Hnau
Banned
Does the fact that Dmowski rules Poland, and there is no war in the East mean more expansion in the West as Poland is able to focus its efforts there (especially with the German civil war)? Also with the lack of threat of Bolshevik takeover more people wouldn't be afraid to vote for Poland. Do you believe Poland would be in better position without the Kresy region-as it would have more educated and more industrious regions without the underdeveloped East, and more ethnicly united territory? Historically Endecja was supportive of contacts between Slavic countries (neoslavism)-we could see defensive alliance with Czechs against possible German expansion and neutral relations with Russia.
I absolutely believe that Poland will receive more votes in the plebiscites, the reason many voted against it was not just because of German propaganda and ethnic loyalties, but because it was thought impossible for Poland to win the war against Soviet Russia. I actually was thinking of making Danzig a Polish city, due to Wilson's increased ruthlessness and the introduction of a similiar 'bleed 'em dry' Poincare, but I don't know, it seems like a move that some would find implausible... I mean, no one really protested for Poland's increased power, the debate was mostly on the Franco-German border... would their increased ruthlessness still call for more action after their stunt with the Rhineland? In any case, the plebiscites will give the Poles slightly more land in Upper Silesia.
As for their economic and political wellbeing... well, things aren't going to go well for the Jews under an extra decade and a half of National Democracy. Their is going to be an expulsion of Polish Jews just like Dmowski wanted, over time, similiar to the exodus of German Jews in OTL... the good thing is, the US and Palestine still have their borders open. That's going to be both difficult to track, hard to estimate the effects of, and very interesting. Without the Kresy, Poland will definitely do better economically, but will feel like less of a military power without winning the war, and that will likely fuel interest in the Little Entente, just like you said. In OTL, Poland thought it can stand by itself. After the Treaty of Lublin, there will be no illusions. I believe Poland will be just as anti-Russian as anti-German, though it matters where the two powers go in the timeline, and from where I am now, it looks like Russia will become more and more democratic and economically stable, while Germany is headed for fascism as in OTL.
Good thoughts! You helped me solidify my opinion on the matter.
Any reason Lithuania FR isn't getting Vilnius?
The RDFSR believed that the Lithuanians might not treat the Polish minority as well as the Belarussians... furthermore, Belarussia is regarded as more 'trustworthy'. Lithuania is probably the FR the most likely to break off when it can, and Moscow knows that, more or less... so it makes sense to hold Vilnius back from them.