Eurofed
Banned
As you may or may not have noticed and care to follow, I've started an Axis victory TL and a central topic of its development where I may need some reasoned advice and educated opinion, no matter how dark and gritty the matter, is the demographic issues of a Lebensraum that is expanded to Yugoslavia, Slovakia, and the Arab world besides the usual Eastern Europe victims.
Some basic assumptions of the TL (go here for the full version):
With the single exception of the Jews and Rom, the Nazifascists very soon after the war adopt the ironclad rule that apart from the people they kill to quell rebellions, they only exterminate or deport the natives from the lands they are fairly sure they can swiftly repopulate with their own settlers (and a minority of forcefully-Aryanized racially-suitable locals). In the meanwhile, they exploit the natives as an enslaved workforce.
Fascist Europe gets bound into such a tight "Dark EU on steroids" confederal political, economic, and military bond that relatively soon after the war, Lebensraum becomes a Pan-Western European colonization effort. Italians, French, and Iberians are welcome to settle in Eastern Europe, while Germans, French, and Iberians are welcome to settle in the Western Balkans and in the Arab world.
Lebensraum colonization proceeds in a rough concentric wave pattern, from Czechia-Western Poland, coastal Maghreb, and northern-western Yugoslavia onward, and Slav and Arab areas get similar priority.
Despite the hellish regime enforced in the colonial areas, Fascist Europe is an industrialized superpower, less economically and technologically efficient than the Free World but more so than the USSR, which treats loyal Aryan subjects with a relative light hand, comparable to pre-war Germany and Italy or a more wealthy and efficient post-Stalinist Soviet Union. So OTL demographic trends for 20th-century industrialized countries mostly apply. The regime does enforce strong natalist policies, such as strong subsidies and social benefits for fertile couples, extensive daycare networks, and the like. But extreme practices like mandatory pregnancies and birthing factories are not really feasible except in special cases.
Fascist Europe and Japan control Africa and western Eurasia up to the Yenisei-Xinjiang-Indus line, and eastern Eurasia except the Indian subcontinent, respectively, while the USA (which joined with Canada, Australia, and New Zealand into a confederation), Latin America, Britain, and India make up the Free World. The two blocs are locked into a Cold War and MAD nuclear stalemate. The Free World smuggles what support it can to the plentiful Slav, Arab, African, and Asian rebels to Axis tyranny, but there is not much else it can do.
Given these premises, how do you expect that Lebensraum would proceed, which nations, and when, would get extinguished as meaningful ethnic and cultural entities and replaced by Western European settlers, down the decades of Nazi rule ? I'd be quite thankful if you could frame your argument in a decade-by-decade basis, so your advice remains useful regardless of whether the totalitarian bloc suffers a collapse in the 70s, 80s, 90s, or endures to present times.
So far, I tentatively assumed that up to the early 60s, Czechia, Poland, Baltic states, Belarus, Yugoslavia, Albania, Slovakia, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya would get assimilated, while Ukraine and Egypt would do so in the 60s and early-mid 70s. But I'm quite uncertain about the rest. Would the decline of demographic growth in Fascist Europe eventually bring the engines of genocide to an halt, and if so, when, and how far the tide of ethnic cleansing and resettlement would spread ? Or would they keep the demographic potential to gobble ever-increasing bits of Russia and the Middle East up to present times ? Would they eventually start spreading their nasty job to bits of Sub-Saharan Africa ?
I'd be doubly thankful if you could also give some reasoned and educated advice on the demographic effects of decades-long Japanese rule on East Asia and South East Asia.
Some basic assumptions of the TL (go here for the full version):
With the single exception of the Jews and Rom, the Nazifascists very soon after the war adopt the ironclad rule that apart from the people they kill to quell rebellions, they only exterminate or deport the natives from the lands they are fairly sure they can swiftly repopulate with their own settlers (and a minority of forcefully-Aryanized racially-suitable locals). In the meanwhile, they exploit the natives as an enslaved workforce.
Fascist Europe gets bound into such a tight "Dark EU on steroids" confederal political, economic, and military bond that relatively soon after the war, Lebensraum becomes a Pan-Western European colonization effort. Italians, French, and Iberians are welcome to settle in Eastern Europe, while Germans, French, and Iberians are welcome to settle in the Western Balkans and in the Arab world.
Lebensraum colonization proceeds in a rough concentric wave pattern, from Czechia-Western Poland, coastal Maghreb, and northern-western Yugoslavia onward, and Slav and Arab areas get similar priority.
Despite the hellish regime enforced in the colonial areas, Fascist Europe is an industrialized superpower, less economically and technologically efficient than the Free World but more so than the USSR, which treats loyal Aryan subjects with a relative light hand, comparable to pre-war Germany and Italy or a more wealthy and efficient post-Stalinist Soviet Union. So OTL demographic trends for 20th-century industrialized countries mostly apply. The regime does enforce strong natalist policies, such as strong subsidies and social benefits for fertile couples, extensive daycare networks, and the like. But extreme practices like mandatory pregnancies and birthing factories are not really feasible except in special cases.
Fascist Europe and Japan control Africa and western Eurasia up to the Yenisei-Xinjiang-Indus line, and eastern Eurasia except the Indian subcontinent, respectively, while the USA (which joined with Canada, Australia, and New Zealand into a confederation), Latin America, Britain, and India make up the Free World. The two blocs are locked into a Cold War and MAD nuclear stalemate. The Free World smuggles what support it can to the plentiful Slav, Arab, African, and Asian rebels to Axis tyranny, but there is not much else it can do.
Given these premises, how do you expect that Lebensraum would proceed, which nations, and when, would get extinguished as meaningful ethnic and cultural entities and replaced by Western European settlers, down the decades of Nazi rule ? I'd be quite thankful if you could frame your argument in a decade-by-decade basis, so your advice remains useful regardless of whether the totalitarian bloc suffers a collapse in the 70s, 80s, 90s, or endures to present times.
So far, I tentatively assumed that up to the early 60s, Czechia, Poland, Baltic states, Belarus, Yugoslavia, Albania, Slovakia, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya would get assimilated, while Ukraine and Egypt would do so in the 60s and early-mid 70s. But I'm quite uncertain about the rest. Would the decline of demographic growth in Fascist Europe eventually bring the engines of genocide to an halt, and if so, when, and how far the tide of ethnic cleansing and resettlement would spread ? Or would they keep the demographic potential to gobble ever-increasing bits of Russia and the Middle East up to present times ? Would they eventually start spreading their nasty job to bits of Sub-Saharan Africa ?
I'd be doubly thankful if you could also give some reasoned and educated advice on the demographic effects of decades-long Japanese rule on East Asia and South East Asia.
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