The Bald Imposter said:
But where are the Wiradjuri today?
Oh they're still alive & well today, spread out over a region the size of England. In fact 5 or so years ago they gained about half of Canberra's territory under the Native Title Act, not to mention a few places in New South Wales.
Granted, though, they've had their problems, especially after their great leader Windradyne died. Booze was their biggest problem, not to mention the discusting treatment by the British authorities from the 1850s onwards.
The Bald Imposter said:
The inland tribes would probably have been left alone at first, if the emphasis is on making self-supporting coastal settlements.
That would fit the OTL pattern.
The Bald Imposter said:
The most optimistic course of action is that the settlers would eventually treat with the Aborigines and leave them with internal autonomy in their own native lands. Unfortunately, this did not work well for the American Indians, for example. However, given Australia's size, the Aboriginal reserves are likely to be much larger, and the chances of Aborigines practicing their traditional way of life much better.
Again that's not overly dissimilar to the OTL at first. You see the coastal tribes were numerous, but low in numbers. An estimate of between 1 000 to 5 000 members of such tribes wouldn't be unusual. So overcoming them through one means or another wasn't overly difficult for the British.
However, once over the mountains, which lie about 80kms to the west of the coastline (all along the eastern coastline of Australia - a distance of some 3 000kms), Aboriginal tribal structure is very different wherein you have few tribes, but very large populations. It depends on the tribe & location, of course, but we're talking tribes of 10 000 to the size of the Wiradjuri at 500 000.
So again the scenario you've outlined is possible, although the outcome maybe a stronger & tougher opposition once European expansion occurs.
The Bald Imposter said:
It is one of the great tragedies of history that almost no scenario about modern settlement of Australia can plausibly work out in the Aborigines' favor.
Yeah, it probably won't be much different, although it depends how vigourous the early expansion takes place. If we're talking the British here, other than some isolated Jewish colony, then I would agree that the OTL is more than likely to be repeated. Although again that depends on whether they are prepared to acknowledge their treaty(s) in a manor akin to those made with the Maori's just across the Tasman Sea (which happened around the same time BTW).
If, however, we're talking about a single Jewish colony, then it's a completely different story, where I'd say the Aboriginals have more than an even chance to continue, although, I'd say, with changes taking place within their own cultures & structures through their exposure, albeit limited, to the Jewish colony in question.