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All the Sealion threads have been most entertaining. We all know the plan was doomed to fail but there are those who want to believe it's got a real chance...
Let's try this the other way. Hitler orders Sealion, and it fails miserably. Large numbers of troops drowned, a number of warships sunk and the Luftwaffe takes a beating. What next? Do plans for Barbarosa continue? Does Hitler still bail out Mussolini in Greece? Does Rommel still head to North Africa? Will Hitler dare to declare war on the US after Pearl Harbor?