to £5,000. But it did support in principle the idea of a graduate tax. Brown had been in favour of the idea of a graduate tax levied at 4% for incomes above £23,000.

Cabinet Meeting
TB-Tony Blair
GB- Gordon Brown

TB- So here we are debating tuition fees, there are three solutions to the state of university fees we could raise the fees to £5,000 and use maintenance grants but equally we could use a graduate tax at 4% at incomes above £23,000 or we could abolish fees. Gordon what are we going to do,
GB- The thing is we have to decide what is going to pass parliament, now I don't think we can raise fees without a rebellion but can we even afford the abolition of tuition fees so what I suggest is that we impose a new graduate tax at 4% of incomes above £25,000 which will raise £7.9 billion and therefore allow us to fund state education.
TB- Ok let's do this.


House of Commons-University Education financing

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As the government convened for a vote on univerisity education, nobody honestly knew how it was going to go, the Labour Party had always prided itself on being the party of the working class and therefore this bill was always going to create a substantial level of controversy and that's why they had tried to fight this through. But here is what were in the bill,

  • A 4% Graduate tax for incomes above £22,000
  • Using the proceeds to give an extra £9.5 billion for state educaiton
  • No return to Tuition fees
  • Increasing maintance grants to £5,000
  • Keeping this system until 2025
The bill was controversial but the 4% graduate tax had brought a sense of stability and had removed the stigma of going to university but also the proposal to end tuition fees. And therefore here is how the votes went

PartiesAyesNoesAbstentions
Labour3121112
Conservatives131708
Lib Dems6577
Others12117
Total34324934

The Government carried the vote easily this was a contrast to what many had thought ws going to happen, most thought the government would win by 10 votes. But the reforms to university financing had helped Labour win plus the 'wets' had helped the government win the vote, incidentally Ken Clarke had voted against the govnement but nevertheless the government had won the vote.

End of Year review

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As 2011, came to an end the Labour Party were an interesting position, after 14 years of being in power the Labour Party were still polling at 35%. The last poll in 1993 put the conservatives at 28% so therefore the Labour Party were in a good place. But equally the leadership of Ken Clarke and his pragmatism and his bloke image had allowed the conservatives to be neck and neck with Labour. Most polls put them ahead on 37%. But for the Lib Dems Vince Cable was polling at 26%. The three party system looked hear to stay. But interesting enough all parties were more or less in the centre.

Next Up
Budget 2012
London Mayrol Elections
The end of Iraq
New National Plan
Labour Conference
Tory Conference
Budget 2013
And some shocks?

I’m sorry but Scotland wouldn’t be third in the world for education. You’re telling me that, they are doing better then Japan. South Korea and Singapore? That’s just not happening. Especially in the span of ten years. Also, no mention of Wales protecting the Welsh language, one of last Celtic languages with good amount of speakers. Other than this, I’m finding this TL interesting. Though it would be nice to have more events would take place, rather going through the same budget and more or less saying the same thing. Also, with such a surplus, the tuition fees should be a non-issue, in this TL, as of 2011. You have about £150 billion in surplus, so labour would probably just abolish it and support universities instead. With a surplus, labour would also probably be doing other building projects. Such as nuclear plants and other infrastructure. Keep up the good work.
 
I’m sorry but Scotland wouldn’t be third in the world for education. You’re telling me that, they are doing better then Japan. South Korea and Singapore? That’s just not happening. Especially in the span of ten years. Also, no mention of Wales protecting the Welsh language, one of last Celtic languages with good amount of speakers. Other than this, I’m finding this TL interesting. Though it would be nice to have more events would take place, rather going through the same budget and more or less saying the same thing. Also, with such a surplus, the tuition fees should be a non-issue, in this TL, as of 2011. You have about £150 billion in surplus, so labour would probably just abolish it and support universities instead. With a surplus, labour would also probably be doing other building projects. Such as nuclear plants and other infrastructure. Keep up the good work.

I think I might have referred to Scotland being third in the world for Education, if so that was a mistake I meant to say that England were third in the world and that is because of the huge investment into Education and it would drive up standards and therefore it would help Britain rise int he legaues as we did under New Labour. Now the reason I don't talk about using the surplus is because if Britain its lending half of the surplus to the world then the growth of the economy would be more substantial and were would be more powerfuL. And as for the repetition which Is a fair point Im having an ideas deficit and I think that in the 2010s I become more creative interns of this timeline. But I will try and create more varied content. Thanks for the encouragement I will keep with the good work.
 
This has been an interesting timeline, albeit very biased (we've all done this sort of timeline so don't worry about that :p) but a few major issues to point out:
  1. AOC is too young to be the Vice President nominee, the same age restrictions for President apply.
  2. I find it nigh on impossible that the Blairite education reforms would be that successful - IOTL they were subpar at best and focussed on the wrong areas.
  3. Ken Livingstone should definitely have been voted out as Mayor in 2008 (though this could be my anti-Ken bias showing itself)
Other than these points everything else is mostly okay. Good work!
 
This has been an interesting timeline, albeit very biased (we've all done this sort of timeline so don't worry about that :p) but a few major issues to point out:
  1. AOC is too young to be the Vice President nominee, the same age restrictions for President apply.
  2. I find it nigh on impossible that the Blairite education reforms would be that successful - IOTL they were subpar at best and focussed on the wrong areas.
  3. Ken Livingstone should definitely have been voted out as Mayor in 2008 (though this could be my anti-Ken bias showing itself)
Other than these points everything else is mostly okay. Good work!
First I did not know the VP had to be 35 years old, I will change it to Sen Elizabeth Warren thanks for letting ,e . Secondly Blair's education reforms were exceptionally good as in 1997 only 45% of people got 5 GSCEs and by 2007 it was 76%, other reforms such as paying teachers £45,000 if they taught in a inner city school with lower standards had helped in reducing inequality but also hiring more teachers and reducing the exam burden. Saw Britain shot up in the league tables. And as for Ken Livingstone, London is an intrisincly Labour city and the reason he won in 2008 was because the tories had nearly become extinct in 2005 and therefore for them to win a victory in London where they had got 23.3% of the vote in 2005 would have been unrealistic.

But thanks for the advice, it genuinely helps me modify the timeline for it to be more developed. And thanks for the encouragement I know my Labour Bias can be shown by the fact I kept them in power for 18 years. But after both Labour and the tories had 18 years to run the country (79-97) (97-2015) the conservatives and labour would now haver a more fairer chance of winning.
 
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2021

Budget 2021


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As David Cameron stood up to give his budget report in a second term majority conservative government, the economy was booming, growth forecasted to be 6.6% in 2021, 6.7% in 2022, 6.3% in 2023, 6.5% in 2024, 6.9% in 2025. There was a booming economy and this had been central to the conservative appeal that they had preserved the economy and kept it growing rather than causing a constant cycle of boom and bust. Cameron had announced that the budget surplus would be £123 billions in 2021, £135 billions in 2022, £143 billions in 2023, £150 billions in 2024 and £156 billions in 2025. The elimination of debt had allowed the surplus to be evenly distrucrtibuted between the reserve fund, public expenditure, infrastructure development. The latter providing the growth in the economy. Cameron was also able to talk about the inflation forecasts which were going to be 0.9% in 2021, 0.8% in 2022, 1% in 2023, 0.8% in 2024 and 0.6% in 2025. Wages within the public sector were forecasted to go 5% over and above price increases. The Increasing of wages was essential and it was a series of positive economic factors that were helping the Clarke Government.

As for the NHS, Cameron announced an official audit of the NHS to ensure that all the expenditure within the NHS is being spent in a sound manner with the aim as he put it 'to look at all investments within the NHS to see if it's having a result'. He said the audit should be live and direct in the regard of once a wasefiul inaitivek had been cut it should be put directly into the frontline care. Cameron forecasted this would allow the NHS to transfer at least £23 billions away from private contracts and beaurcrocy and into the frontline of care. He did however clearly affirm then government's election commitment to £10 billion a year extra additional NHS investment. He Also promised to ensure that NHS Staff he highlighted in aptivcualr Junior Doctors, Nurses, Doctors and Cleaners and Porters and Carers received a pay rise 8% over and above the rate of Inflation. Cameron set out a plan to work with Hague to end all waiting within the NHS.

As For Education there was going to be the £10 billion Cameron had privately committed. He announced £2 billion a year additionally for 40 hours of free childcare, £3 billion for Primary Education to ensure that the student teacher ratio comes down to 1:15 with class sizes limiting to 15. But also ensure that we can have 2 teaching assistants in every school, he also promised to follow up on the ideas of digitlisaitons of the education system replacing textbooks with laptops and kindles instead making information easier to access But also developing World Education Library to ensure information is globally accessed around the world. But then also he invested £4 billion into secondary reduction with an expansion of subjects taught to include economics, food tech and communication lessons. He also decided to insistute a system where teacher pay increases were linked to student attainment he also announced a new £40 a week grant for families with incomes below £25,000 providing the student goes to school 95% of the time. EMA was retained and there would be a focus on refurbishing the schools to ensure that school buidilings were fit for the 21st century. The Graduate Tax was maintained with Cameron saying 'No IFS No Buts Tuition Fees will never be brought in'.

After Tax Cuts were done, there had been a bit of a revenue drop so therefore Cameron announced there would be a new commission called Portillo-Brown-Kennedy Comission with Micheal Portillo and Gordon Brown and Charles Kennedy working on a comisison to fix the tax system with the aim to cut rates and to fix loopholes and to combat tax evasion it was a bold bold idea that would be a bi partisan commission that would last 12 months and Cameron said until the commission announced in early 2022 there would be no tax changes.

Cameron announced there would be further Welfare Reform, Cameron announced there would be Rent supplements to replace housing benefit where 2/5ths of rent or mortgage costs would be covered and an annual increase in pensions by £20 a week for one decade. He announced that there would be 85% of the first £300,000 of farming costs covered to ensure that food prices can come down on the basis farmers would use their surplus corps to provide to the shops to lower price sand that would be a maximum £600 a year energy bill and announced that a £20 billion investment to modernise waste treatment facilities to ensure that companies could not dump waste in the water. And He finishes by announcing that the railways would be re-nationlised it was bold, Cameron announced in effect the re-creation of British Rail.

Alan Milburn decided to respond to the budget from the labour perspective there really wasn't much to lambast and critics and paticualry front he Milburn perspective so therefore he decided to say this 'The Chancellor has laid out a series of very interesting proposals and I welcome him on his conversion to social democracy his comittment to the NHS and Education really is putting schools and hospitals first, and im sure it will make the members on his backbenchers the right wingers squirm with embarrassment however at least he and the cabinet are seeing the light bit there are in fairness proposals we welcome the proposals on health and education and we certainly welcome the tax reform comsison and the welfare reforms we need to worm together and I welcome the reforms he has proposed but we will need to go further to strengthen the surplus but to also ensure that the govenrment can help people more'

it was a rather lacklustre statement from Milburn because of his ideas he was fairly in the old centre ground and there is nothing he can do and there at the point he will have to consider his position but there were other things to consider espeically with the impending mayors bill, And here is how the polls look.


PartyResult
Conservative42%
Labour35%
Lib Dems 23%

Conservatives 330 (-10)Labour 250 (+12)Lib Dems 45 (+1)


The Mayors Bill
The Devoluton started by New Labour had been expanded under the tories, Ken Clarke had wanted to create asystme of regional mayors. A mayor for the north east, A Mayor of the North West, A Mayor for the West Middlands and for the East Middlands and for the east of England for the South West and South East. Whilst Clarke still wanted a strong executive and Strong Parliament he had become convinced for the case of regional mayors so therefore the bill was put to the commons as follows.

  • Ensuring all mayors have four year terms
  • Ensuring all mayors are elected by the instant run-off system
  • Allowing Mayors to have powers to ensure control on the schools and local hospitals and the local envioremtn but also fixing it's infrastrcurure
  • To have a regional council to work with the mayor to ensure all councils work with the mayor
  • Ensuring a National Mayors Council to work with the PM.

It was a rather modest bill but it was seeking to lay out the basic infrasturure for some form of a local mayors it would be accepted that there would be labour mayors and tory mayors but with the ideological battle lines being re-drawn in effect and it was accepted that this bill would be voted through on the nod to ensure that there wouldn't be a heavy debate snit was clear by the PM that there would be no violation of parliament but isnrtead an amalgamation of current local powers.


Local Elections 2021

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So this was an interesting local elections campaign, the tories had decided to run a good campaign Ken Clarke was still central too this, Clarke Cameron, Duncan, Davis, Pickles were the main people stumping around the country being able to talk about what the tories had done, the knew that with a bad set of local elections results four years previously it is possible that the tories could have an interesting campaign deciding to talk about the booming economy and the fact that local budgets were providing better services bin collections were coming every 72 hours, the roads were being fixed new investments had led to a reduction in business rates to a average of 10% there were a development of natural parks and therefore the tories had created a standpoint of being a sensible centrist party instead of occupying the right wing fringes they were openly advocating for the centrist position. This was a less of look what we can do and more of look what we have done and look what we can continue to do the message was working and after all the tories had been running the country for six years.

With Labour they were focusing on what Labour councils have done and what they should continue to do there campaign had Alan Milburn, Ed balls, John McDonnell and Jonathan Ashworth. Labour councils were promising to build more libraries fund the local schools have weekly meetings across the country with the public modelled of Ken livignstones weekly question time in London but also the fixing of buses and roads. This was interesting focusing on the infrastructure position did help but the Labour Prty were in crisis with the left taking over and the old New Labour wing becoming a bit less relevant and with the tories in effect siezed the centre ground off Labour was going to be tough for the Labour Party.

As for the Liberal Democrats well out of them all they were having their best campaign knowing that after David Laws was trying to evisicreate the Lib Dems and under Tim Farron there was a revival of the Liberal Democrats with them polling on average 22%,With Tim Farron, Charles Kennedy and Vince Cable working around the country. Lib Dems had come to be in coalition with the tories and labour and had their own councils they were effectively able to pitch themselves as governing for the purpose of being sensible and not cutting taxes more than what they can afford and to have new scheme to fix the local issues there centre ground is where the Lib Dems had for nearly 200 years had their natural ground. But this waould be a great campaign. Here is how the result happend


PartiesCouncilsCouncillorsShare of the Vote
Conservatives69 (-8)6,191 (-1,371)37.2% (-4.1%)
Labour56 (-18)5,705 (-1,657)33.5% (-5.9%)
Lib Dems36 (+10)5,718 (+2,508)28.3% (+8.7%)
No Overall Control18 (+18)

Conservatives 306 (-34)Labour 228 (-30)Lib Dems 94 (+50)


This was an amazing night for the Liberal Democrats it was in effect a huge comeback for the Lib Dems winning their best pre-laws result had helped them being taken serious again. Whilst Labour had a disaster result it was accepted within both parties the next few years will be horrific for both of the parties because the Lib Dems are going to revive in the post laws era.

Scotland Election 2021

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Once again, Labour were continuing to dominate Scotland there was an accepted consensus that Labour would continue to run Scotland, the left wing Labour Party that Labour had become in Scotland with the new nationalising of electricity and focusing on the house building had allowed Labour to cruise to double digit leads after 24 years in power with Scottish education still the best in the world, a revived NHS and a solvent pensioned welfare system, the coalition times between Labour and the Lib Dems is clearly popular and is working, Nationlising Rail and Water and Gas and social Housing had been effective and popular but the Labour had been in power for 24 years and were going for a sixth term and with a revived Scottish tory party who were doing well could they still win a sixth term,

However Douglas Ross who was the leader of the Scottish Tory Party was a very interesting having abandoned the right altogether though the modernisation had been for 14 years the tories were openly advocating a social democratic platform with more House Building especially within Social Housing and focusing very much in ensuring that wages rise by Prices+2% so therefore as Ross put it 'We can end Poverty in Scotland for ever'. Ross and Ruth Davidson were seen regularly campaigning together along with Ken Clarke and David Cameron and even Alan Duncan. They were effective there was no doubt that the once detested party in Scotland were being given a Second look. The tories had abandoned any talk of individualism and instead were focusing on community, with Ross famously saying 'The Government is very useful but it should be working with people and the community not just civil servants' Ross had promised not to reverse any of Labour's nationlisaitons but promised no further nationliusaitons but knowing that Rail, Water, Electricity, Gas, Mail and Social Housing was nationalised it wasn't like there was much left.

For the Liberal Democrats well they were still recovering on the Post Laws effect however nobody doubted that the Lib Dems had been good coalition partners it was known that First Minister Anas Sarwar as of 2018 and Lib Dem leader and Deputy First Minister Willie Rennie had a personal friendship that allowed them to govern as a real centre left government. Rennie campaigned on the coalition's successes with it being privately accepted that the coalition of Labour and the Lib Dems was going to remain they could campaign on their successes.

As for the SNP with their 10 seats they were becoming somewhat Irrelevant with Nicola Sturgeon though popular accepted that if she could win 15 seats for the SNP that would be a success. Ultimaltey here is how the result went.


PartiesSeatsPercentage of the Vote
Labour58 (-4)39.2% (-1.9%)
Conservatives32 (+3) 30.1% (+1.2%)
Lib Dems23 (-2)18.3% (+0.7%)
SNP13 (+3)9.1% (+2.7%)
Greens3 (-3)3.8% (-2.7%)

Well it was never In doubt a Labour Sixth Term winning 58 seats and 23 Lib Dems ensured 81 MSPs or a majority of 33 down From 47. The majority the Labour Party had been reduced but nevertheless there was a sixth term, the Tories had got pass the 30 barrier but they knew that with 3/10ths of th courtly supporting them could mean unto 15 MPs at the next general election. The Lib Dems had staved of a catosphre in 2016 remarkably but this was the delayed effect but still only losing 2 seats and going up in the vote could hardly be a bad thing and nationalism well that was yesterdays news.


Welsh Election


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Like in Scotland Labour were going for Sixth Term, Welsh Labour were very much a socialist party supporting total union rights like they did i9n Scotland, supporting nationalisation of the utilities like in Scotland and Social Housing building 1.5 million homes since 2000. Welsh Labour had fixed education and the NHS and had got unemployment below 4% at 3.1% and a bit higher than the 2.2% in Scotland. Mark Drakeford the New First Minister as of 2017 was a popular man having succeeded the late Rhodri Morgan. Drakeford ran Wales in a socialist manner supporting collectivism and nationalised industries they were as Drakeford put it 'Going for the Majority' even though Morgan had a personal friendship with Kirsty Williams and the Liberal Democrats, Drakeford found it harder to deal with them.

The Welsh Conservatives however had learnt nothing unlike Scotland they still believed in the old Thatcherite style, Andrew R.T Davies was still the leader mainly because they couldn't;t find the alternative and with National CCHQ accepting Labour were going to win didn't even bother trying to find a suitable replacement wanting to instead focus on Scotland.

The Lib Dems had ran an interesting campaign, Kirsty Williams who was a self proclaimed Social Democrat who had a personal friendship with Rohodri Morgan had a cordial working relaitonship with Mark Drakeford but not a personal friendship and whilst the Lib Dems were good coalition partners with Labour there was a frost developing between the two leaders. The Lib Dems did campaign on their success but it was clear they were probably npoy goring to be fully fledged coalition partners next time.

With the Plaid Cymru being taken a bit more seriously after winning 7 seats in the election they were not going to do half as well as they did in the last election with there focus on nationalism. As for the Welsh Socialist party who were iodeolgiocially closer to Drakeford they were going to do well in the election with their Mark Anderson (Fictional Name) was willing to work with Drakeford and if they won 5 or 6 starts and if Drakeford minted the 30 or go low as 28 they could still easily form a government here is what happend.


PartySeatsVotes
Labour35 (+5)51.3% (+10.2%)
Lib Dems6 (-3)21.8% (-0.5%)
Conservatives5 (-5)12.1% (-12.3%)
Welsh Socialist Party7 (+3)8.9% (+3.8%)
Plaid Cymru7 (NC)6.3% (-1.2%)

Labour had pulled off arguebaly one of the most stunning victories of them all they were a majority, a majority of 10 and with Welsh Socialists it could be 42 AMs or a majority of 24. The Labour Party had in effect become the natural party fo govenrment in Wales. The Lib Dems had loss seats but their vote had held up and the tories had finally after a yet another destruction told Davies to Go with a new contest soon.

London Mayrol Election 2021

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Ken Livingstone was allowed to stay on for another year so the election for mayor wouldn't coincide with a General Election. But he had maintained his promise that he would go at the end of his fifth term and he wasn't going for the sixth term. Instead it was clear that Dr Rosena Alan Khan A Rising star in the London Labour Party and a close friends of the Mayor Personally and a left winger was going to take over. Indeed it was accepted that Livingstone was able to serve the rest of his term whilst Alin Khan contested for the 2021 Mayrol Election she campaigned very much nn the successes of Ken Livingston but also promised her own inaitivek such as annual reductions in bus fares and rail fares, a £5 billion infrastructure fund to rebuild old buildings and to fix the roads, a £10 per tonne Carbon Tax to have £4.5 billion to fix London's waste treatment plants to end the dumping of sewage in waters altogether 2whilst Livingstone had taken measures still 12% of London Water was polluted less than the 35% of the UK average. Promising also a system of rent-to ownership where people pay rents foe their flats and homes and overtime develop ownership. Her Running mate was Tom Walker a renounced socialist who was known for delivering his speeches in the assembly with wit and humour but also being known for his appearances on Have I got News for you, his policy credentials came from his idea of the London Job Gaunratee ensuring all unemployed people were able to work on local projects developed by the mayor and would be paid £13 an hour and also working with Livingstone in developing Local Price Controls on Food and Electricity and Water Bills cutting prices immediately by 25%. Labour were set to Win.

The Tories had decided to Run Andrew Mitchell a left winger in the tory party and a friend of Ken Clarke, Mitchell decided to campaign on the need to encourage businesses but also fixing the education system, He promised to continue the Mayor's Question time which Livingstone had done every week for 21 years and had become an institution. Mitchell Walks following on Rory Walks was also helping, Mitchell had learnt a lot form Stewart and Livingstone. Whilst Poverty and come piumetting down Mitchell had decided to spend 4 days in a family's 2 bedroom apartment sleeping on the floor to understand their suffering and came out for rent and food subsidies it was clear Mitchell was in some cases running to the left of Khan. But did he have Rory Stewart's popularity ratings nope and it was mid-term blues but he was popular.

The Lib Dems had tried to change but it was clear so long as the tories were going to be on the centre and not the right the Lib Dems were not as popular as they once were. And as for the Greens, Sian Berry's amazing result in 2016 could be emulated again however there was a legitimate fear of two party politics. here is how the result was.


CandidateFirst Ballot Second Ballot
Dr Rosena Alin-Khan (Labour)43.12%55.14%
Andrew Mitchell (Conservative)40.46%44.86%
Sian Berry (Green)12.52%
Luisa Poritt (Lib Dem4.9%

Another victory for the Labour Party they won Scotland and Wales and Now London comfortably. Here is how the London Assembly voted
Party SeatsShare of the vote
Labour11 (+1)46.2% (+1.1%)
Conservatives7 (NC)31.2% (+1.6%)
Green5 (-1)11.7% (-4.4%)
Lib Dem 2 (NC)11.2% (+1.6%)

Well there we are a Labour Green Coaltion with Lib Dems working with them ensured a labour majority of 11. 18-7 that's what it was. It was a clear a sixth labour term would be easy at this rate.


Welfare Reform

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The Government's plan for real and meaningful Welfare Reform was going to be bolder and more centrist than the previous Bill. Eric Pickles had decided as he put it to end poverty forever. So he decided to do something totally out of the box, Pickles order a copy off the 2020 Labour Manifesto and 2020 Tory Manifesto and 2020 Lib Dem Manifesto's policies on Welfare and Work and decided to highlight the crossovers. He decided to put forward a bill that if people were b being honest would be bard if not impossible for the Labour Party to disagree with here were the provisions Im the bill.

  • The Creation of Subsidies to cover the first 35% of food costs, 35% for energy costs and 35% of renting costs for families below £25,000 with 6% reductions for every £1,000 after £25k and cut off at £30,000
  • To raise Unemployment compensation to £11 an hour in line with the minimum wage but ensure they had to work on local projects in order to receive their welfare grants
  • Insittuing Price Controls on Bread, Milk, Meat and vegetables and cleaning products and to cover the first £200,000 of famers costs to make of up the revenue shortfall.
  • Ensuring a £1,500 tax credit for children and working parents
  • Allowing Workers in the private sector to have the choice of joining a trade union but not forced
  • Developing a gaurnatee that workers wages will rise by RPI+2%
  • Ensuring that all unions had full collective bargaining rights but limited striking powers
  • 4% of individuals income put into a savings account to ensure that people who become unemployed or fall on hard times have their own safety net
It was an interesting welfare reform bill it took in the right wing of savings accounts and workfare and the left wing goal of price controls for the essentials and subsidies for the poor and the centre a strengthening of tax credits. So in some regards it was a unifying bill. Here is the opening statement from Secretary of State Eric Pickles

'Mr Sepaker, We have to Reform Welfare nobody doubts that, Nobody also doubts that poverty has to be reduced and eliminated this bill dopest that, we have reformed unemployment compensation by linking it to people having a Job we have reformed the safety net by encouraging workers to put away 4% of their earnings to develop their own safety net. However we have helped people price controls with 15% reduction in prices with a doubling and a half of farmers subsidies to £200,000 to allow price controls and price cuts. And also to subsidies for the food and energy and renting costs. But this bill also strengthens the role of the unions. This Government is treating unions as friends which I agree isn't traditional tory thinking but we want to get people from welfare to work, we have supported the idea of welfare to work and this will reduce the number of people who are in poverty to ensure that people can live a more dignified life there is essential to the beacon of a free society the fact we are willing to care for people who require assistance and caring for people through assistance is something we will always do'.

Next is the statement of oppistuon by Jess Phillips who is the shadow secretary of state for work and welfare as the department was re-named from work and pensions to work and welfare. Phillips who was a left winger though had a great working relationship with Jess Phillips so here is her response to the bil.



'Mr Speaker what a fascinating piece of legislating from the secretary of state has decided to reform welfare now has he done it through a series of price controls, wage enhacnemtns and subsidies what an amazing idea. If the secretary of state is now willing to abandon decades of non interventionism to finally help the poor that's all we have ever asked for and Im glad to see he's taking it up. Now do we have our disputes certainly we disagree with savings accounts as the wealthier will be able to save more, We believe that the purpose of the welfare state is to provide real and meaningful security to people who don't have money or not enough to live a decent life it is NOT there to ensure wealthier people become even richer so whilst there are good ideas in this bill, We will allow a free vote on our side to ensure the good parts of this bill are voted through and that we reform savings accounts provisions'

The idea that the Labour Party were going to attack this bill massively wasn't realistic as a lot of those provisions were in the 2020 Labour manifesto and had been advocated by left wingers but it was a matter of fact that Pickles had put this also in the last manifesto to ensure that the tories could be working with the working class so the bill wasn't going to be voted down here is how it went.


PartiesAyesNoesTotal
Conservatives29842340
Labour14890238
Lib Dems341044
Others91928
Total489161650


It was a massive victory for the Government a Bi Partisan victory by in effect doing what James Baker did Called the buy in theory that if you put in a series of ideas in law that the opposition can not vote against it and therefore create a bi-partisan victory and it did. To Many political commentators it was a mind boggling victory nobody expected it to be that huge yet it was.

Labour Conference- Manchester 29/09/21-3/10/21

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As Alan Milburn rose to give his conference speech it was quite clear that his position had become somewhat untenable despite holding Scotland, Wales and London the loss of an election which should have been won was worrying for Labour so here is what Milburn said at his conference speech:

'Friends the Labour Party was created to protect the working class I believe in the values of social justice and opportunity for all and fairness w can not live in a society with unemployment or poverty and of course we require first class public services, We can do that when we win, and to win it can not be the Labour Party dividing we have to unite around ideas, the left have to accept views of centrists and the centrists have to accept views of the left wing, If sea re willing to work together and not to get bogged down in ideological purity we can get back to power, I believe in the Labour Party and to strengthen the Labour Party well be the beacon of helping the poor and to do that it will require us to win the next election so let us do that'

Milburn's speech was bold he was clear he wanted to ensure a fairer society that will help the poor and those who can't help themselves and then goes further to say the only way it can be done is through the introduction of a Labour Government and if Ken Clarke was to run for a their term or Alan Duncan or Rory Stewart or Eric Pickles or Ben Houchen took over then that maybe a struggle



PartyPercent
Labour38%
Conservatives36%
Lib Dems24%

Conservatives 298 (-42)Labour 265 (+23)Lib Dems 63 (+19)



Conservative Conference- Birmingham 6/10/21-10/10/21

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With the tories in their power for their 6th year and the polls still looking good for the Conservative party, Ken Clarke rightly felt more happy at there thought of a re-election of a tory goovenrment there was genuine positive record economically, domestically and Internationally. now here is what the Prime Minister had to say:

'Well here we go again, another year in government another great year for the conservative party welfare reform, the mayors bills, a good local election result and the rebuilding of Scottish Conservatives. The reforms we made have ensured that we are once again the natural party of government but to keep going we have to ensure that we can fix the public services, we have a booming economy for 29 years of brilliant decisions but now we must keep going and be bold, I believe we have to eliminate Illiteracy, Innumermacy and Unemployment and strengthen our national productivity I want it to be our ambition by the end of the decade the UK can take half of the world trade, If we do that we can once again become the workshop of the world, People look to us, China, USA, Germany and India all look to the UK for leadership we are the fastest growing economy on the planet for the 9th year in a row we are a booming nation and we have led the world notably in saving the world through our climate change deal with the world let us now be bolder be internationalist be economical to keep the greatness going'


PartyPrecent
Conservatives42%
Labour36%
Lib Dems20%

Conservatives 338 (-2)Labour 230 (-8)Lib Dem 54 (+10)



End of Year

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Well it was the end of the year, Clarke with his 72% Approval rating was arguably one of the most popular politicians in Western Europe his forwardness in international policies along with his third way on domestic policy made him a formidable thinker and respected politician in the UK and abroad. As for Labour well, Milburn knew his Time was eroding slowly and the fight for him was to ensure he could lead labour into the next election. Tim Faron never seemed happier he had taken the Lib Dems to a revival and now frequently polling above 18% was helping the Lib Dems being taken seriously again.


Next Up
Budget 2022
Local Elections 2022
Reforming Transport
Fixing Electricity
Labour Conference
Tory Conference
Rebuilding Infrastructure




Personal Notice- Can I just Apologise sincerely for being away for 11 months it's been quite a mental 11 months from Uni, to sub stack to the podcast to work a lot of things happened that ensured my focus on alternate history was much less than it ought to be and I apologise for that, Im back now, I will try and post once a week, I want to keep this thread going incidentally im also working on a second thread of an Al Gore Presidency but I want to keep this going so thanks for the patience but Im back.

 
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