A Loose Bandage - McKinley Lives!

A Loose Bandage Pt. 6

October 1905 – August 1906


- Colonel JOHN J. PERSHING sat quietly in a group of foreign
observers, watching the Russian and Japanese dignitaries haggle over
the most minor terms. Growing increasingly frustrated by the seemingly
unending negotiations, Pershing was the official American
representative (Pershing thought of himself more as a legal spy) at
the treaty hearings. He had no official capacity but to sit and
observe, as he had been doing for the past year and a half. Sick of
Manchuria and the Japanese, he would be sorely glad to return to the
United States.

- The Treaty of Port Arthur is signed on October 12, 1905. Mediated by
the British government, the treaty brought the Russo-Japanese War to a
close. In the months since the Russian victory in the Battle of the
East Sea, the Japanese advance, out of supplies and running out of
men, had been pushed back towards the Yalu River by General
Kuropatkin's counterattacking army. Finally, the Japanese had thrown
in the towel. The war, however, had left both the Russians and the
Japanese virtually toothless. Neither can afford much more of the war
and a peasant's revolt is slowly simmering in western Russia,
diverting precious troops from the Far East.

The Treaty of Port Arthur leaves Korea independent, outside the both
Russian and Japanese spheres of influence, protected by several
European nations and even by a slight contribution of the United
States, who want to dispel Japanese illusions of grandeur in the
Pacific. Manchuria stays within the Russian sphere, as does Sakhalin
Island.

- Congress signs the Williams Act. Some progressives cry out that the
bill does not change enough, as it only forbids shippers from
receiving credits. Others recognize this as only a first step in the
ultimate strengthening of the ICC. Meanwhile, Washington is being
virtually run by the members of Root's Cabinet, while Root tramples
around Nicaragua with President Zelaya, trying to negotiate a deal to
build the canal.

Many in the United States are puzzled by their new President. The man
seems to be thoroughly uninterested in his office. However, at the
same time, he seems to exude energy and intelligence when he is
passionate about something. Not prone to making decisions on his own,
Root turns often to his Cabinet, who clearly have an expanded role in
the new administration. Root's personality is, indeed, difficult to
describe. Despite these tendencies, most ignore the oddities
(deficiencies?) of Elihu Root. After all, he doesn't have to actually
change anything. The United States is happy right where it is.

- That is, until Upton Sinclair published his novel "The Jungle,"
exposing the horrid conditions of the meatpacking industry and causing
a roar of outrage from the public. The uproar causes the President (or
his Cabinet, anyhow) to force through the Meat Inspection Act,
granting Secretary of Agriculture James Wilson the authority to
conduct meat inspections and condemn any unfit for human consumption.

- The Russian government finds itself in a reputable position, for the
first time in many years. Not only does it have money to spare, for
once, but it is in fairly decent standing with the Russian people
themselves. Earlier in the year, when Tsar Nicholas had tried to
revoke his promise of a representative assembly, the nation had
simmered in rebellion, a powder keg ready to blow. However, the Tsar
himself had fixed that. A few shots fired by Imperial troops here and
there to remind the rabble who's boss…and, then, call of the attack
dogs and protect them to win their affection. The Tsar's plan was
working perfectly, or at least it appears to be to the people who
count.

The Tsar decides to leave the Duma to its job: keep the people happy,
but do nothing of meaning. Amidst the protests of conservatives and,
especially, those of his wife, Nicholas grants the peasants their
precious assembly. Not only that, but he reforms the Russian work-day,
not to the eight hours requested by that priest, Gapon, but to a still
respectable ten hours a day. The peasants are as happy as they've been
since the days of his grandfather, and the Germans appear to be
nonplussed by the Russian victory, despite their verbal support. As
the Russian Empire moves to tighten and solidify the nature of its
relationship with Britain and France, Germany scrambles to secure its
own alliances.

- A massive earthquake strikes San Francisco, demolishing entire
blocks and setting neighborhoods ablaze. Only the quick actions of
General Frederick Funston saves the entire city from joining the
conflagration. General Funston declares martial law and orders
military engineers to dynamite blocks of buildings in order to form
fire breaks. As many as 3,000 people lie dead, while another 225,000
are left homeless. At the time, San Francisco only had a population of
400,000.

- The Japanese economy collapses less than ten months after the
signing of the Treaty of Port Arthur. The disastrous war has caused
irreparable damage to the Japanese nation and its pride. However, as
the Japanese slowly begin to rebuild, the entire population focuses on
one goal and one goal alone: getting even with the Russian Empire.
First, however, the Japanese need to rebuild their economy and then
their military, a task not easily done when men like Secretary of War
Theodore Roosevelt watch warily from across the Atlantic.
 
Beck Reilly said:
Information regarding Root's personality was found here.

Root is a fascinating WI President. I see him as emphasizing foreign policy (trying to neegotiate a lot of treaties) while on the domestic front he is content with a consensus Republican policy with some odd tidbit of his vigorous mind added. Personality wise I see closer to Wilson (but without some of his flaws) than say Teddy R, but also with some similarity to the British Lord Curzon.

While the dominant mood in Japan is probably as you describe, I still think a humiliation this early will also engender a very reactionary "Meiji was a mistake" movement in Japan, which advocates a resturn to isolation and the Old Ways It would be an undercurrent but still of some significance..

Tom
 
A Loose Bandage Pt. 7

September 1906 – July 1907


- Nearly two months after he departed, President Root returns to the
United States, a treaty in hand guaranteeing the United States rights
to a ten mile swath of land through southern Nicaragua. The public
cheers as their President returns from his journey, successful. Root
orders construction on the new canal to begin as soon as possible and
ships, machinery, and personnel begin to leave American ports bound
for Central America within two months.

The Canal Treaty is the high-water mark of the Root Presidency.
Regarded by many of the time as the greatest single work of diplomacy
since the Louisiana Purchase, the Canal Treaty gives the United States
the right to a ten-mile wide region along the border of Nicaragua and
Costa Rica. Nicaraguan citizens will have the right to enter the Canal
Zone, as long as they are checked at border crossings.

Nicaraguan security personnel are forbidden from the Zone, except at
the request of the American Canal Zone Director. Those born within the
Zone will have both Nicaraguan and American citizenship, as long as
one parent is American. In return, the US pays a lump sum of $30
million for a 99-year lease with the option of extension and acquires
the sole right to construct, operate, and patrol the Canal.

- In October, the San Francisco School Board rules that Japanese,
Chinese, and Korean students must be taught in separate schools from
white students. The recently defeated Japanese government, facing a
small but determined rebellion from anti-Meiji forces, is worried by
development on the West Coast of the United States. However, the
government is not in the diplomatic position to successfully influence
domestic policy within the United States.

President Root has Secretary of State Knox quietly acknowledge and
ignore the Japanese protest. Secretary Knox quietly warns the Japanese
not to pursue their current course, or else the President might be
forced to order the end to Japanese immigration. The Japanese
reluctantly relent and Root does nothing about the segregation of San
Francisco's school system, mostly ignoring it.

Meanwhile, the Japanese add another member to their growing list of
enemies. Japan is not yet strong enough to take on Russia, let alone
the United States, but the revenge will be made so much sweeter by the
wait. In the mean time, the Japanese will have to get their kicks by
subduing these pesky, reactionary forces lined up against the Meiji
Emperor...

- With the rising opponent across the Pacific from the United States,
sixty-six year old Secretary of the Navy Mahan convinces President
Root to authorize a naval enlargement. The new naval reform will
include the construction of a new class of Dreadnaught-type
battleships. The new ships are set to make their debut in 1910.
Secretary of War Roosevelt eyes the naval appropriations hungrily,
wishing that his Department received half the amount of money his
friend Mahan had. No such luck at this time, however.

- In Dayton, Ohio, GLENN CURTISS meets with the famed Wright Brothers
to discuss aeronautical engineering and the future of aeronautics in
general. To his everlasting befuddlement, Curtiss is met with blind
hostility from the pioneers of aviation, who rebuff the young
engineer. Curtiss leaves the former bicycle shop angered and
frustrated. He has so many ideas, if only he could find an outlet to
express them and a sponsor to endorse them. He heads north, to New
York, where he meets with Alexander Graham Bell, the inventor of the
telephone.

- British and Russian representatives meet in Moscow to demarcate the
boundaries of their respective spheres of influence in Persia and
Afghanistan. What develops is somewhat of a surprise to their own
governments. In two weeks of negotiation, the two nations have hashed
out more of a military and economic alliance than a map showing the
boundaries of Persia and Afghanistan.

- The so-called Anglo-Russian Entente is worrying, to say the least,
to the Kaiser's government in Germany. Between that, the
Franco-Russian Entente, formed over a decade ago, and the Entente
Cordiale formed just two years earlier, the three greatest German
rivals have formed a virtual monopoly on German power. Kaiser Bill
isn't going to stand around like a sucker while all his opponents line
up against him, no, sir.

By early-summer, 1907, German representatives and officials were
spreading across unaligned nations across the globe, attempting to
plead and bribe alliances out of them. Officials had spread to not
only Austria-Hungary and Italy, but, namely, Sweden, the Ottoman
Empire, and Japan, as well. Most were offered military aid packages in
exchange for, at the very least, diplomatic support if a war was ever
sparked in Europe.

He offers, mainly, chances for revenge, though: promising Sweden
leadership in a Scandinavian Union and promising Japan parts of the
now-Russian mainland. To Italy and Austria-Hungary, the Kaiser offers
enormous military and economic incentives to shore up their Triple
Alliance. By late July, word had not been heard from any of the
contacted nations. For the time being, it looks as if Wilhelm's
attempt at diplomacy has failed.
 
Wow. Cranking out two installments in one day. I'm lucky to even have one complete & revised chapter in a fortnight!

I like the personality you attach in the TL here and there. I also like how you don't go by the regular format of XXX happening in AAA year but go by the events in each month. It's sortta like Prince of Peace but not quite.

Query: What's up with the capitalization of GLENN CURTISS? Who was he?
 
G.Bone said:
Query: What's up with the capitalization of GLENN CURTISS? Who was he?

Glenn Curtiss was an influential aircraft designer of the the early part of 20th century. I've capitalized a couple of names, his and Pershing's, I believe, thus far. I capitalize the names to just sort of point out where certain people are at this point in the ALB timeline. A sort of running Where are They Now? type of thing. I'm just emphasizing certain names, showing that that part of the story is more personally related to those characters than it is broadly related to the timeline in general.
 
G.Bone said:
Wow. Cranking out two installments in one day. I'm lucky to even have one complete & revised chapter in a fortnight!

Hah. Each installment takes me about an hour to an hour and a half to write. Usually, I write one in the morning right after I wake up and one right before I go to bed. That method has always worked for me. I find I do my best thinking early in the morning and late at night.
 
G.Bone said:
How much research have you done on this TL?

Well, I've not read books on each individual topic I've covered, I simply don't have time for that. However, I don't think it's wrong to say that I have moderately detailed knowledge of most of what I cover. There are parts that I'm less sure on, for instance, Japanese history. But there are also parts, especially in the future of the TL, that I know a lot about. Generally, I'd say I do a majority of my research as I write out the timeline, spending perhaps 15 to 20 minutes reading up on each event. I just don't have the time to do much more than that, or else I'd never get this done and my attention would wane.

Why, if you don't mind me asking? Does it appear as if I've done any research?
 
A Loose Bandage Pt. 8

August 1907 – July 1908


- The Cadillac Automobile Company introduces the world's first economy
line of motor vehicles. At $850, the Cadillac "Thirty-Five" is the
first automobile mass produced on assembly lines with completely
interchangeable parts, marketed to the middle class. The car is known
not only for its economical price tag, but also for its refinement and
engineering. Unlike other cars, the Thirty-Five's price tag drops as
time goes on, due to the streamlining of the production process.

However, Cadillac sales figures do not show a rapid boom in sales for
over a year after the car's introduction. Unfortunately for Cadillac,
it has the misfortune to begin sales only one month before the economy
tanks. However, with its recovery in the summer of 1908, orders from
around the United States are being fielded in the thousands, placing
Cadillac as the highest grossing automobile manufacturer in the
nation.

- With the (extremely) reluctant consent of Emperor Gojong, Korea
becomes a protectorate of the reinvigorated Russian Empire, much to
the dismay of the Japanese, who eye Korea as their "lost possession."
The Koreans, it turns out, are watching their adversary across the
Yellow Sea every bit as closely as the battered nation of Japan is
watching their continental neighbor. Japan is envious of Russian power
in the region, but, after the disastrous events of the Russo-Japanese
War, they can ill afford to chance the anger of the Russian
government.

In Russia, while the Tsar views the addition of Korea to his sphere of
influence, most view it as simply another burden for the Russian
peasants to carry upon their backs. Restless forces again rise towards
simmering revolt against their uncaring leader and are again held down
by the force of the rejuvenated Russian military. However, in Japan,
things are even worse. A reactionary group, small but rather
influential, argues for a return to the isolation and the ways of old.
However, another group, equally small and equally reactionary, albeit,
most importantly, equally influential argues to form an alliance
against their Slavic opponent. But with who?

Britain finds itself in a quandary, allied with two powers, each on
opposite sides of the ball, each enemies of the other. On one hand,
British policy has always favored the underdog, the second-rate power
of the region, which, in the case of Asia, is Japan. On the other
hand, in Europe, Russia serves the same vital purpose in the
countering the German menace, one which is much closer to home and
much more dangerous for the British people. The British are a no-go
for the Japanese. They recognize the fact that Britain cannot, and
will not, align itself against Russia. Despite the common interests of
the British Empire and Japan in the East, British fears at home will
override their fears of losing influence in China. The British are not
even approached by Japanese diplomats. Germany, on the other hand, has
no such qualms about the Japanese…

- The prosperity of the last eleven years comes to a screeching halt
in December of 1907. The Great Panic is a direct result of
over-expansion and poor speculation, both of which causes the stock
market to take (relatively) drastic hit around Christmas. The economy
collapses as banks and business across the nation close their doors
for the final time. The Panic forces Secretary Lyman Gage, head of the
Treasury Department since McKinley's first days in office, to resign,
replaced by the man for all seasons, former personal secretary to one
William McKinley and former Secretary of Labor and Commerce, George
Cortelyou.

Cortelyou's first directive is to ease the crisis by depositing nearly
$45 million of government funds in national banks and buying
government bonds. Only the timely intervention of financier J.P.
Morgan, the man whom the previous administration has prosecuted,
prevented further economic collapse. To prevent further crises,
Cortelyou advocates a more elastic currency and recommends the
creation of a central banking system. President Root, however, is
forever tarnished, as it turns out, by the memory of the Great Panic
of 1907, which effectively ends in May of 1908, six months after it
began.

- New York Governor WILLIAM RANDOLPH HEARST ascends the platform at
the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, hell bent on giving the
performance of a lifetime. On the fourth ballot, he and liberal
associate William Jennings Bryan are neck-and-neck. Colleagues and
aides have reminded Hearst of the nature of this speech several
hundred times over, but Hearst needs no reminding. This speech will
make or break his attempted candidacy.

On the eleventh ballot, Governor Hearst pulls decisively ahead of
William J. Bryan, the Prince who will never be King, and never looks
back. The Democratic lineup is an odd one. Both men are editors and
newspapermen, although, obviously, Hearst is much more successful, and
are both young. Both men are Governors of their respective states and
both won their gubernatorial elections, despite the fact that Root
took their states in the presidential election. John Albert Johnson,
the gracious and rhetorically gifted Governor of Minnesota is an
excellent compliment to the rather gruff and impersonal, but
nevertheless liberal William Randolph Hearst, despite not being his
first choice.

- The Republican Convention is a cake-walk. Root walks away with the
nomination on the first ballot, half-heartedly opposed by only a small
group of radical progressives guided by freshman Senator Robert M. La
Follette, of Wisconsin. There is simply not much to complain about.
Not much has gone wrong in the Root administration, with the rather
blatant exception of the Great Panic, mostly due to the
round-table-like policy discussions frequently held by the entire
Cabinet. While Root's Presidency can be characterized as one of
marginal success, it has also been one of almost universal (again,
with the exception of the Great Panic) stability.

In short, the Presidential election is far from certain in July of
1908…
 
I think that with eight years done, that will conclude the first section of the timeline. Any comments?

If anyone has anything to say regarding the plausibility and events of Section I (1900-1908), speak now or forever hold your peace...
 
Hearst had a high pitched voice that detracted from his speaking ability. It doesn't mean he would lose either the nomination or the election but it is something to factor in. You may throw in a remark or two about what his administration of New York was like.

OTOH Root would come across to the American people as someone who cared about foreign policy more than domestic and in times of economic trouble that does not go over well.

This is a very interesting and well thought TL and I commend your efforts.
 
Very interesting, I am finally catching up with these timelines after a weird week

Cadillac is doing something a-historical instead of Ford ?

Regarding Korea, it certainly looks good to me. I would think that the educated Russian classes would realise that a Russian protectorate over Korea is 'a good thing'. It means Russian dominance of the Yalu and the trade, logging rights etc. It ensures Russia enough warm water ports to be certain of keeping a fleet supplied and in good condition. It truly marks the culmination of Russia's policies in the East for over half a century. Navally from Putiatin and the Pallada to the protectorate of Korea, Russia has finally tied up its loose ends. A naval position of dominance also means a dominant mercantile trading position. OTL Russia had established mercantile marine companies, using Russo-Chinese banking finance, and railway company seaborne extensions. With this victory, Russia can dominant trade as much as she can the military position. Korea is much more useful to an economic view than Manchuria or the Maritime Provinces. In many ways, OTL the Russo-Japanese War was fought over Korea, and not Manchuria

This Great Panic is purely American ? The situation in 1908's election looks very much like Bryan's defeat in the mid 1890s, after Cleveland had had a reasonable term apart from an economic collapse (qv the Adlai Stevenson thread IIRC). Root can point to success, but the people are going to be looking at the here and now.

What I am wondering is what the US election laws of the time require Hearst to do with his media empire ? Is he allowed to continue to own and control it ? Can he pull a Berlusconi and make false promises he doesn't keep ? Who oversees these things - the US Supreme Court ? And who is on the Court, any friends of Hearst ?

Grey Wolf
 
Grey Wolf said:
Cadillac is doing something a-historical instead of Ford?

In OTL, by 1904, Cadillac was in a much stronger position than Ford. Only a few lucky breaks brought about the Ford empire. In TTL, Cadillac remains ahead of Ford.


Grey Wolf said:
This Great Panic is purely American ? The situation in 1908's election looks very much like Bryan's defeat in the mid 1890s, after Cleveland had had a reasonable term apart from an economic collapse (qv the Adlai Stevenson thread IIRC). Root can point to success, but the people are going to be looking at the here and now.

The Great Panic of TTL is simply an extension of the Panic of 1907 in OTL. However, because of Root's lack of interest in the economy, it hurts him badly. In his term, he spent almost no time on the economy, first leaving its everyday handling to Secretary of the Treasury Lyman Gage and then Sec. of the Treasury George Cortelyou.


Grey Wolf said:
What I am wondering is what the US election laws of the time require Hearst to do with his media empire?

I don't think there are any laws regarding his control of his media empire. It's his, after all. Even if by chance there are laws preventing that, he could just place a puppet at its head and still, effectively, run it.

Has anyone ever heard of laws which would affect this??
 
Hmm, I'd guess you're right

Well, I've found Burroughs v. United States
in the US Supreme Court but that is a 1934 ruling, it seems, but one born of a concern that money was influencing presidential elections

Funnily enough this seems to have been aimed primarily at unions, thus opening the door even more to corporate funding now that labour funding was outlawed. Now that would be useful for a more social democratic USA timeline, but not relevant for this one

But
http://www.kwenu.com/publications/orabuchi/us_elections4.htm
an overview of current campaign finance law doesn't make mention of ownership of the media. Maybe that is somewhere else, but I'm not having much luck finding it

Grey Wolf
 
http://www.fec.gov/pages/brochures/fecfeca.htm

As early as 1905, President Theodore Roosevelt recognized the need for campaign finance reform and called for legislation to ban corporate contributions for political purposes. In response, Congress enacted several statutes between 1907 and 1966 which, taken together, sought to:

Limit the disproportionate influence of wealthy individuals and special interest groups on the outcome of federal elections;
Regulate spending in campaigns for federal office; and
Deter abuses by mandating public disclosure of campaign finances.


Now, this hasn't happened in your ATL but one wonders whether Hearst would actually be the catalyst for calls to enact such legislation

Of course, this is still only affecting finance and not media control per se of which I am finding diddly squat online

Grey Wolf
 
Hmm, found some nutter's comments on campaign finance reform

http://www.cato.org/testimony/ct-bs022797.html


Before discussing the details of campaign finance, I think it is important to briefly remind ourselves that, for most of this country's history, the funding of political campaigns has been totally or largely unregulated. During our nation's first century, the era which produced as presidents Abraham Lincoln, George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Grover Cleveland, James Knox Polk, and Andrew Jackson, and which saw giants such as Daniel Webster, Henry Clay, John Quincy Adams, and John C. Calhoun serve in Congress, there were literally no laws regulating campaign finance. And today, we often look back on that century as a golden age of politics -- one in which memorable debates over such monumental issues as slavery and western expansion were discussed in serious campaigns, one in which people talked and debated these issues, one in which politics was marked by mass rallies and torchlight parades, and one in which voter turnout was considerably higher than it is today.
The federal government did not become involved in campaign finance until this century. If we look back, we find that the arguments made in favor of regulation a century ago were the same that we hear today: that the American people believed Congress to be made up of the "instrumentalities and agents of corporations;" that "corruption" was the norm; that new advertising techniques and technologies—in those days mass newspapers, recordings, train travel—had created an insatiable demand for political spending that could only be curbed by spending limits; and that we faced a "crisis" of democracy. In response to such complaints, the federal government passed its first campaign finance law in 1907, banning direct corporate contributions to candidates. In 1943, this ban was extended to labor unions. Additionally, congress passed greater disclosure requirements in 1925. However, these disclosure measures were so toothless as to be meaningless. For example, from its enactment in 1925 until its repeal in 1971, there was not a single prosecution under the Federal Corrupt Practices Act. Yet democracy survived, and this period of minimal regulation gave us Presidents Theodore and Franklin Roosevelt, Calvin Coolidge, Harry Truman, and Dwight Eisenhower, Congressional leaders such as Robert Taft, Hubert Humphrey, and Everett Dirksen, and serious debates over such issues as civil rights. For nearly two centuries, our democracy flourished despite, or perhaps even because of, the absence of any meaningful campaign finance regulation.


What useful note does emerge from this is that there were no meaningful campaign finance regulations before 1907 - the only ones I have been able to find say something odd about navy yard workers not being coerced to contribute...not sure where that comes from !

So, regarding Hearst, his money is not going to be an issue at all in your ATL... As for the media control, hmmm, maybe my failure to find any mention of it means there isn't any ?

Grey Wolf
 
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